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All Journal International Journal of Advances in Intelligent Informatics Science in Information Technology Letters
Snani, Aissa
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Computer Science & IT

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Journal : Science in Information Technology Letters

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Factors Influencing open unemployment rates: a spatial regression analysis Purwaningsih, Tuti; Inderanata, Rochmad Novian; Pradana, Sendhyka Cakra; Snani, Aissa; Sulaiman, Sarina
Science in Information Technology Letters Vol 3, No 1 (2022): May 2022
Publisher : Association for Scientific Computing Electronics and Engineering (ASCEE)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31763/sitech.v3i1.1202

Abstract

The present study employed spatial regression analysis as a methodological approach to get insights into the unemployment rates across Indonesian provinces in the year 2016. The official website of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BPS) offers secondary data pertaining to several socio-economic indicators, including the Total Open Unemployment Rate, Economic Growth Rate, Human Development Index, Severity of Poverty Index, and School Participation Rates. The investigation employed the Geoda software package and encompassed Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression, Dependency/Correlation investigation, and Spatial Autoregressive Model. The data presented in the study revealed the existence of three distinct provincial groupings characterized by varying levels of unemployment rates. In the context of unemployment variance, the traditional regression model accounted for 30 percent of the observed variation. However, the spatial regression model used spatial dependencies to enhance accuracy in capturing the phenomenon. The aforementioned findings have the potential to assist policymakers in formulating strategies to address unemployment in regions characterized by distinct spatial attributes, hence offering a potential blueprint for other nations.
Machine learning-based residential load demand forecasting: Evaluating ELM, XGBoost, RF, and SVM for enhanced energy system and sustainability Abdalla, Modawy Adam Ali; Ishaga, Ahmed Mohamed; Osman, Hassan Ahmed; Elhindi, Mohamed; Ibrahim, Nasreldin; Snani, Aissa; Hamid, Gomaa Haroun Ali; Hammad, Abdallah
Science in Information Technology Letters Vol 6, No 1 (2025): May 2025
Publisher : Association for Scientific Computing Electronics and Engineering (ASCEE)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31763/sitech.v6i1.1866

Abstract

Accurate forecasting of electrical power load is essential for properly planning, operating, and integrating energy systems to accommodate renewables and achieve environmental sustainability. Therefore, this study introduces different machine learning (ML) methods, including support vector machines (SVM), random forests (RF), extreme learning machines (ELM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) to predict hourly electricity demand using electricity consumption and temperature data for train and test ML models. The data is processed by autocorrelation function (ACF) and cross-correlation function (CCF) to determine the appropriate lag time for the inputs. Furthermore, ML model accuracy is assessed using coefficient of determination (R²), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). Results show that the ELM model achieved the highest R² in both summer (0.971) and winter (0.868), outperforming the other models in accuracy R² and error reduction (MAE and RMSE). ELM also more effectively captured load fluctuations. The result of this research has applications for load demand forecasting in the proper planning and operation of the residential grid. The results help estimate load demand and provide useful guidance for residential grid planning and management by determining the best techniques for precisely estimating load demand and identifying domestic energy consumption patterns
Co-Authors Abdalla, Modawy Adam Ali Andri Pranolo Elhindi, Mohamed Hamid, Gomaa Haroun Ali Hammad, Abdallah Ibrahim, Nasreldin Inderanata, Rochmad Novian Ishaga, Ahmed Mohamed Khadir, Mohammed Tarek Osman, Hassan Ahmed Pradana, Sendhyka Cakra Sarina Sulaiman Tuti Purwaningsih, Tuti