G-Tech : Jurnal Teknologi Terapan
Vol 9 No 3 (2025): G-Tech, Vol. 9 No. 3 July 2025

A SIAR Model Approach to the Impact of Mudik Tradition on Covid-19 Transmission in Indonesia

Idayani, Darsih (Unknown)
Tarigan, Asmara Iriani (Unknown)
Kharis, Selly Anastassia Amellia (Unknown)
Kurniawati, Heny (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
12 Jul 2025

Abstract

In Indonesia, on March 2, 2020, the government announced the first case of Covid-19. Preventing the COVID-19 spread in Indonesia is challenging because the people are very diverse, and not everyone has the same understanding of the transmission of COVID-19. In addition, the Indonesians has mudik tradition, going home yearly on Eid al-Fitr. This study developed an epidemic model of Covid-19 spread SIAR by adding migration factors to represent the mudik tradition. The disease-free equilibrium point, the endemic equilibrium point, and its stability were determined. Numerical simulations were done using Covid-19 transmission data to analyze the trend of symptomatic and asymptomatic infected subpopulations. The results show that the dynamic characteristics of Covid-19 cases were semi-stable in compartments S, I, and A. This condition means that S, I, and A will rise at a certain time. In a disease-free situation, the susceptible subpopulation S is stable at a certain value. At the same time, other subpopulations are stable at almost zero and at zero. The susceptible subpopulation S in a disease-free situation is larger than during an epidemic. The number of people in disease-free conditions is smaller than those in epidemic conditions. In addition, migration at a certain level can increase the spread of Covid-19.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

g-tech

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Energy Engineering

Description

Jurnal G-Tech bertujuan untuk mempublikasikan hasil penelitian asli dan review hasil penelitian tentang teknologi dan terapan pada ruang lingkup keteknikan meliputi teknik mesin, teknik elektro, teknik informatika, sistem informasi, agroteknologi, ...