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All Journal Jurnal Ilmiah Poli Bisnis Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Digital Business
Effendi, Rusfian
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Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering

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Forecasting National People's Salt Production with Time Series Model Using POM-QM for Windows Badi'ah, Roudlotul; Odelia, Evi Maya; Effendi, Rusfian
Jurnal Ilmiah Poli Bisnis Vol 14 No 2 (2022): Volume 14 Nomor 2
Publisher : Politeknik Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30630/jipb.v14i2.826

Abstract

The need for salt in Indonesia continues to increase yearly, but the performance of salt production in Indonesia has not been able to meet the targets set in the 2015-2019 KKP strategic plan. This study aims to properly obtain time series forecasting methods and estimates of the amount of national salt production in 2022 to find out Indonesia’s needs of salt. The data are the 2012-2021 Directorate General KP3K/PRL performance report, 2012-2021 KKP performance and annual reports, and the 2020-2024 KKP strategic plan. Forecasting analysis techniques use naive methods, moving averages, weighted moving averages, exponential smoothing, exponential smoothing with trend, and trend analysis using POM-QM for Windows 3. The results show that the selected forecasting method predicts the amount of national salt productions are trend analysis with total production in 2022 of 1,277,392 tons because it has the smallest MAD, MSE, and MAPE forecasting errors compared to other methods, so that the results of this forecasting can be used for policy design in the future.
Policy Analysis of the Establishment of the Koperasi Desa Merah Putih Effendi, Rusfian; Deny, Muhammad; Kurniawan, Cristoporus Esandra Murta; Handoko, Irfan
RIGGS: Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Digital Business Vol. 4 No. 3 (2025): Agustus - October
Publisher : Prodi Bisnis Digital Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/riggs.v4i3.2597

Abstract

In anticipation of Indonesia Emas 2045, the President of the Republic of Indonesia instructed the formation of the Merah Putih Village Cooperative, which aims to be an economic driver in achieving economic independence and food self-sufficiency. This research aims to analyze the policy for establishing the Merah Putih Village Cooperative. The method used is a SWOT analysis (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats), which is employed to assess the success rate of the policy. This research utilizes secondary data, including government policies outlined in the Constitution, Presidential Instructions, Government Regulations, and data or information published in both print and online media. The results of this study indicate that Koperasi Merah Putih has strengths that can overcome weaknesses and threats, and capitalize on opportunities for the success of Koperasi Desa Merah Putih. Meanwhile, the conclusion of this study states that the establishment of the Merah Putih Cooperative is a strategic step that can accelerate the pace of Indonesia's economic growth. This policy is essential for improving the living standards of rural communities.  
Co-Authors Badi'ah, Roudlotul Handoko, Irfan Kurniawan, Cristoporus Esandra Murta Muhammad Deny, Muhammad Odelia, Evi Maya