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Resilience of Indonesia’s Trade Balance to Short-Term Exchange Rate and Inflation Dynamics Panjaitan, Andreas; Sabila, Suny; Anisa, Septri; Hutagalung, Debora Silvia; Karo, Artha Putri Br
Economic: Journal Economic and Business Vol. 4 No. 4 (2025): ECONOMIC: Journal Economic and Business
Publisher : Lembaga Riset Mutiara Akbar (LARISMA)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56495/ejeb.v4i4.1300

Abstract

Indonesia's trade balance is often considered vulnerable to exchange rate fluctuations and inflation, but in reality, the period from January 2023 to December 2024 showed a surprising pattern. This study uses a quantitative approach with multiple linear regression on monthly data from Bank Indonesia and Statistics Indonesia to examine the short-term effects of the exchange rate and inflation. The results show that neither is significantly affected. Despite a moderate depreciation of the rupiah and a decline in inflation to its lowest level in history, the trade balance remains in surplus. This finding challenges the common assumption that short-term macroeconomic fluctuations determine trade performance and reveals that structural external factors such as global commodity prices and trading partner demand play a more dominant role. This study emphasizes the need for innovative sector-based trade strategies beyond conventional monetary instruments to maintain external stability.
Analisis Program Kampus Berdampak Terhadap Pemberdayaan Masyarakat Melalui Simase di Desa Silau Malaha Sabila, Suny; Khairani, Nilam Cahya; Sahputri, Ariani; Yusmalinda, Yusmalinda
Kayee: Jurnal Pendidikan dan Ilmu Sosial Vol. 1 No. 2 (2026): JANUARI-JUNI
Publisher : CV. Rumoh Aceh Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.63822/5xa1zz19

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the impact of the Kampus Berdampak program on community empowerment through the development of the Simase product in Silau Malaha Village. The research focuses on five main aspects: community participation, capacity and skill enhancement, economic independence, the role of students as agents of empowerment, and sustainability strategies along with the challenges encountered. The study employs a qualitative approach, with data collected through in-depth interviews involving six informants, consisting of three villagers, two village officials (the village head and agricultural extension officer), and one community leader.The findings reveal that the community was actively involved in all stages of the program, from planning to implementation. The program successfully enhanced technical skills, digital literacy, and awareness of local potential. Independent initiatives to produce Simase have begun to emerge, although challenges remain in terms of production tools and market access. Students played a crucial role as facilitators, educators, and collaborative partners in the empowerment process. Sustainability strategies have been initiated through the establishment of community business groups and follow-up training, yet long-term success requires institutional support and cross-sector collaboration.In conclusion, the Kampus Berdampak program has proven to make a positive contribution to community empowerment based on local potential, and serves as a collaborative model between universities, communities, and village governments in promoting sustainable rural development.