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All Journal JURNAL DINAMIKA EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN Jurnal Bina Praja ECOPLAN : JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Jurnal Ekonomi Indonesia Jurnal Kebijakan Pembangunan PROCEEDINGS OF THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON DATA SCIENCE AND OFFICIAL STATISTICS
Ahmadi Murjani, Ahmadi
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Humanities Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Environmental Science Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Social Sciences Other

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SHORT-RUN AND LONG-RUN IMPACT OF INFLATION, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND ECONOMIC GROWTH TOWARDS POVERTY IN INDONESIA: ARDL APPROACH Murjani, Ahmadi
JURNAL DINAMIKA EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN Vol 2, No 1 (2019): April
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1095.891 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/jdep.2.1.15-29

Abstract

 Poverty alleviation has become a vigorous program in the world in recent decades. In line with the efforts applied by the government in various countries to reduce poverty, some evaluations have been practised. The impacts of macroeconomic variables such as inflation, unemployment, and economic growth have been commonly employed to be assessed for their impact on the poverty. Previous studies in Indonesia yielded mix results regarding the impact of such macroeconomic variables on the poverty. Different methods and time reference issue were the suspected causes. This paper aims to overcome such problem by utilising the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) equipped with the latest time of observations. This paper finds in the long-run, inflation, unemployment, and economic growth significantly influence the poverty. In the short-run, only inflation and economic growth are noted affecting poverty significantly. 
Pro-poor Curves and Pro-Poor Growth Index: Case Study in South Kalimantan Province Murjani, Ahmadi
JURNAL DINAMIKA EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN Vol 4, No 3 (2021): DECEMBER
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/jdep.4.3.155-168

Abstract

This paper aims to analyze the nature of the growth in the South Kalimantan province of Indonesia. Different definitions of pro-poor growth, as well as the methods for pro-poor growth classification, have encouraged this paper to use the partial (Growth Incidence Curve and Pro-Poor Growth Curve) and full approaches (Pro-Poor Growth Index). After examining the data spanning from 2010 to 2020, this paper arrives at conclusions. In general, the growth in South Kalimantan is pro-poor but in the period from 2010 to 2016 most benefits of the growth are absorbed by the richer people. In contrast, the growth is pro-poor from the period from 2016 to 2020 and the benefits of the growth are received more by poor people. Also, this paper underlines the importance of detailed examinations for all approaches to avoid a mixed result within the period of examination.
Analisis Permintaan Beras di Kalimantan Selatan Menggunakan Model Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System Murjani, Ahmadi; Rifani, Akhmad; Ramadhan, Muhammad Febrian Rizky
Jurnal Kebijakan Pembangunan Vol 20 No 1 (2025): JURNAL KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN VOL.20 NO.1 JUNI 2025
Publisher : Badan Riset dan Inovasi Daerah Provinsi Kalimantan Selatan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47441/jkp.v20i1.424

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui elastisitas permintaan beras Medium, Premium, dan Premium Plus menggunakan model Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (QUAIDS) untuk mengoptimalkan kebijakan pengendalian harga. Analisis ini didasarkan pada data Survei Sosial Ekonomi Nasional (SUSENAS) tahun 2023, dengan fokus pada berbagai jenis beras yang diklasifikasikan pada penelitian ini, yaitu beras medium, premium, dan premium plus serta komoditas sumber karbohidrat lainnya. Lokus penelitian merupakan seluruh kabupaten/kota di Provinsi Kalimantan Selatan yang dikelompokkan menjadi 3 klaster, yaitu klaster Banjarbakula, Banua Anam dan Saijaan-Bersujud. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa beras medium dan premium dikategorikan sebagai barang normal, sementara beras premium plus dianggap sebagai barang mewah. Selain itu, permintaan terhadap beras menunjukkan sensitivitas harga yang signifikan, terutama pada beras premium plus, khususnya di klaster Saijaan-Bersujud. Hasil elastisitas harga silang juga mengungkapkan pola substitusi antar jenis beras. Temuan ini menekankan pentingnya upaya stabilisasi harga yang disesuaikan dengan kategori beras dan wilayah untuk memastikan ketahanan pangan dan pengelolaan inflasi yang efektif di Provinsi Kalimantan Selatan.
Simpson index and food security: The case study of Kalimantan Murjani, Ahmadi; Wiratama, Budhi Fatanza
Jurnal Ikatan Sarjana Ekonomi Indonesia Vol 14 No 2 (2025): August
Publisher : Jurnal Ekonomi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52813/jei.v14i2.559

