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THE LINEARITY OF THE EXPECTED VALUE OF A FUZZY VARIABLE Kencono, Uvi Dwian; Indarsih, Indarsih -
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 19 No 4 (2025): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol19iss4pp2621-2632

Abstract

In this research, we introduce a novel credibility measure defined as a non-empty set satisfying the axioms of normality, monotonicity, self-duality, and maximality. Based on this credibility measure, a credibility space is constructed, upon which a fuzzy variable can be defined. Similar to fuzzy numbers, fuzzy variables are characterized by membership functions. The membership function of this fuzzy variable is directly derived from the credibility measure. Subsequently, by integrating the credibility measure, the expected value of the fuzzy variable is obtained. The linearity property of fuzzy expected value on fuzzy variables will be proven. This linearity property is highly useful in solving various problems involving fuzzy variables. Therefore, the proposed credibility measure provides a new framework in fuzzy variable theory. This credibility measure not only offers a more formal approach to measuring uncertainty but also opens up possibilities for the development of more complex and applicable fuzzy models.
Collaboration, Agility, and Redundancy: Key Strategies for Managing Global Supply Chain Disruptions Kencono, Uvi Dwian; Marjan, Yakuttinah; Putra, Dimas Endrawan; Zulkarnain , Ahnis
Logistica : Journal of Logistic and Transportation Vol. 3 No. 3 (2025): July 2025
Publisher : Indonesian Scientific Publication

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61978/logistica.v3i3.1064

Abstract

Global supply chains have become highly vulnerable to disruptions caused by pandemics, geopolitical conflicts, trade wars, and sustainability pressures. This narrative review synthesizes existing research on risk management strategies with a focus on resilience, collaboration, sustainability, and strategic intelligence. Literature searches were conducted in Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar, covering studies published between 2010 and 2024. The findings highlight resilience strategies—such as redundancy, agility, and digitalization—as essential mechanisms for mitigating disruptions. Redundancy reduces operational vulnerabilities through buffer inventories and multiple sourcing, while agility enables rapid adjustments to volatile conditions. Digitalization further enhances resilience by improving real-time monitoring and decision-making. Collaborative governance and risk-sharing contracts strengthen supply chain networks by fostering trust and distributing risks equitably. Geopolitical events and the COVID-19 pandemic illustrate the fragility of global networks, emphasizing the importance of supplier diversification, localization, and technological preparedness. Sustainability-related risks, including environmental, social, and governance (ESG) issues, require integrated frameworks that align resilience strategies with ethical and regulatory imperatives. Strategic intelligence emerges as a dynamic capability that supports proactive adaptation and recovery. This review concludes that effective supply chain risk management requires integrated and adaptive frameworks combining resilience, collaboration, and intelligence. Policy support, investment in logistics infrastructure, and targeted strategies for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are critical for building sustainable and competitive global supply chains in an increasingly uncertain environment,