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All Journal Signifikan : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi EKONOMIS : Journal of Economics and Business
Octariyadi, Nabila Umami
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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Do Coffee Exports Have an Impact on Economic Growth in Indonesia? Nasution, Nazla Atikah Hikmatias; Zahra, Zhena Nofhatiaz; Octariyadi, Nabila Umami; Sahara, Sahara
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 14 No. 2 (2025)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i2.46425

Abstract

Research Originality: The novelty lies in exploring an under-researched topic, with limited studies on the impact of coffee exports from 1993 to 2024, considering key events such as the Asian financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. Research Objectives:  This study examines the short-term and long-term effects of exchange rates and coffee exports on economic growth. Research Methods: This study utilizes data from 1993 to 2024 on exchange rates, coffee exports, recessions, and economic growth in Indonesia. The analysis is conducted using the ARDL model. Empirical Results: Exchange rate depreciation has a negative impact on GDP in the short term, while past depreciation has a positive effect on economic growth. The value of coffee exports has a marginal positive effect on GDP, while the volume of coffee exports shows inconsistent impacts. Recession does not significantly affect GDP, likely due to policy responses. Long-term estimates show a stable relationship among the variables, with adjustments occurring at a rate of 35.43% per period. Implications: The government should thoroughly evaluate existing policies with a focus on promoting economic growth, while enhancing the quality of Indonesian coffee exports to remain competitive globally. JEL Classification: C32, E01, F10, O11 How to Cite:Hikmatias, N.A., Zahra, Z.N., Octariyadi, N.U., & Sahara. (2025). Do Coffee Exports Have an Impact on Economic Growth in Indonesia?. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 14(2), 489-504. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v14i2.46425.
Perubahan Struktural dan Integrasi Harga Beras di Pulau Jawa Nasution, Nazla Atikah Hikmatias; Akbar, Wahyu; Octariyadi, Nabila Umami; Andi, Laode; Sahara, Sahara
Ekonomis: Journal of Economics and Business Vol 10, No 1 (2026): Maret
Publisher : Universitas Batanghari Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33087/ekonomis.v10i1.2311

Abstract

The El Nino phenomenon and international trade policies have contributed to the fluctuations in Indonesian rice prices. Therefore, a comprehensive analysis of structural changes and price inequality in medium rice in Java Island during 2020-2024 is needed.To this end, daily price data from producer, wholesaler, and traditional market levels in 5 provinces were analyzed using the Houck approach, ECM, and cointegration test. Study findings show significant structural changes across Java Island capitals and provinces in February 2024, greatly affecting price stability analysis uncovers price discrepancy transmission differences. A response to price decreases outpaces that to price increases, suggesting bottlenecks in the supply chain. To stabilize prices and boost food security, the study suggests policies that support better distribution infrastructure and integration in the market.
Co-Authors Andi, Laode Nasution, Nazla Atikah Hikmatias Sahara Sahara Wahyu Akbar Zahra, Zhena Nofhatiaz