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All Journal Journal of Indonesian Social Sciences and Humanities
Yulinda Nurul Aini
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Social Sciences

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Trade Globalization and Its Impact on Welfare in Indonesia Yulinda Nurul Aini; Purba, Yanti Astrelina; Meilianna, Ruth
Journal of Indonesian Social Sciences and Humanities Vol. 8 No. 1 (2018): Journal of Indonesian Social Sciences and Humanities
Publisher : RMPI-BRIN

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Indonesia was experiencing trade globalization in the form of decreasing and uniforming tariffs and eliminating various non-tariff barriers. Trade globalization had a positive and negative impacts on Indonesian’s welfare. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the effect of Trade’s Globalization on Indonesian’s Welfare. The Trade globalization was measured by three variables, namely Trade Openness, Inflation, and Exchange Rate. While Indonesian’s Welfare was measured by three aspects, namely education aspect using School Enrollment, health aspect using Life Expectancy, and economic aspect using the GDP Per capita. The data used was time series data from 1971-2016. This study applied mix-methods, quantitatively using Structural Equation Modeling Partial Least Square (SEM-PLS) and qualitatively using desk study. The results indicated that Trade Openness and Exchange Rate were positive and significant indicators in measuring Trade globalization. In addition, School Enrollment and GDP Per capita were also positive and significant indicators in measuring Indonesian’s Welfare. In general, the test showed that Trade globalization had a negative and significant influence on Indonesian’s Welfare. This fact suggested the importance of controlling exchange rate stability in Indonesia, because exchange rate could affect people’s ability to maintain lives through purchasing power. In addition, globalization measured through Trade Openness could be an accommodation to obtain new technology in various fields, such as in education to improve the quality of human resources, in health sector to treat various diseases and reduce the risk of death, and in economy sector to increase Per capita income.
Malaria Morbidity Prediction Scenario In Indonesia Hafsari, Tria Anggita; Yulinda Nurul Aini; Kurniawan, Fuat Edi
Journal of Indonesian Social Sciences and Humanities Vol. 9 No. 1 (2019): Journal of Indonesian Social Sciences and Humanities
Publisher : RMPI-BRIN

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WHO declared that Indonesia is a country at risk of malaria, because of the high rates of malaria morbidity. Government commitment in eradicating malaria has been realized in Malaria elimination program. The program aims to reduce Malaria case to zero in 2030. Starting from 2011, Indonesia suffered a drop in API’s value from 1.75 to 0.84‰. Despite the numerous drop in Malaria cases, some regions are until now suffering from large major outbreaks especially in the eastern Indonesia. The aim of this paper is to predict the trend of malaria morbidity with the API variable value of each targeted area in Indonesia. The prediction method employed in this research was deterministic method using extrapolation trends and probabilistic method using ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) using variation percentage of training and testing data to obtain the best prediction method. Result of this article was API value scenario in Indonesia up to 2030 for every targeted area. Based on the analysis result, the best method to predict the value of API was exponential growth method since it had the smallest MAPE value, which was 38.48 using 80% training data and 20% testing data. Prediction results indicated that the first targeted area had eliminated malaria in 2016, the second targeted area target would eliminated malaria in 2019 and the third targeted area was by 2022. Whereas the fourth targeted area covers Papua, West Papua, East Nusa Tenggara, Maluku and North Maluku had not eliminated malaria until 2030.
Estimation Analysis And Mapping The Need For ‘Agen Perisai’ In Expanding The Membership Of BP Jamsostek (A Case Study: West Java Province, Indonesia) Yulinda Nurul Aini
Journal of Indonesian Social Sciences and Humanities Vol. 10 No. 2 (2020): Journal of Indonesian Social Sciences and Humanities
Publisher : RMPI-BRIN

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Social security is one indicator of human development efforts to achieve Indonesia’s 2045 vision plan. One of the challenges in social security is the limited coverage and involvement of the population. In 2019, data of the BP Jamsostek West Java Province showed that the involvement of workers in the informal sector in social security was still low (around 3%). One of the efforts to increase the participation of informal workers is through Perisai agents. However, the number of active agents in West Java Province was still low and not comparable to the number of informal workers which reached 10 million people. Meanwhile in 2024, the government is targeting the participation of informal workers to be around 30% and universal coverage by 2029. For this reason, this article will form a scenario for estimating the need for Perisai agents to achieve universal coverage for informal worker participation. Based on the result, if the government want to achieve the target of 30% of informal workers’ participation in 2024, the best scenario is to recruit 626 agents, while to achieve the universal coverage participation in 2029, the need for agents is 928 people. The highest agent needs are in the agriculture, wholesale trade, and accommodation sector. According to regency/city, the highest demand for agents is in the regencies of Bogor, Bandung, Garut, and Sukabumi. Furthermore, the mapping results by sector and regency/city can be used by relevant stakeholders to help formulate a Perisai agent recruitment policy to achieve universal coverage of BP Jamsostek membership in the coming year.
Co-Authors Hafsari, Tria Anggita Kurniawan, Fuat Edi Meilianna, Ruth Purba, Yanti Astrelina