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Apakah Inflasi Dapat Menurunkan Peningkatan Konsumsi Masyarakat Miskin Bukti Negara Berkembang Dan Maju Di Asia Ghannili, Farawi
Jurnal Akuntansi, Manajemen dan Ilmu Ekonomi (Jasmien) Vol. 5 No. 01 (2024): Jurnal Akuntansi, Manajemen dan Ilmu Ekonomi (Jasmien) : September-November
Publisher : Cattleya Darmaya Fortuna

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54209/jasmien.v5i01.816

Abstract

Introduction/Main Objective: This study examines the impact of inflation, consumer price index (CPI) and consumer energy index (CEI) on poverty in developed and developing countries in Asia. This study aims to examine the impact of inflation on poverty by developing GLS and DGMM models. Background of the Problem: There is a relative influence in understanding inflation in increasing or decreasing the consumption of poor households in developed and developing countries in Asia, namely the strategic geographical location and income of the population of each country are different. Identification: each continuous variable and significantly in the DGMM model on poverty. Novelty: This paper not only focuses on inflation at the price level of goods but also focuses on the price level of energy consumption for the poor in developed and developing countries in Asia. Research Method: This study uses the Generalized Least Square and Difference Generalized Method of Moment models to examine and understand the state of poverty affected by inflation. Findings/Results: These findings reveal poverty as measured by household consumption affected by inflation in the price of goods and energy prices. This insight promises that price and energy inflation can increase or decrease the consumption of poor households. Conclusion: Continuously increasing inflation can directly benefit economic growth, but will be a problem for the poor in increasing their consumption.
Economic Turbulence in Indonesia: The Effects of Instability and Crisis Ghannili, Farawi; Utama, Muhammad Budi; Amirullah, Malik Abd Karim; Iman, Moh Nurul
ETIKONOMI Vol. 24 No. 2 (2025)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/etk.v24i2.44443

Abstract

Research Originality: This study presents a novel perspective by examining Indonesia’s economic growth over three crisis periods. It uniquely highlights how global economic uncertainty can strengthen Indonesia’s growth resilience when met with credible domestic policy responses. Research Objectives: The research investigates the effects of exports, imports, production value, interest rates, economic globalization, exchange rates, and state obligations on Indonesia’s economic growth at constant prices. Research Methods: Using quarterly time-series data from 1991Q1 to 2024Q1, the study employs a Dummy Variable–Autoregressive Distributed Lag model. Empirical Result: Exports have a direct negative effect on economic growth but when influenced indirectly by the global crisis and the pandemic, exports can actually contribute to growth. On the other hand, imports directly boost growth, but their impact is negatively affected by the global crisis. Additionally, interest rates support long-term growth but hinder it in the short run; however, crises may moderate this impact positively. Implications: These findings underscore the need for policymakers to craft dynamic, adaptable economic strategies that can safeguard Indonesia’s growth against future global shocks and uncertainties. JEL Classification: F41, E32, O53