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All Journal Jurnal Manajemen Terapan dan Keuangan Jurnal Prajaiswara Nomico
Nurkodri, Moh Sahroni
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Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Social Sciences Other

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Analysis of the Effect of Gross Regional Domestic Product and Regional Expenditure on Local Own-Source Revenue in Jambi City Hartoyo, Hartoyo; Putra, Adi; Fahmi, Ali; Nurkodri, Moh Sahroni
Jurnal Prajaiswara Vol. 6 No. 2 (2025): Agustus 2025
Publisher : Badan Pengembangan Sumber Daya Manusia (BPSDM) Provinsi Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55351/prajaiswara.v6i2.218

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) and Regional Expenditure on Regional Original Revenue (PAD) in Jambi City during the 2015–2024 period. PAD is a crucial indicator in assessing the fiscal independence of a region within the context of regional autonomy. By employing a quantitative approach through multiple linear regression analysis, this research examines both the simultaneous and partial relationships between the independent variables (GRDP and Regional Expenditure) and the dependent variable (PAD). The F-test results show that the regression model is statistically significant at the simultaneous level, with an F value of 15.067 and a significance level of 0.003 (p < 0.05). This indicates that GRDP and Regional Expenditure jointly have a significant effect on PAD. The model also has a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.811, implying that 81.1% of the variation in PAD can be explained by the two variables. However, the t-test results reveal that only GRDP has a significant partial effect on PAD (p = 0.014), while Regional Expenditure does not show a significant influence (p = 0.632). Conclusion: These findings highlight the importance of regional economic growth in enhancing PAD and underscore the need to evaluate the effectiveness of Regional Expenditure in contributing to local revenue. The policy implication is that local governments should strengthen productive economic sectors that drive GRDP and allocate regional spending to activities with a direct impact on revenue generation. This approach is essential to achieving sustainable regional fiscal independence.
Poverty Dynamics and Moderating Effects on Labor Force–Economic Growth in Tanjung Jabung Timur Asrofin, Asrofin; Putra, Adi; Nurdin, Nurdin; Nurkodri, Moh Sahroni
Jurnal Prajaiswara Vol. 7 No. 1 (2026): April 2026
Publisher : Badan Pengembangan Sumber Daya Manusia (BPSDM) Provinsi Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55351/prajaiswara.v7i1.274

Abstract

Introduction/Main Objectives: This study aims to analyze the effect of labor force and poverty on economic growth in Tanjung Jabung Timur Regency for the 2016–2025 period, and to examine the role of poverty as a moderating variable. This topic is important because regional economic growth is not always accompanied by a proportional reduction in poverty. Problem Background: The main issue addressed is the relationship between labor, poverty, and economic growth, and whether poverty strengthens or weakens the impact of labor on economic growth. Novelty: The novelty of this study lies in incorporating poverty as a moderating variable in the labor–economic growth nexus at the regional level, which remains relatively underexplored in prior studies. Research Method: This study employs a quantitative approach using time series data from 2016–2025 obtained from official regional statistics. The analytical methods include multiple linear regression and Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) with an interaction term (X1*X2). Findings/Results: The results indicate that labor has a positive and significant effect on economic growth (β = 0.298; sig. 0.004), while poverty has a negative and significant effect (β = -0.145; sig. 0.045). The interaction term (β = -0.0021; sig. 0.027) reveals that poverty weakens the effect of labor on economic growth. Conclusion: In conclusion, increases in labor force do not optimally promote economic growth without a reduction in poverty levels. The implication is that development policies should simultaneously focus on improving labor quality and reducing poverty.
Co-Authors Adi Putra Asrofin, Asrofin Buhari, Ismail Erni Achmad Fahmi, Ali Fitri Amalia Halim, Abd Hartoyo Hartoyo Junaidi Junaidi Laryan, Pandu Malau, Aditya Rahmadillah Ningsih, Aria Nurdin Nurdin Pasla, Bambang Niko R, Muhammad Rachmad Setiawati, Neng Wahyudi, Satya Yuniarti, Tika Yuvanda, Sesraria