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All Journal Jurnal Dimensi JURNAL PENDIDIKAN SAINS SOSIAL DAN AGAMA Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Munawaroh, Siti Rizqiyatul
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Religion Arts Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Other

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Determinants of Unemployment Rate in Indonesia: A Dynamic Panel Data Approach Munawaroh, Siti Rizqiyatul; Endang; Susilo, Joko Hadi; Astuti, Hartiningsih
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 23 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v23i1.23310

Abstract

Unemployment is a common problem faced by developing countries such as Indonesia. As one of the indicators of economic development, unemployment has a complex nature and has an impact on various aspects. This study was conducted to determine the conditions and variables that affect the unemployment rate in Indonesia from 2014-2023. The data analysis used is a dynamic panel data econometric model using Generalized Method Moments (GMM). This model was developed by Arellano Bond that meets the criteria of unbiased, valid, and consistent. The results of the analysis show that the variables of economic growth, human development index, average years of schooling, total population, foreign direct investment, domestic investment, and number of poor people have a significant effect on the unemployment rate. In addition, the unemployment rate in the previous period also had a significant effect on the unemployment rate in the period when the study was conducted. The findings in the study provide information on strategies to stabilize labor demand and supply, increase investment, and implement efficient short-run and long-run policies as an effort to reduce unemployment in Indonesia.
ANALISIS TINGKAT EKSPOR KOMODITAS KOPI DI INDONESIA Moehadi, Moehadi; Astuti, Hartiningsih; Susilo, Joko Hadi; Munawaroh, Siti Rizqiyatul; Rosida, Sahra Dwi Irma; Rizky, Vito Satria
JURNAL DIMENSI Vol 14, No 3 (2025): JURNAL DIMENSI (NOVEMBER 2025)
Publisher : Universitas Riau Kepulauan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33373/dms.v14i3.8303

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of land area and coffee production on Indonesian coffee export volume, focusing on the five largest coffee-producing provinces: South Sumatra, Lampung, North Sumatra, Aceh, and Bengkulu. The method used was a quantitative approach with multiple linear regression analysis using EViews 10. The sample was purposively selected based on the highest coffee production in these provinces. The results show that land area negatively affects Indonesian coffee export volume, while coffee production has a positive effect. Simultaneously, these two variables contribute significantly to the variation in coffee export volume, accounting for 83.18%. This finding indicates that the increase in coffee export volume is more influenced by production effectiveness than land area alone. Therefore, the results of this study are expected to serve as a reference for the government in managing the coffee plantation sector to increase productivity and Indonesian coffee export volume.
Fiscal Strategy and Economic Growth: The Effect of Government Expenditure On Economic Growth in East Java Province Febrianti, Elika; Munawaroh, Siti Rizqiyatul; Rahayu, Mei Ria
Jurnal Pendidikan, Sains Sosial, dan Agama Vol. 11 No. 2 (2025): This issue focuses on Education and Social
Publisher : STABN RADEN WIJAYA WONOGIRI

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.53565/pssa.v11i2.2521

Abstract

The relationship between government spending and economic growth is a perennial topic of discussion and debate within a country's economy. A wealth of empirical evidence explores the causal relationship between these two macroeconomic variables and finds differing or contradictory results. This study aims to analyze the relationship between government spending and economic growth in East Java Province. This is done to determine whether the two influence each other or whether they are one-way. Panel data regression analysis was used to answer these analysis results. The data analyzed were annual panel data from 2011-2020. The results show that (i) the direct expenditure (BL) variable has a positive effect on the economic growth (PE) variable in East Java Province. (ii) the indirect expenditure (BTL) variable has a negative and significant effect on the economic growth (PE) variable in East Java Province. Based on the data analysis, it shows that there is a one-way causal relationship between direct expenditure (BL) and indirect expenditure (BTL) on economic growth (PE).
Co-Authors Endang Febrianti, Elika Hartiningsih Astuti Moehadi Rahayu, Mei Ria Rizky, Vito Satria Rosida, Sahra Dwi Irma Susilo, Joko Hadi