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Touray, Katim
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Environmental Science Social Sciences

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Factor Affecting Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Growth in United States (USA) Saleh, Husny Gibreel Musa; Hamza, Ali; Touray, Katim
JIAN (Jurnal Ilmiah Administrasi Negara) Vol. 8 No. 1 (2024): February 2024
Publisher : Universitas Bojonegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56071/jian.v8i2.869

Abstract

This study looks at factors influencing the growth of the gross domestic product (GDP) in the United States from 1973 to 2022. Using a multiple regression model, the effects of FDI, rural population growth, and imports of Goods and services were examined about GDP growth. The study found that imports of goods and services, with their value having a positive impact on the dependent variable, are a significant factor in determining the economic growth of the United States. The positive relation of the Imports of goods and services and GDP, growth was attributed to be a measure to control the rising of FDI. It was also discovered that the FDI, Population growth, and rural population are not significant variables in determining economic growth. The study therefore recommends that the United States government and economists prioritize policies and strategies that promote sustainable economic growth, job creation, and innovation. This may involve measures such as investing in education and research, promoting entrepreneurship and small businesses, improving infrastructure, and maintaining a stable and predictable regulatory environment. Additionally, the United States can encourage foreign direct investment (FDI) as a way to attract capital and expertise to the country, but this would depend on the specific circumstances and potential risks and benefits of each investment.
The Impact of Fiscal Policy on Economic Growth in The Gambia Touray, Katim; Botticelli, Tommaso; Sohna, Nasirou; Gubenko, Anastasia; Pratama, Obi
JIAN (Jurnal Ilmiah Administrasi Negara) Vol. 9 No. 2 (2025): September 2025
Publisher : Universitas Bojonegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56071/jian.v9i2.1238

Abstract

The Gambia is a small country in West Africa that depends on tax revenue to fund her financial obligations and needs. In 2024, The Gambia hosted the second largest world gathering the OIC summit. Over the years, The Gambia was preparing for this event, and it incurred a lot of capital spending on infrastructure and other key areas. This research assesses the impact of fiscal policy (government spending) on the economy of the Gambia from 2010 to 2020. We obtained a time series data on GDP, Government expenditure, Tax revenue, export and Inflation and use OLS estimation to ascertain the relationship between Government expenditure and tax revenue of GDP Growth of The Gambia. Our findings shows that Government expenditure and tax revenue are significant contributors to GDP Growth in The Gambia from 2010 to 2020 and they are positively correlated to GDP Growth. Our findings also showed that export and inflation were not significant in the model. There is a limitation to our research due to unavailability of data, we were only focus from 2010 to 2020 future researcher on this domain can try expanding the period to see clearer picture of the relationship of fiscal policy variables on GDP Growth.
Modelling Economic Growth in The Gambia: The role of Remittance and Inflation through ARDL Estimation Minteh, Salim; Amadou Gissay; Touray, Katim
JIAN (Jurnal Ilmiah Administrasi Negara) Vol. 9 No. 2 (2025): September 2025
Publisher : Universitas Bojonegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56071/jian.v9i3.1494

Abstract

This study explores the relationship between remittances received, inflation and economic growth in The Gambia using annual time series from 2003 to 2024. Employing the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing model to assess both shot-run and long-run interactions among variables. Remittance inflows have increased dramatically in The Gambia in the last two decades. The result confirms a long-run equilibrium with Error Correction Model (ECM) showing a negative and statistically significant coefficient, indicating a stable long run adjustment mechanism towards equilibrium. However, while remittances and inflation exhibit positive long-run effects on economic growth, these effects are statistically insignificant, suggesting that remittances are primarily directed towards consumption rather than productive investments, and that inflation impact maybe offset by other macroeconomic factors. To enhance the developmental impact of remittance inflows, the study targets financial instruments such as diaspora bonds, matched investment schemes, and remittance-supported business tax incentives. It also recommends inflation targeting policies to reserve purchasing power and macroeconomic stability. The originality of the study lies in its empirical application of the ARDL framework to the Gambia’s remittance and growth nexus, offering policy with a relevant insight for harnessing the financial inflows for sustainable economic development.
Co-Authors Amadou Gissay Botticelli, Tommaso Gubenko, Anastasia Hamza, Ali Minteh, Salim Pratama, Obi Saleh, Husny Gibreel Musa Sohna, Nasirou