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All Journal El-Iqtishady Jurnal Ekonomi Bisnis dan Kewirausahaan
Cornelia Aginta Br Sembiring
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Other

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PENGARUH TINGKAT EKSPOR DAN PENGANGGURAN TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA PADA TAHUN 2019-2023 Maya Sentia Enjelika Tampubolon; Cornelia Aginta Br Sembiring; Melisa Patrisia Manurung
Jurnal Ekonomi Bisnis dan Kewirausahaan Vol. 1 No. 6 (2024): Desember : Jurnal Ekonomi Bisnis dan Kewirausahaan (JEBER)
Publisher : CV. Denasya Smart Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.69714/8393qt37

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the influence of export levels and unemployment on economic growth in Indonesia in the 2019-2023 period. Using secondary data from the Central Statistics Agency and Bank Indonesia as well as multiple linear regression analysis methods, the research results show that exports have a positive but not significant impact on economic growth, with a calculated t value of 2.328 and a significance value of 0.145. On the other hand, unemployment has a negative and significant effect on economic growth, with a calculated t value of 5.096 and a significance value of 0.036. The simultaneous test shows that these two variables together have a significant effect on economic growth, with a calculated F value of 20.871. This research concludes that although exports do not have a significant effect, reducing unemployment must be the main focus to support sustainable economic development in Indonesia.
PENGARUH VARIABEL PDRBHK_M, TPT, DAN KURS TERHADAP VARIABEL JUMLAH PENDUDK MISKIN MELALUI VARIABEL MEDIASI PENERIMAAN DI SUMATRA UTARA TAHUN 2001-2021 Cornelia Aginta Br Sembiring; Maya Sentia Anjelika Tampubolon; Melisa Patrisia; Fahmi Apriyansyah Siregar; Joko Suharianto
El-Iqthisadi Vol 7 No 2 (2025): Desember
Publisher : Jurusan Hukum Ekonomi Syariah Fakultas Syariah dan Hukum Uin Alauddin Makassar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24252/el-iqthisady.v7i2.62063

Abstract

Abstrak Penelitian ini menganalisis pengaruh Produk Domestik Regional Bruto Harga Konstan (PDRBHK_M), Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka (TPT), dan nilai tukar (Kurs) terhadap jumlah penduduk miskin (JPM) di Provinsi Sumatera Utara dengan penerimaan pemerintah sebagai variabel mediasi selama 2001–2024. Penelitian menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan analisis jalur (path analysis) melalui EViews 13 dan data sekunder dari BPS Sumatera Utara. Hasil menunjukkan bahwa PDRBHK_M, TPT, dan Kurs tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap penerimaan pemerintah maupun jumlah penduduk miskin, dan penerimaan pemerintah sebagai mediasi juga tidak signifikan. Arah hubungan menunjukkan PDRBHK_M cenderung menurunkan kemiskinan, sedangkan pelemahan Kurs cenderung meningkatkannya. Kata kunci: PDRB, Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka, Kurs, Penerimaan Pemerintah, Jumlah Penduduk Miskin   Abstract This study analyzes the effect of Regional Gross Domestic Product at Constant Prices (PDRBHK_M), Open Unemployment Rate (TPT), and exchange rate (Kurs) on the number of poor people (JPM) in North Sumatra Province with government revenue as a mediating variable during 2001–2024. The study uses a quantitative approach with path analysis through EViews 13 and secondary data from the North Sumatra Statistics Agency. The results show that PDRBHK_M, TPT, and Kurs do not have a significant effect on government revenue or the number of poor people, and government revenue as a mediator is also insignificant. The direction of the relationship shows that PDRBHK_M tends to reduce poverty, while a weakening of Kurs tends to increase it. Keywords: GRDP, Open Unemployment Rate, Exchange Rate, Government Revenue, Number of Poor People
Co-Authors Fahmi Apriyansyah Siregar Maya Sentia Anjelika Tampubolon Maya Sentia Enjelika Tampubolon Melisa Patrisia Melisa Patrisia Manurung