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IMPLEMENTATION OF VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE (VAR) AND VECTOR ERROR CORRECTION MODEL (VECM) METHOD IN PNEUMONIA PATIENTS WITH WEATHER ELEMENTS IN PANGKALPINANG CITY Amelia, Ririn; Wahyuni, Dhiti; Julianti, Erna
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 18 No 3 (2024): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol18iss3pp1447-1458

Abstract

The news about Covid-19 is no longer as scary as in previous years. As COVID-19 cases decrease, health protocols are becoming more relaxed, making it easier for the virus to spread. Besides COVID-19, ARI is one of Indonesia's leading causes of death for children under five. Around 20-40% of hospital admissions are children due to ARI, with around 1.6 million deaths due to pneumonia alone in children under five per year. Currently, ARI dominates the diseases most suffered by the people of Bangka Belitung. Based on this, using the VAR and VECM method to analyze pneumonia sufferers in toddlers regarding weather elements in the Pangkalpinang City. The VAR model has a simpler structure with a minimal number of variables where all the variables are endogenous, with the independent variable being the lag. Meanwhile, VECM can be used to model cointegrated and non-stationary time series data. The data used in this research is the number of monthly cases of toddlers suffering from pneumonia and data on climate conditions, namely rainfall, air temperature, air humidity and duration of sunlight during 2019-2021 in Pangkalpinang City. The results of the Granger Causality test show that the pneumonia variables regarding rainfall, temperature, duration of sunlight and humidity only have a one-way causality pattern. The VAR estimation results show that weather elements (rainfall, temperature and duration of sunlight) do not significantly affect pneumonia in the short term. Meanwhile, the VECM estimation results show that in the long-term pattern, humidity variables affect pneumonia. For this reason, it is recommended that the relevant agencies carry out outreach to the public, especially to pneumonia sufferers, to avoid damp weather. Because the lower the humidity value, the greater the potential for pneumonia in Pangkalpinang City, Bangka Belitung Islands Province.
Penguatan Usaha Masyarakat Melalui Peningkatan Teknologi dan strategi Pemasaran Usaha Kembang Tahu di Desa Jurung Kabupaten Bangka Zeleansi, Zizi; Janah, Nurul; Wahyuni, Dhiti; Prayanti, Baiq Desy Aniska
Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Berbasis Teknologi Vol 3 No 2 (2022): Volume 3, Nomor 2, November 2022
Publisher : ISB Atma Luhur

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32736/abdimastek.v3i2.1516

Abstract

Usaha Mikro Kecil dan Menengah (UMKM)  kembang tahu yang berkembang di Desa Jurung, Kecamatan Merawang, Kabupaten Bangka, Provinsi Kepulauan Bangka Belitung perlu dilakukan pembinaan lebih lanjut. Pembinaan ini bertujuan untuk memberikan pelatihan dan pendampingan mengenai strategi kewirausahaan yakni pengemasan produk, labelling, dan strategi pemasaran produk UMKM kembang tahu di Desa Jurung.  Adapun metode pelaksanaan kegiatan ini dengan menyelenggarakan pelatihan pengemasan produk dengan impulse sealer, promosi produk menggunakan media sosial seperti facebook dan instagram serta bimbingan desain labelling produk menggunakan software canva. Hasil yang diperoleh dari pembinaan UMKM kembang tahu di Desa Jurung yaitu memaksimalkan kegiatan produksi kembang tahu dengan memanfaatkan perkembangan teknologi dan media digital sehingga produk UMKM dikenal oleh semua lapisan masyarakat, baik  lokal maupun internasional.