Marasanti, Andi Tiara Putri
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Role of Socioeconomic Uncertainty on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Inflows and Economic Growth in ASEAN Marasanti, Andi Tiara Putri; Verico, Kiki
JAS (Journal of ASEAN Studies) Vol. 11 No. 2 (2023): Journal of ASEAN Studies
Publisher : Centre for Business and Diplomatic Studies (CBDS) Bina Nusantara University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21512/jas.v11i2.8766

Abstract

The interconnectedness begins with active trade and foreign investment flowing to the host country, making the economies in the world integrated into one another. Unfortunately, the rise of interconnectedness has sky-rocketed uncertainty. Economists then build the considered socioeconomic index, namely the World Uncertainty Index (WUI). This research aims to determine whether such an index can affect Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inwards and economic growth, especially in ASEAN. We use yearly data of FDI inflows, economic growth, and WUI as a proxy for the global level of domestic uncertainty, inflation, and real effective exchange rate from 2015 to 2019 for each ASEAN member state. We estimate a System Generalized Method of Moments (Sys-GMM) to see the dynamic relationship and the short- and long-run effect of the socioeconomic uncertainty proxies with respect to FDI inflows and economic growth. The results show that the uncertainty index with respect to FDI inflows and growth has been negative and significant. Meanwhile, only FDI inflows sensitively respond to socioeconomic uncertainty in the long run, despite the growth for ASEAN member state.
The Effect of Uncertainty on Inflation: Evidence in ASEAN Marasanti, Andi Tiara Putri; Verico, Kiki
Journal of Developing Economies Vol. 9 No. 1 (2024)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v9i1.48745

Abstract

This article examines the relationships between extreme poverty, economic growth, and inequality, assesses if changes in inequality dampen the impact of income on extreme poverty, and determines the magnitude of the inequality growth trade-off index in Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic, and Honduras. A country-specific ARDL bound regression was conducted. The findings indicate the presence of direct and indirect dampening impacts of changes in inequality on income growth and extreme poverty reduction. The magnitude of the inequality growth trade-off- index indicates whether to prioritize growth and/or inequality reducing policies. This means that the higher the inequality, as in Honduras, the higher the economic or average income growth rate required to compensate for the increase in inequality to achieve a given level of extreme poverty reduction. Accordingly, there is no one-size-fits-all policy approach to tackling extreme poverty.