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All Journal International Journal of Advances in Data and Information Systems The Indonesian Journal of Computer Science
Tsabitah, Dhiya Ulayya
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Computer Science & IT Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering

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A Analisis Perbandingan Kinerja Metode Ensemble Bagging dan Boosting pada Klasifikasi Bantuan Subsidi Listrik di Kabupaten/Kota Bogor Cintari, Nanda Putri; Alifviansyah, Kevin; Tsabitah, Dhiya Ulayya; Sartono, Bagus; Firdawanti, Aulia Rizki
The Indonesian Journal of Computer Science Vol. 13 No. 6 (2024): The Indonesian Journal of Computer Science (IJCS)
Publisher : AI Society & STMIK Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33022/ijcs.v13i6.4537

Abstract

The classification of electricity subsidy recipients is an crucial step to ensure that the government's social assistance program is distributed in a targeted manner, so an appropriate analysis method is needed. This research compares the Bagging and Boosting ensemble methods for the classification of households receiving electricity subsidies in Bogor Regency and City using Susenas 2023 data totaling 2002 households. The bagging method uses Random Forest and Extra Trees, while boosting includes CatBoost and LightGBM. The results showed that the Extra Trees method of bagging provided the best performance with 91% accuracy, 95% F1score, and 97% sensitivity. Factors such as ownership of electronic goods and modern facilities, such as ownership of air conditioners, laptops, and televisions are the most significant variables in influencing the classification of electricity subsidy recipients. With high accuracy and minimal bias, this model effectively supports data-driven policies for electricity subsidy distribution. This research is expected to be a strategic recommendation for the government to improve the effectiveness of the electricity subsidy program to be more efficient, well-targeted, and support the improvement of people's welfare.
Spatiotemporal Clustering of Key Food Commodity Prices Using Multivariate Time Series Tsabitah, Dhiya Ulayya; Angraini, Yenni; Sumertajaya, I Made
International Journal of Advances in Data and Information Systems Vol. 6 No. 3 (2025): December 2025 - International Journal of Advances in Data and Information Syste
Publisher : Indonesian Scientific Journal

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59395/ijadis.v6i3.1422

Abstract

Food price stabilization remains a critical challenge in economic development planning and food security, particularly in developing countries like Indonesia, which exhibit high spatial and temporal diversity. To develop an efficient and adaptive predictive approach for understanding food commodity price dynamics, this study integrates multivariate time series clustering using a Dynamic Time Warping-based K-Means algorithm with a hybrid forecasting model that combines Vector Error Correction Model with Exogenous Variables and Long Short-Term Memory. The clustering evaluation results indicate reasonably cohesive group structures, with a silhouette score of 0.45 and a Davies-Bouldin Index of 0.67. Each cluster profile reveals significant differences in price trends, volatility, and anomaly patterns. Model validation using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test shows that the differences between cluster-level forecasts and individual-level actual values are generally statistically insignificant. These findings suggest that the proposed integrative approach can accurately capture regional price patterns and serve as a foundation for more data-driven and responsive policymaking in food price stabilization efforts. The 30-period forecasts for rice, eggs, and red onions reflected dynamic variations aligned with spatial characteristics: rice shows relatively stable behavior, eggs exhibit strong seasonal patterns, and red onions display the highest price volatility.
Co-Authors Alifviansyah, Kevin Aulia Rizki Firdawanti Bagus Sartono Cintari, Nanda Putri I Made Sumertajaya Yenni Angraini