Abstract

Dietary diversity is a reliable indicator of food security. This study examines diversity in consumption through the Simpson Index using the food expenditure approach at the regency and city levels in Indonesia, with a particular focus on Kalimantan, the location of the new capital city, Nusantara. Further analysis explores the relationship between dietary diversity and food inflation, a key aspect of food security. The data used to develop the index is drawn from the National Socio-Economic Survey (SUSENAS) conducted by Statistics Indonesia from 2020 to 2023. Food inflation modeling was performed using the Threshold Panel Regression method on data from 90 cities. The findings suggest that concerted efforts are required to enhance food diversity in the supporting regions around IKN, particularly in South Kalimantan, which exhibits a relatively lower Simpson Index compared to other areas in Kalimantan. Moreover, the Simpson Index achievement has a significant impact on reducing food inflation rates, indicating its potential as a tool for monitoring and evaluating food price fluctuations, which are critical for maintaining economic access to national food security.
Inklusivitas Perekonomian di Kabupaten Hulu Sungai Utara Tahun 2022: Pendekatan Model Miyazawa Murjani, Ahmadi; Rifani, Akhmad; Ramadhan, Muhammad Febrian Rizky
Ecoplan Vol 7 No 1 (2024)
Publisher : Jurusan Ilmu Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Lambung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20527/ecoplan.v7i1.697

Abstract

One of the goals and missions of achieving sustainable development is implementing economic development that adheres to the principle of inclusivity. Therefore, policymakers in a region must identify whether the economic development undertaken is already inclusive. Following these results, it is essential for policymakers to also conduct evaluations to determine the effectiveness of the policies made in realizing inclusive economic development. These two aspects can be addressed by applying the Miyazawa Input-Output Table. Meanwhile, over the past three years, Hulu Sungai Utara Regency has experienced a range of economic and social phenomena that necessitate further study of economic inclusivity. As a result of these conditions, the Regency has been selected as the locus for this research. The findings on the economic inclusivity in this Regency are expected to serve as a reference for policy in developing the economy of Hulu Sungai Utara. Based on the results, it is known that the economy in Hulu Sungai Utara Regency has not yet been fully inclusive. Investments in sector code E (Water Supply, Waste Management, Waste, and Recycling), sector code A (Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishery), sector code C (Manufacturing Industry), and sector code J (Information and Communication) have the potential to increase the welfare of low-income communities, which would then yield an inclusive economic development in the area.
Energy Goods Demand in Tabalong Regency: Almost-Ideal Demand System Approach Murjani, Ahmadi
Jurnal Bina Praja Vol 9 No 2 (2017)
Publisher : Research and Development Agency Ministry of Home Affairs

