Indonesian Journal of Geography
Vol 52, No 3 (2020): Indonesian Journal of Geography

Spatial Dynamics Model of Land Availability and Population Growth Prediction in Bengkulu City

Della Ayu Lestari (Marine Information System, Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia)
Dewi Susiloningtyas (Geography Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Indonesia, Indonesia)
Supriatna Supriatna (Geography Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Indonesia, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Dec 2020

Abstract

Bengkulu City is the center for almost all activities and has a high population growth rate. Because of the high population growth rate, human needs for space and land will increase. Land availability will continue to decline, while it cannot increase the existing area. This will impact the carrying capacity of the environment, so it needs predictions for land availability. This study used a spatial dynamics model which is an analysis of the dynamic system model and the suitability of the built-up area. The carrying capacity to reach excellent quality when the length of the built-up area is 30-70% of the total area that can be used. The results showed that the built-up area will reach 70% in 2030, which means it will exceed the environmental carrying capacity threshold. The results showed there were differences between the distribution patterns of built-up area in the spatial dynamics model and Spatial Planning Bengkulu City in 2032 at Kampung Melayu Subdistrict, Selebar Subdistrict, Singaran Pati Subdistrict, and Sungai Serut Subdistrict.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ijg

Publisher

Subject

Earth & Planetary Sciences

Description

Indonesian Journal of Geography ISSN 2354-9114 (online), ISSN 0024-9521 (print) is an international journal of Geography published by the Faculty of Geography, Universitas Gadjah Mada in collaboration with The Indonesian Geographers Association. Our scope of publications includes physical geography, ...