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Syahwa, Nabillah
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Inflation and Unemployment Trade-off in the Global Economy in Indonesia Post COVID-19: Revisiting the Phillips Curve Concept: JEL Classification: E24, E31, E32, E52, O53 Ayu, Catur Diah; Febiani, Fasya; Ardhani, Furkon; Leonardo, Muhammad; Syahwa, Nabillah; Nuraya, Ahmad Setiawan
Journal La Bisecoman Vol. 6 No. 2 (2025): Journal La Bisecoman
Publisher : Newinera Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37899/journallabisecoman.v6i2.2310

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to re-evaluate the relevance of the Philipps curve in Indonesian economy post COVID-19 pandemic. According to the Phillips Curve theory, there is a negative correlation between unemployment and inflation, but the post-pandemic economic landscape presents complications. Using a descriptive perspective, and linear regression on the 2019 − 2024 inflation and unemployment data, research suggests that they are inversely associated with each other, yet, insiginificant from the statistical point of view. So this says that: whatever the causes of inflation, they are mostly from other variables such as changes in global supply chains and international policy decisions (global in addition to domestic policy) rather than unemployment. The traditional view of the Phillips Curve model thus is considered not suitable in modeling Indonesia macroeconomic nowadays. These findings underscore the need for a more flexible, locally-sensitive and data-informed approach to policy-making with respect to the economy.
Keterkaitan Danantara dengan Stabilitas Keuangan Makro di Indonesia: Sebuah Pendekatan Teori Ekonomi Makro Ayu, Catur Diah; Febiani, Fasya; Ardhani, Furkon; Leonardo, Muhammad; Syahwa, Nabillah; Nuraya, Ahmad Setiawan
Indonesian Research Journal on Education Vol. 5 No. 2 (2025): Irje 2025
Publisher : Fakultas Keguruan dan Ilmu Pendidikan, Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/irje.v5i2.2418

Abstract

Presiden Prabowo Subianto meluncurkan Danantara Badan Pengelola Investasi (BPI) Daya Anagata Nusantara pada 24 Februari 2025, bersamaan dengan disahkannya Undang-Undang BUMN pada 5 Februari 2025. Lembaga ini akan mengelola aset BUMN senilai US$900 miliar atau sekitar Rp14.615 triliun, dengan tujuan mengoptimalkan pengelolaan aset dan dividen BUMN serta mendorong investasi strategis guna pertumbuhan ekonomi. Sebagai sovereign wealth fund (SWF), Danantara berpotensi meningkatkan cadangan devisa, memperkuat nilai tukar Rupiah, serta mengurangi ketergantungan pada utang luar negeri. Konsolidasi aset BUMN diharapkan dapat mendorong pertumbuhan ekonomi ke 5,1–5,4% pada 2025, dengan potensi mencapai 8% dalam jangka menengah. Namun, risiko seperti penurunan likuiditas perbankan akibat terserapnya dividen BUMN, serta potensi korupsi dan inefisiensi jika pengawasan lemah, perlu diwaspadai. Oleh karena itu, diperlukan sistem pengawasan berlapis dan transparansi dalam pengelolaan investasi agar manfaat Danantara dapat dimaksimalkan.
Co-Authors Ardhani, Furkon Ayu, Catur Diah Febiani, Fasya Leonardo, Muhammad Nuraya, Ahmad Setiawan