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21787/jbp.09.2017.307-319

Abstract

The declining trend of Tabalong Regency’s economic growth in recent years adversely affected the poverty rate. Further, the recent energy subsidy policy applied by the Indonesian Government has pushed the subsidy’s budget down for some energy goods. Therefore, there should be an awareness regarding the current energy policy and the impact on the poverty particularly in Tabalong Regency. This paper investigates the demand system for the three main energy goods; premium fuel, electricity, and Liquid Petroleum Gas (LPG) in Tabalong Regency of the South Kalimantan Province. Although the same method was previously used on the different topics, this paper uniquely utilizes the combined Linear Approximation and Quadratic Almost-Ideal Demand System on the particular energy policy topic. This paper utilizes the National Social Economics Survey conducted by BPS-Statistics of Tabalong Regency in 2016. The results show that the income elasticity of demand for the top 60% and the bottom 40% of the income groups were positive; however, slight differences could be seen. For the top 60% of the income group, the income elasticities of demand were 0.97, 1.02, and 1.08 for premium fuel, electricity, and LPG respectively. On the other hand, the bottom 40% of the income group had 0.99, 1.07, and 0.91 of income elasticity of demand for premium, electricity, and LPG. The price elasticity of demand for both income groups had negative signs, which is agreeing with the theoretical demand function. These results indicate that the current energy policy should continue with securing the poor households from the possible effect.
Stochastic Dominance Analysis for the Poverty in Tabalong Regency 2013 and 2017 Murjani, Ahmadi
Jurnal Bina Praja Vol 10 No 1 (2018)
Publisher : Research and Development Agency Ministry of Home Affairs

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21787/jbp.10.2018.01-12

Abstract

Although its issue could be addressed from of various perspectives over the years, poverty is the object of the government’s policy programs to be alleviated since the Indonesian independence. With the advancement of technology and science in the recent decades, the availability and the completeness of poverty data in Indonesia getting better. In fact, the policy-makers can assess the effectivity of their public-oriented programs easier by effectively utilizing the complete and up-to-date poverty data. However, in various approaches to poverty measurement, the Indonesian poverty data should be accompanied by another approach. This paper aims to evaluate the change of welfare of particular region over a period of several years by using the stochastic dominance method. This method also incorporates the price level impact into its poverty assessment through the extrapolated CPIs. To conduct the measurement, the National Socioeconomic Survey of Tabalong regency data, as well as the Tanjung city’s inflation in the period from 2013 to 2017, are employed. The results indicate that the welfare in 2017 is better than in 2013 since the distribution in 2017 stochastically dominates the distribution in 2013 at the first and second order at any possible level of poverty lines. Therefore, this result could also be the additional input for the poverty alleviation’s evaluation in order to provide a solid conclusion about the welfare changes.
Unlocking the Potential of Input-Output Tables for Spatial Analysis Using the Miyazawa Model: A Case Study of East Java Province Murjani, Ahmadi; Wiratama, Budhi Fatanza
Proceedings of The International Conference on Data Science and Official Statistics Vol. 2025 No. 1 (2025): Proceedings of 2025 International Conference on Data Science and Official St
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34123/icdsos.v2025i1.530

Abstract

East Java Province holds a strategic role in the national economy, serving as the second-largest contributor to GDP after Jakarta and as a key trade hub to Eastern Indonesia. Yet regional disparities remain substantial, particularly reflected in the economic underdevelopment and weak logistics connectivity of Madura Island, which lies adjacent to the Gerbangkertosusila growth corridor. Addressing this gap requires a deeper understanding of sectoral and spatial linkages that shape Madura’s growth trajectory. This study applies the Miyazawa Input-Output Model for East Java Province, integrating 17 economic sectors and 38 regencies/municipalities to enable simultaneous sectoral and regional analysis. The simulations assess the effects of increasing household income in Madura, spillover from surrounding regions, and the combined role of strengthening the Transportation and Warehousing sector alongside Agriculture and Manufacturing. The findings show that the logistics sector in Madura, when considered independently, has limited impact; however, its significance rises when complemented by productive local sectors. Moreover, spillover from surrounding regions into Madura proves weaker than spillover directed outside Madura, underscoring the island’s fragile spatial connectivity. These results highlight the urgency of affirmative policies that strengthen productive sectors, enhance interregional linkages, and ensure Madura’s integration into East Java’s broader economic development.
Co-Authors Ramadhan, Muhammad Febrian Rizky Rifani, Akhmad Wiratama, Budhi Fatanza