<![CDATA[Recommendation of active or productive experts is indispensable in supporting collaborations. Activities of publication and citation indicate expert productivity. An expert can be inferred to have an interest in a subject through productivity in that particular topic. Since an expert can change interests over time, the contribution of this paper is a Discrete Choice Model (DCM) based on topic productivities to predict the primary interests of the experts. DCM uses features extracted from bibliographic data of citation relation and title-abstract texts. Before extracting productivity features and dynamicity features to represent interest changes, title clustering with KMeans++ is used to identify research topics. There are six productivity features and five dynamicity values for each productivity feature to demonstrate the expert behavior. Therefore, a clustered topic as a research interest is represented as an expert choice with 30 extracted features in the proposed method. The experiments used multinomial logistic regression for DCM and a log-likelihood indicator for the fitted models of the features. The resulted DCM models showed that productive behavior of the experts by doing many publications and receiving many citations effected to the precision of topic prediction by 80%. Some features were better for predicting primary interests of the expert. It was demonstrated with a lower precision value of 60% by using features that represent the expert behavior of only doing publication or only getting citation.]]>
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