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All Journal MATHunesa: Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika Parameter: Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Terapannya
Fadhlia, Zahrotul Wardah
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Mathematics

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METODE HOLT DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING UNTUK PERAMALAN PRODUKSI DAGING AYAM KAMPUNG Intahaya, Ari; Salamah, Nur; Ummah, Hidayatul; Alfiani, Faradillah Siska; Fadhlia, Zahrotul Wardah; Isroil, Ahmad
MATHunesa: Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika Vol. 13 No. 2 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Surabaya

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Abstract

This study aims to forecast the production of free-range chicken in East Java using the Holt-Double Exponential Smoothing method. By utilizing production data from the past several years, this method was chosen for its ability to capture existing trend patterns. The analysis results indicate that the method provides a high level of accuracy in forecasting. In general, the production of free-range chicken is expected to increase in most regions, although some areas may experience a decline. It is expected that farmers and local governments would use the study's conclusions as a foundation for their decision-making in order to preserve the stability and sustainability of free-range chicken production.
FORECASTING RICE PRODUCTION WITH THE HOLT-WINTERS EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING METHOD Salamah, Nur; Intahaya, Ari Maulidah; Alfiani, Faradillah Siska; Ummah, Hidayatul; Fadhlia, Zahrotul Wardah; Isro'il, Ahmad
Parameter: Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Terapannya Vol 4 No 1 (2025): Parameter: Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Terapannya
Publisher : Jurusan Matematika FMIPA Universitas Pattimura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/parameterv4i1pp141-152

Abstract

This study aims to forecast rice production in East Java using the Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing method which can be used to view data with seasonal and trend patterns. The rice production data used in this study comes from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) which includes production data for the last five years. The results of the analysis show that this method provides a sufficient level of accuracy in forecasting and is also effective in providing estimates of rice production as well as assisting in strategic decision-making on the management of the agricultural sector and food security.
Co-Authors Ahmad Isroil, Ahmad Alfiani, Faradillah Siska Intahaya, Ari Intahaya, Ari Maulidah Isro'il, Ahmad Salamah, Nur UMMAH, HIDAYATUL