Jurnal Pengembangan Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer
Vol 2 No 3 (2018): Maret 2018

Peramalan Curah Hujan Menggunakan Metode High Order Fuzzy Time Series Multi Factors

Ahmada Bastomi Wijaya (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)
Candra Dewi (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)
Bayu Rahayudi (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)



Article Info

Publish Date
18 Aug 2017

Abstract

Malang Regency is one of the regencies in East Java which has a high level of agricultural production in almost every district has agricultural land. The problem is when high rainfall is not a few farmers who experienced crop failure. Rainfall is one of several factors that affect climate change so it is very important to determine the yields obtained. The problem of this harvest failure can be overcome by forecasting rainfall, with rainfall forecasting farmers can determine the time of the appropriate cropping patterns so as to anticipate the occurrence of crop failure. On the research of forecasting rainfall in dasarian based on several factors namely temperature, humidity, and wind speed. The methods used for forecasting rainfall dasarian is a High-Order Fuzzy Time Series Multi factors. In this method the formation of subinterval using fuzzy C-means. In calculating the error of forecasting result using Mean Square Error (MSE). Based on the results of tests conducted the smaller threshold and the greater data training as well order the value error is obtained increasingly low. The result of forecasting dasarian rainfall for forecasting one year ahead using this method get the best MSE result of 539,698.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

j-ptiik

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering

Description

Jurnal Pengembangan Teknlogi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer (J-PTIIK) Universitas Brawijaya merupakan jurnal keilmuan dibidang komputer yang memuat tulisan ilmiah hasil dari penelitian mahasiswa-mahasiswa Fakultas Ilmu Komputer Universitas Brawijaya. Jurnal ini diharapkan dapat mengembangkan penelitian ...