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All Journal Signifikan : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi ETIKONOMI Jurnal Agribisnis Indonesia (Journal of Indonesian Agribusiness) Agrisocionomics: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Kirana: Jurnal Komunikasi dan Penyuluhan Pertanian ASA: Journal ofAgribusiness and Sustainable Agriculture Bulletin of Social Studies and Community Development
Zahra, Zhena Nofhatiaz
Faculty Of Agriculture And Forestry, Satya Terra Bhinneka University
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Kinerja Penyuluh Pertanian di Provinsi Riau Irwandi, Putra; Zahra, Zhena Nofhatiaz; Azra, Habibah Nurfaizah; Adetya, Aulia
Jurnal KIRANA Vol. 5 No. 2 (2024): Jurnal Kirana Volume 5 Nomor 2
Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Jember

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.19184/jkrn.v5i2.52438

Abstract

The performance of agricultural extension workers plays a vital role in developing the agricultural sector and improving farmer welfare. This research aims to identify factors that influence the performance of agricultural instructors. The research method used a census of 89 agricultural instructors as respondents. The variables studied include age, education level, work experience, distance to the target location, number of target villages, as well as other factors that have the potential to influence the performance of instructors. Data analysis was carried out using inferential statistical methods to test the relationship between variables. The research results show that of the various factors studied, five variables have a significant influence on the performance of agricultural instructors: age, education level, work experience, distance to the target location, and number of target villages. Age and work experience show a positive relationship with performance, indicating that more senior extension workers tend to perform better. Education level is also positively correlated, indicating the importance of formal knowledge in increasing the effectiveness of extension. The distance traveled to the target location has a negative relationship with performance, indicating that the longer the distance to be traveled, the lower the instructor's performance. The number of villages assisted also influences performance, where there is an optimal point for the number of villages that can be developed effectively. These findings provide important insights for the development of policies and programs to improve the performance of agricultural extension workers
Do Coffee Exports Have an Impact on Economic Growth in Indonesia? Nasution, Nazla Atikah Hikmatias; Zahra, Zhena Nofhatiaz; Octariyadi, Nabila Umami; Sahara, Sahara
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 14 No. 2 (2025)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v14i2.46425

Abstract

Research Originality: The novelty lies in exploring an under-researched topic, with limited studies on the impact of coffee exports from 1993 to 2024, considering key events such as the Asian financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. Research Objectives:  This study examines the short-term and long-term effects of exchange rates and coffee exports on economic growth. Research Methods: This study utilizes data from 1993 to 2024 on exchange rates, coffee exports, recessions, and economic growth in Indonesia. The analysis is conducted using the ARDL model. Empirical Results: Exchange rate depreciation has a negative impact on GDP in the short term, while past depreciation has a positive effect on economic growth. The value of coffee exports has a marginal positive effect on GDP, while the volume of coffee exports shows inconsistent impacts. Recession does not significantly affect GDP, likely due to policy responses. Long-term estimates show a stable relationship among the variables, with adjustments occurring at a rate of 35.43% per period. Implications: The government should thoroughly evaluate existing policies with a focus on promoting economic growth, while enhancing the quality of Indonesian coffee exports to remain competitive globally. JEL Classification: C32, E01, F10, O11 How to Cite:Hikmatias, N.A., Zahra, Z.N., Octariyadi, N.U., & Sahara. (2025). Do Coffee Exports Have an Impact on Economic Growth in Indonesia?. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 14(2), 489-504. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v14i2.46425.
Integrasi  Pasar Spasial Harga Bawang Merah di Sumatera Utara Zikra Fernando; Zhena Nofhatiaz Zahra
ASA : Agribusiness and Sustainable Agriculture Vol. 2 No. 1 (2026): January 2026
Publisher : Universitas Satya Terra Bhinneka

