Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 2 Documents
Search

Pengaruh Mobilitas Masyarakat terhadap Tingkat Penambahan Jumlah Kasus COVID-19 di Surabaya Alawy, Gholiqul Amrodh; Achmad Wicaksono; Syaripin; Adelia Nur Isna Kartikasari; Niswah Selmi Kaffa
Jurnal Teknik: Media Pengembangan Ilmu dan Aplikasi Teknik Vol 24 No 1 (2025): Jurnal Teknik - Media Pengembangan Ilmu dan Aplikasi Teknik
Publisher : Fakultas Teknik - Universitas Jenderal Achmad Yani

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55893/jt.vol24no1.684

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengkaji dampak mobilitas penduduk dan kendaraan terhadap jumlah kasus COVID-19 di Surabaya serta menentukan jeda waktu (time lag) optimal antara pola mobilitas dan peningkatan kasus baru. Analisis regresi linier digunakan dengan variabel dependen (Yi) berupa jumlah harian kasus positif COVID-19 dan variabel independen (Xi) berupa data mobilitas. Data mobilitas ini dikumpulkan dari titik-titik transportasi utama di Surabaya, yaitu Stasiun Kereta Api Gubeng, Terminal Bus Purabaya, dan Gerbang Tol Waru Utama. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa terdapat pola peningkatan jumlah kasus COVID-19 yang sejalan dengan perubahan tingkat mobilitas masyarakat. Pada jeda waktu (lag) 0 hari, korelasi antara mobilitas dan kasus COVID-19 memiliki nilai koefisien determinasi (R²) sebesar 0,719, namun meningkat menjadi 0,753 ketika menggunakan jeda waktu 15 hari (lag = 15). Hal ini menunjukkan bahwa fluktuasi mobilitas masyarakat di Surabaya memiliki pengaruh yang lebih kuat terhadap jumlah kasus COVID-19 dalam rentang waktu 15 hari setelahnya. Model regresi linier yang dibangun melalui proses seleksi stepwise memperlihatkan bahwa tingkat mobilitas di Gerbang Tol Waru Utama menjadi variabel prediktor paling signifikan, menjadikannya faktor penting dalam memahami dinamika penyebaran COVID-19 di wilayah ini.
Simulation of Tidal Inundation along the Northern Coast of Central Java (Pantura) Using GISBased Analysis Hilma Wasilah Robbani; Adelia Nur Isna Kartikasari; Vanadani Pranantya; Niswah Selmi Kaffa
GEOID Vol. 20 No. 2 (2025)
Publisher : Departemen Teknik Geomatika ITS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.12962/geoid.v20i2.8772

Abstract

The northern coast of Java Island (locally known as Pantura) is a strategically important area, particularlyin the distribution sector. However, its topographical characteristics and proximity to the Java Sea make it vulnerableto the threat of tidal inundation. Moreover, environmental factors such as sea level rise, land subsidence, and coastalabrasion further exacerbate its susceptibility to flooding. The phenomenon of tidal inundation, locally referred to asrob, occurs when seawater overflows onto low-lying coastal areas during high tides. The rob phenomenon significantlyimpacts the socio-economic conditions of coastal communities, disrupting daily activities and damaging criticalinfrastructure. This study simulates potential inundation using a uniform Highest High Water Level (HHWL) scenarioof 1.2 meters to estimate flood depth and spatial extent. The modeling approach applies a consistent water surfaceelevation across the study area, without considering storm surge and hydrodynamics, resulting in generalizedinundation patterns. The methodology follows the Technical Guidelines for Disaster Risk Assessment issued byIndonesia’s National Disaster Management Agency (BNPB) and integrates various spatial datasets, including landcover data from Sentinel Land Cover by ESRI, topographic data from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM)Digital Elevation Model (DEM), and maximum tidal height data processed using the Admiralty method. The analysisshows that, assuming a Highest High Water Level of 1.2 meters, Kendal Regency, Brebes Regency, and SemarangCity are the most affected areas in terms of both flood depth and extent. The inundated areas are estimated at 3,744.91hectares in Kendal Regency, 2,880.58 hectares in Brebes Regency, and 513.17 hectares in Semarang City. Thissituation could become more severe in the event of storm surge, extreme weather, or climate anomalies if timely andeffective mitigation measures are not implemented. These findings are expected to provide a strong foundation forpolicymakers to formulate targeted, data-driven, and sustainable mitigation strategies to protect communities andinfrastructure along Java’s northern coastal region.