Elektron Jurnal Ilmiah
Volume 15 Nomor 1 Tahun 2023

Peramalan Beban Listrik Kabupaten Pesisir Selatan Dengan Analisis Regresi

Hendri, Zulka (Unknown)
Efendi, Efendi (Unknown)
Asrul, Junaidi (Unknown)
Fitriadi, Fitriadi (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
27 Jun 2023

Abstract

The more electric vehicles emerge, the more electricity demand will increase in each region. This will encourage electricity providers to increase the number or capacity of generators. The construction of a new power plant requires load forecasting to determine how much capacity the plant will build. This study aims to predict the electrical load in Pesisir Selatan, West Sumatra until 2031 using linear regression analysis and time series. Forecasting is done on each sector of PLN customers. Forecasting is done based on the PLN customer sector. The forecasting sectors are the household, business, social and government sectors. The four test criteria were carried out are namely the coefficient of determination test (R2), the F test, the T test and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The forecasting results show that in 2031 the electricity load for the household sector is 120.1 MW, the business sector is 5.7 MW, the social sector is 56.9 MW and the government is 9.5 MW.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JIE

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering

Description

Elektron Jurnal Ilmiah (EJI) is a peer-reviewed journal which is published by Department of Electrical Engineering, Politeknik Negeri Padang. The ISSN number is 2085-6989. EJI published the first edition in 2009 and since 2014, EJI publishes in Juni and December. The scopes of the journal are: ...