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Tingginya fluktuasi harga bawang merah di Provinsi Sumatera Utara yang sering menimbulkan perbedaan harga antar wilayah, terutama antara sentra produksi dan pasar konsumen. Kondisi ini mengindikasikan adanya potensi masalah dalam integrasi pasar dan efisiensi transmisi harga. Oleh karena itu, penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis integrasi spasial harga bawang merah di Provinsi Sumatera Utara dengan fokus pada hubungan harga antara sentra produksi utama di Kabupaten Karo dan pasar konsumen di Kota Medan, Kota Pematang Siantar, Kota Sibolga, serta Kabupaten Nias Utara. Data harga bawang merah bersumber dari Sistem Pemantauan Pasar dan Kebutuhan Pokok SP2KP Kementerian Perdagangan Republik Indonesia. Penelitian menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan metode Autoregressive Distributed Lag atau ARDL untuk menguji keterkaitan harga jangka panjang dan dinamika penyesuaian jangka pendek antar wilayah. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa pasar bawang merah di Sumatera Utara telah terintegrasi secara spasial yang ditandai oleh adanya hubungan jangka panjang antar pasar. Kabupaten Karo berperan sebagai sumber pasokan utama, sedangkan Kota Medan dan Kota Pematang Siantar berfungsi sebagai pasar penggerak harga. Kota Sibolga dan Kabupaten Nias Utara cenderung menjadi pasar pengikut dengan respons harga yang lebih terbatas. Transmisi harga jangka pendek bersifat tidak simetris akibat perbedaan struktur pasar, kelancaran distribusi, dan hambatan geografis, sehingga kekuatan integrasi antar wilayah belum sepenuhnya merata.
Seasonal Variation in Rice Price Transmission in Indonesia Zhena Nofhatiaz Zahra; Zikra Fernando; Rio Akbar Rahmatullah
Agrisocionomics: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol 10, No 2 (2026): June 2026
Publisher : Faculty of Animal and Agricultural Science, Diponegoro University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/agrisocionomics.v10i2.28636

Abstract

Rice is a strategic commodity serving as the staple food in Indonesia. Price transmission in the rice supply chain is critical for market efficiency and food security, yet existing studies often overlook seasonal variations and nonlinearity. This study aims to analyze seasonal variations in rice price transmission across producer, wholesaler, and traditional market levels in Indonesia during different seasons (February-May, June-September, October-January). The study employs monthly time-series data on medium rice prices from February 2020 to February 2025. The Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag model is used to capture short and long-run price transmission. Stationarity, cointegration, and Wald tests are conducted to validate the model. The findings reveal significant asymmetric price transmission during February-May and June-September, with farmers more vulnerable to price declines. Meanwhile, wholesalers and traditional markets responding faster to price increases. The October-January period shows stagnant dynamics due to low market activity. Long-run asymmetry is prevalent, indicating persistent market inefficiencies. Seasonal variations significantly influence rice price transmission in Indonesia, highlighting the need for season-based policy interventions to stabilize prices and protect farmers. Enhancing farmers' bargaining power and implementing technology-driven price monitoring systems are recommended to mitigate asymmetry and improve market efficiency
MENGUNGKAP DINAMIKA HARGA: KOEFISIEN VARIASI DAN STRUCTURAL BREAK DI PASAR TELUR AYAM Zhena Nofhatiaz Zahra; Rio Akbar Rahmatullah; Sahara Sahara
Jurnal Agribisnis Indonesia Vol. 14 No. 01 (2026): Juni 2026 (Jurnal Agribisnis Indonesia)
Publisher : Departmen of Agribusiness, Economics and Management Faculty, Bogor Agricultural University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jai.2026.14.01.220-235

