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All Journal Journal of Applied Science and Advanced Engineering
Nazara, Meiman Zaro
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Computer Science & IT Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering Mechanical Engineering Physics

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Analysis Of Prediction Of Electrical Power Use Outside Peak Load Of Apartment Building X Using The Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) Method: A Case Study of Apartment Building X Nazara, Meiman Zaro; Rofii, Ahmad; Muliadi, Jemie
Journal of Applied Science and Advanced Engineering Vol. 4 No. 1 (2026): JASAE: March 2026
Publisher : Master Program in Mechanical Engineering, Gunadarma University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59097/jasae.v4i1.80

Abstract

Energy efficiency in residential high-rise buildings has become a critical issue in modern power management, particularly during off-peak periods (LWBP), which contribute significantly to daily electricity consumption. However, most existing studies have primarily focused on peak load forecasting, leaving limited exploration of electricity usage during off-peak hours. This study proposes a daily electricity consumption forecasting model for the off-peak period using the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) architecture, designed to capture long-term dependencies in time-series data. The dataset consists of one year of historical daily electricity consumption records from Apartment X. Data preprocessing included Min-Max normalization, time windowing, and partitioning into 80% training and 20% testing sets. Hyperparameter optimization was performed using Optuna, while model performance was evaluated using RMSE, MAE, MSE, and R² metrics. Experimental results demonstrate that the LSTM model effectively captured the temporal patterns of LWBP electricity consumption, achieving RMSE = 0.140, MAE = 0.109, MSE = 0.020, and R² = 0.537. These findings highlight the potential of LSTM as a decision-support tool for building energy management systems, enabling optimization of electricity usage during non-peak hours. Furthermore, this work provides opportunities for future research by integrating hybrid deep learning architectures (e.g., CNN-LSTM or Bi-LSTM) and incorporating external factors such as temperature, weather conditions, and occupant behavior to improve predictive accuracy in real-world applications.
Co-Authors Ahmad Rofii Muliadi, Jemie