Article Per Year (5 Year)
p-Index From 2020 - 2025
0.444
P-Index
This Author published in this journals
All Journal Transekonomika : Akuntansi, Bisnis dan Keuangan JIAN (Jurnal Ilmiah Administrasi Negara)
Kamara, Ishmael
Unknown Affiliation
Economics, Econometrics & Finance Environmental Science Social Sciences

Published : 2 Documents Claim Missing Document
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 2 Documents
Search

 1 
THE DYNAMICS OF EXCHANGE RATES, INFLATION, AND TRADE BALANCE IN A SMALL OPEN ECONOMY (CASE STUDY OF SIERRA LEONE) Kamara, Ishmael; Widyawati, Diah
TRANSEKONOMIKA: AKUNTANSI, BISNIS DAN KEUANGAN Vol. 4 No. 5 (2024): September 2024
Publisher : Transpublika Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55047/transekonomika.v4i5.727

Abstract

Sierra Leone experiences a persistent trade deficit problem. Currently, there is a vacuum in the literature employing recent data and suitable approaches to address the issue of non-stationarity and dynamic interaction between macroeconomic variables in influencing the trade deficit in Sierra Leone. This study examines the relationship between Sierra Leone's trade balance, inflation, and exchange rate using quarterly data from 2005 Q1 to 2023 Q3. The focus is on understanding how the exchange rate and inflation impact Sierra Leone's trade balance in both the short and long term. To achieve this, the study utilizes the VAR/VECM model to depict the dynamic interaction between the trade balance, exchange rate, and inflation. It also employs Granger Causality analysis to determine the most appropriate ordering among the macroeconomic variables in the model and Impulse Response Function (IRF) analysis to test the hypotheses regarding the trade balance response to exchange rate shocks and inflation. The empirical results confirm the existence of cointegration, indicating a long-term balance between the trade balance, exchange rate, inflation, and other macroeconomic variables such as GDP growth and interest rate differentials. Moreover, the dynamic prediction analysis using the IRF method supports the J-curve hypothesis in Sierra Leone and suggests that inflation can reduce the performance of the trade balance. These findings highlight the need for Sierra Leone to implement a comprehensive strategy to adjust the exchange rate and curb inflation to improve the trade balance and enhance external economic stability.
A Macroeconomic Determinants of Domestic Revenue Generation in Sierra Leone: A Fiscal Policy Perspective Kamara, Ishmael; Gunawan, Indra; Hirawan, Fajar
JIAN (Jurnal Ilmiah Administrasi Negara) Vol. 9 No. 2 (2025): September 2025
Publisher : Universitas Bojonegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56071/jian.v9i3.1486

Abstract

This study examines the macroeconomic determinants of domestic revenue mobilization in Sierra Leone to propose effective strategies for enhancing public sector revenue. Using a conceptual framework, the study focuses on key independent variables such as real GDP, government expenditure, inflation, domestic debt, population growth, and the tax-to-GDP ratio. It analyses their influence on domestic revenue performance. The research adopts a quantitative ARDL methodology, utilizing time series data from 2001 to 2024 to identify long- and short-run relationships among the variables. The findings reveal a long-term relationship among the variables, while real GDP, inflation, population growth, and tax effort positively and significantly influence domestic revenue; government expenditure and domestic debt show a negative and significant long-term relationship. In the short run, however, lagged government expenditure and domestic debt appear to have a positive effect. These results suggest that short-term fiscal injections can boost revenue, but unsustainable expenditure and borrowing weaken long-term fiscal health. The study concludes that a balanced and transparent fiscal strategy anchored on growth-friendly policies, debt sustainability, and efficient public spending is essential for strengthening Sierra Leone’s domestic revenue capacity.
Co-Authors Hirawan, Fajar Indra Gunawan Widyawati, Diah