Abstract

Fluktuasi harga merupakan salah satu dari sekian banyak masalah yang dihadapi oleh komoditas strategis dengan tingkat konsumsi yang tinggi, seperti telur ayam ras. Berbagai tantangan dihadapi oleh para pemangku kepentingan untuk menjaga stabilitas harga. Artikel ini menganalisis dinamika harga telur ayam ras di Indonesia melalui pendekatan koefisien variasi (CV) dan identifikasi structural break pada data harga harian dari Januari 2020 hingga November 2024. Studi ini menyoroti pola variasi harga yang berbeda di empat tingkat distribusi-produsen, pedagang besar, pasar tradisional, dan pasar modern-dan menganalisis dampak structural break terhadap stabilitas harga. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa pasar modern, pedagang grosir, dan produsen memiliki variasi harga yang rendah (<10%), yang mencerminkan stabilitas harga yang baik. Sebaliknya, pasar tradisional menunjukkan variasi harga yang lebih tinggi (15%), yang diakibatkan oleh dinamika penawaran dan permintaan lokal dan infrastruktur distribusi yang terbatas. Analisis structural break menunjukkan bahwa gangguan struktural, seperti pandemi COVID-19 dan perang Rusia-Ukraina, berdampak pada tren dan fluktuasi harga di berbagai daerah, terutama di daerah yang bergantung pada distribusi luar pulau seperti Bali, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, dan Papua. Studi ini memberikan wawasan mendalam tentang dinamika harga komoditas strategis dan menawarkan rekomendasi kebijakan, termasuk meningkatkan kapasitas produksi di luar Jawa dan Sumatera dan memperkuat infrastruktur rantai pasok untuk mengurangi volatilitas harga. Temuan-temuan ini diharapkan dapat menjadi referensi penting dalam perumusan kebijakan stabilisasi harga pangan strategis di Indonesia
Dampak Investasi Terhadap Pertumbuhan Sektor Pertanian dan Penyerapan Tenaga Kerja di Provinsi Riau Zhena Nofhatiaz Zahra; Widyastutik; Feryanto
Jurnal Agribisnis Indonesia Vol. 13 No. 2 (2025): Desember 2025 (Jurnal Agribisnis Indonesia)
Publisher : Departmen of Agribusiness, Economics and Management Faculty, Bogor Agricultural University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jai.2025.13.2.491-505

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh investasi yang termasuk penanaman modal asing, penanaman modal dalam negeri dan belanja pemerintah terhadap pertumbuhan sektor pertanian serta penyerapan tenaga kerja di kabupaten/kota Provinsi Riau dengan pendekatan model persamaan simultan. Penelitian ini menggunakan data panel tahun 2018–2023 dari 12 kabupaten/kota, dan dianalisis menggunakan metode Two Stage Least Square (2SLS) untuk mengestimasi hubungan antar variabel. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa penanaman modal dalam negeri berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan sektor pertanian dan penyerapan tenaga kerja, sedangkan penanaman modal asing tidak menunjukkan pengaruh signifikan. Belanja pemerintah sektor pertanian justru berdampak negatif terhadap pertumbuhan dan penyerapan tenaga kerja, yang mengindikasikan adanya potensi inefisiensi dalam perencanaan dan pelaksanaannya. Sementara itu, pertumbuhan sektor pertanian terbukti memberikan kontribusi positif terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja. Kesimpulan dari penelitian ini menegaskan bahwa optimalisasi penanaman modal dalam negeri dan reformulasi alokasi belanja pemerintah sangat diperlukan guna meningkatkan output sektor pertanian sekaligus membuka lebih banyak lapangan kerja. Oleh karena itu, pemerintah daerah perlu meninjau ulang efektivitas belanja pemerintah dan memperkuat insentif terhadap investasi yang padat karya di sektor pertanian.
Determinants of Indonesia’s Economic Growth:Short-Run and Long-Run Analysis Zahra, Zhena Nofhatiaz; Anggraini, Dian Fitria; Hikmatias, Nazla Atikah; Kausar, Farid
ETIKONOMI Vol. 25 No. 1 (2026)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/etk.v25i1.49619

Abstract

Research Originality: The originality of this study lies in its integrated approach to analyzing Indonesia’s economic growth from a long-term structural perspective, capturing dynamic interactions among key macroeconomic variables within a cointegrated framework, and emphasizing the interconnected effects of policy reforms, external shocks, and macroeconomic forces. Research Objectives: This research aims to analyze the short-run and long-run effects of government expenditure, gross fixed capital formation, foreign direct investment, exports, and inflation on Indonesia’s economic growth. Research Method: The study uses annual time-series data from 1993 to 2024 (32 observations) and applies the ARDL model to analyze both short- and long-run dynamics. Empirical Result: Short-run analysis shows that government spending, investment, and exports have positive effects on economic growth, while inflation has a negative effect, and foreign direct investment has no significant effect. Long-run analysis indicates that government spending and exports have positive effects, while all other factors have a negative impact on economic growth. Implications: Policy implications highlight the need to strengthen institutional quality, enhance investment effectiveness, ensure targeted government spending, and maintain inflation control to support long-term macroeconomic stability. JEL Classification: E62, F43, O11
The Impact of Fiscal Decentralization on Human Development Outcomes and Income Equality at the Provincial Level in Indonesia Wiwiek Rindayati; Lailatun Nikmah; Gerhana Gerhana; Zhena Nofhatiaz Zahra
Bulletin of Social Studies and Community Development Vol 5, No 3 (2026): Bulletin of Social Studies and Community Development
Publisher : Institute of Multidisciplinary Research and Community Service

