Jurnal EMT KITA
Vol 9 No 1 (2025): JANUARI 2025

Peramalan Inflasi di Indonesia Pasca Pemilu 2024 dengan Metode Time Series Double Exponential Smoothing

Anwar, Khoirul (Unknown)
Iryanto, Rivaldo Kurniawan (Unknown)
Harahap, Rifqah (Unknown)
Sinuraya, Asmah (Unknown)
Munizu, Musran (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Jan 2025

Abstract

Inflation is an increase in the prices of goods and services in a certain period whose growth is sought to remain low and stable for the sake of society's welfare. The aim of this research is to predict or predict the rate of inflation which will contribute to Indonesia economic uncertainty after the 2024 General Election. The data used in this research is secondary data obtained from the Bank Indonesia website. This research uses Indonesian monthly inflation data from 2015 to 2024. The data is analyzed using the Double Exponential Smoothing method. The results of the analysis showed that descriptive analysis of Indonesian inflation from 2015 fluctuated and continued to decline until in 2021 it reached 1.67% and increased in 2022 reaching 5.51% and continued to decline in the following year. Forecasting results using the Double Exponential Smoothing method continue to decline for December 2024 to April 2025 with a MAD error value of 0.3202. Inflation forecasting in Indonesia is expected to support interested parties in making policies to maintain country stability and control economic uncertainty after the election.

Copyrights © 2025






Journal Info

Abbrev

emt

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

The Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen Teknologi (EMT) KITA is one of the scientific publications published by the KITA Institute. The purpose of this Journal is to support the theory and practice of development management in the dissemination of research findings in the field. This journal covers fields such ...