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All Journal Jurnal Informasi dan Teknologi Journal of Engineering and Technological Sciences
Indrapraja, Rachmadi
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Aerospace Engineering Automotive Engineering Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Electrical & Electronics Engineering

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Journal : Journal of Engineering and Technological Sciences

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Adaptive Ensemble Learning for Enhancing Building Energy Consumption Prediction: Insights from COVID-19 Pandemic Energy Consumption Dynamics Handre Kertha Utama, Putu; Leksono, Edi; Nashirul Haq, Irsyad; Indrapraja, Rachmadi; Mahesa Nanda, Rezky; Friansa, Koko; Fauzi Iskandar, Reza; Pradipta, Justin
Journal of Engineering and Technological Sciences Vol. 57 No. 2 (2025): Vol. 57 No. 2 (2025): April
Publisher : Directorate for Research and Community Services, Institut Teknologi Bandung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.5614/j.eng.technol.sci.2025.57.2.2

Abstract

Buildings account for approximately 40% of the total global energy consumption. Therefore, accurate prediction of building energy consumption is necessary to optimize resource allocation and promote sustainable energy usage. A key challenge in developing building energy consumption models is their adaptability to abrupt changes in consumption patterns owing to extraordinary events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, a two-layer ensemble-learning (EL) model incorporating sliding windows as input features is proposed. The model is a two-layer stacking EL consisting of two base learning methods: (1) support vector regression (SVR), and (2) random forest (RF). Temperature and humidity are included to account for the influence of weather conditions on energy consumption. The proposed model is deployed to forecast building energy consumption both before (November 2019) and during (May – October 2020) the COVID-19 pandemic and is compared with a single machine learning model. The results demonstrate that the EL model outperforms the SVR and RF methods, providing excellent prediction accuracy even during the pandemic when significant changes in energy consumption patterns occurred. The findings also highlight the effectiveness of sliding windows as input features for improving model adaptability. Additionally, the analysis reveals that temperature is more prominent than humidity for improving prediction accuracy.
Co-Authors Alfiana Defi Pujianto Edi Leksono Friansa, Koko Handre Kertha Utama, Putu Iwan Harsono Judijanto, Loso Jusatria Justin Pradipta Kusnadi, Iwan Henri Mahesa Nanda, Rezky Mahrizal Mahrizal Nashirul Haq, Irsyad Reza Fauzi Iskandar Saeful Rohman