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61436/bsscd/v5i3.pp161-176

Abstract

Fiscal decentralization since the reform era has transformed regional development policies in Indonesia. However, its effectiveness in enhancing human development and reducing income inequality varies across regions and across the empirical literature. This study analyzes the impact of fiscal decentralization reflected through the degree of fiscal decentralization, education expenditure, and health expenditure on the Human Development Index and Gini coefficient, with poverty rate, GDP per capita, and open unemployment rate as control variables. Panel data from 34 Indonesian provinces for the period 2017-2023 were used. This study employed two types of analysis: qualitative and quantitative. Qualitative analysis was used to describe the state of fiscal decentralization, the Human Development Index, and income inequality across Indonesia’s 34 provinces from 2017 to 2023. A typological classification was then conducted to map regional conditions across four quadrants. Quantitative analysis was used to examine the impact of fiscal decentralization on the Human Development Index and income inequality at the provincial level in Indonesia. The analytical technique employed was panel data regression, combining cross-sectional and time-series data. The time-series data used covers the years 2017 to 2023, while the cross-sectional data consists of data from 34 provinces in Indonesia. Data processing was performed using Microsoft Office Excel 2021 and EViews 10. The findings indicate that fiscal decentralization has a significant positive effect on HDI (0.14) and a significant negative effect on inequality (-0.00). The research findings imply the need to enhance regional fiscal autonomy, prioritize education and health budget allocation, and optimize regional development. Keywords: Fiscal decentralization; Human development; Income inequality; Panel data
How Do Digital Readiness and Economic Growth Compare Across Income Groups? Wiwiek Rindayati; Siti Aisyah; Gerhana Gerhana; Zhena Nofhatiaz Zahra
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 15 No. 2 (2026)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v15i2.51553

Abstract

Research Originality: This study provides new empirical evidence on the global impact of digital readiness on economic growth by comparing high-, middle-, and low-income countries. Unlike previous studies focusing on single countries or regions, this research examines whether digital readiness contributes differently across income groups. Research Objectives: This study aims to explore the development of digital readiness and analyze its effect on economic growth across countries by income level. Research Methods: The study uses descriptive analysis and panel-data regression across 105 countries for 2019–2023. Digital readiness is measured by the Networked Readiness Index, comprising 46 indicators. PCA is applied to construct the index, and panel regression examines the relationship between digital readiness and economic growth across income groups. Empirical Results: Digital readiness significantly boosts economic growth across all income groups, with the strongest effect in high-income countries, a moderate effect in middle-income countries, and the weakest in low-income countries. Implications: The findings show that digital readiness has become a key driver of global economic growth, reflecting increasing access to and adoption of digital technologies across countries at different income levels. JEL Classification: O33, O40, F63 How to Cite:Rindayati, W., Aisyah, S., Gerhana, & Zahra, Z. N. (2026). How Do Digital Readiness and Economic Growth Compare Across Income Groups?. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 15(2), 355-372. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v15i2.51553.
Co-Authors Adetya, Aulia Anggraini, Dian Fitria Azra, Habibah Nurfaizah Feryanto Feryanto Gerhana Gerhana Gerhana Gerhana Hikmatias, Nazla Atikah Kausar, Farid Lailatun Nikmah Nasution, Nazla Atikah Hikmatias Octariyadi, Nabila Umami PUTRA - IRWANDI Rio Akbar Rahmatullah Rio Akbar Rahmatullah Sahara Sahara Siti Aisyah Widyastutik Wiwiek Rindayati Zikra Fernando Zikra Fernando