Sari, Merysa Puspita
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Optimal Control for a COVID-19 and Tuberculosis Co-Infection Model with Asymptomatic COVID-19 Carriers Rizka, Sailah Ar; Ayu, Regina Wahyudyah Sonata; Ainurrofiqoh, Dewi Ika; Sari, Merysa Puspita; Kholifia, Nadia
Euler : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Sains dan Teknologi Volume 13 Issue 1 April 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37905/euler.v13i1.31076

Abstract

This study applies optimal control theory to a deterministic co-infection model of COVID-19 and tuberculosis (TB) with asymptomatic COVID-19 carriers, who are assumed to be less infectious. The optimal control strategy aims to minimize intervention costs and reduce infections by implementing five control measures, including prevention and vaccination of COVID-19, treatment of both symptomatic and asymptomatic COVID-19-infected individuals, treatment of COVID-19 and active TB co-infected individuals, and prevention of treatment failure in active TB cases. Pontryagin's minimum principle is used to characterize the necessary conditions for optimal control in reducing infections. Numerical results demonstrate the effectiveness of the optimal control strategy in suppressing diseases. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for different combinations of control measures is evaluated, showing that the intervention strategy performs best when all control measures are used.
Batas Perturbasi Mutlak Nilai Eigen dari Matriks Normal Ainurrofiqoh, Dewi Ika; Sari, Merysa Puspita; Rizka, Sailah Ar; Kholifia, Nadia
Euler : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Sains dan Teknologi Volume 13 Issue 2 August 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37905/euler.v13i2.31084

Abstract

The eigenvalue problem in matrices is an important topic in numerical computation, particularly in analyzing the sensitivity of eigenvalues to disturbances or perturbations. This study discusses the absolute perturbation bounds on the eigenvalues of a matrix, focusing on normal matrices and their relationship to the condition of normal matrices. Based on existing theorems, the absolute perturbation bounds are presented in various forms involving the Frobenius norm and the condition number of the matrix eigenvectors. This research provides a detailed discussion of results concerning the absolute perturbation bounds on eigenvalues and their applications to normal matrices. Ultimately, an important result on the error bounds of eigenvalues in the case of normal matrices affected by perturbations is fully explained, proving the connection between the absolute error bound and the Frobenius norm of the perturbations.
Prediction of Rice Production in Jember Regency Using Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) Riski, Abduh; Putriana, Novia Ayu; Fadri, Firda; Kamsyakawuni, Ahmad; Pradjaningsih, Agustina; Santoso, Kiswara Agung; Sari, Merysa Puspita
ILKOM Jurnal Ilmiah Vol 17, No 3 (2025)
Publisher : Prodi Teknik Informatika FIK Universitas Muslim Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33096/ilkom.v17i3.2797.262-275

Abstract

Jember Regency is the fourth largest rice-producing regency/city in East Java, so Jember Regency dramatically contributes to increasing the agricultural sector in East Java Province. However, the level of rice production can fluctuate, which is influenced by other factors such as rainfall. A prediction system is needed to anticipate a decrease in rice production. This research aims to predict rice production in the Jember Regency using the Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), highlighting the impact of key variables like rainfall, harvested area, and land productivity. This research consists of three stages: training, testing, and prediction. The input variables used in this research are rainfall (mm), harvested area (Ha.), and land productivity (Kw/Ha.), while the output variable is rice production (tons). The membership functions used are generalized Bell and Gaussian, with several combinations of many membership functions. The best model obtained from this research is a model that uses generalized bell membership functions with three membership functions for rainfall variables and two membership functions for harvest area and land productivity variables. The epoch (iteration) used to achieve minimum error is 100 epochs. The best model achieved high accuracy, producing a MAPE value of 0.080% in training and 1.525% in testing, indicating its strong potential for reliable agricultural production forecasting. The predicted amount of rice production in Jember Regency in 2024 was 922,136.8317 tons.