Venn: Journal of Sustainable Innovation on Education, Mathematics and Natural Sciences
Vol. 4 No. 3 (2025): Matematika, IPA, dan Pembelajarannya

Analysis of Vulnerable and Recovered Population Dynamics in the SAHTR Model Based on Variations in the Spread and Rehabilitation Rates

Anggriani, Nita (Unknown)
Mangobi, James U.L. (Unknown)
Pratama, Muhammad Isbar (Unknown)
Samosir, Rosauli Novalina (Unknown)
Handayani, Lilis (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
16 Jul 2025

Abstract

Drug abuse continues to be a significant public health issue, especially in developing countries such as Indonesia, with increasing prevalence among the productive age group. This study develops and analyzes a compartmental mathematical model, SAHTR (Susceptible, Addicted-Lighter, Addicted-Heavier, Treatment, Recovery), using a nonlinear system of differential equations to simulate the dynamics of drug abuse spread and recovery. The model integrates an optimal control approach to evaluate the effectiveness of two intervention strategies: anti-drug campaigns and psychological counseling. Numerical simulations were carried out using the Runge-Kutta 4th order method, focusing on the sensitivity analysis of two key parameters: the rate of social transmission (β) and rehabilitation success rate (γ₂). The results show that while the β parameter influences the initial decline of the susceptible population, its long-term impact is relatively minimal. In contrast, the γ₂ parameter significantly affects the dynamics of the recovery compartment, indicating that improving rehabilitation efficiency can substantially reduce system burden and accelerate the return of individuals to a drug-free state. These findings suggest that intervention strategies should prioritize enhancing the quality and accessibility of rehabilitation programs, including structured therapy and post-recovery support. Moreover, social influence control alone is insufficient without being complemented by preventive and community-based approaches. Overall, this study contributes to evidence-based policymaking by demonstrating the value of mathematical modeling in understanding and combating drug abuse effectively.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

venn

Publisher

Subject

Education Environmental Science Mathematics Physics Other

Description

Mathematics and Natural Sciences Education Learning Innovation Development of Mathematics and Natural Sciences Education Sciences Aplication of Mathematics and Natural Sciences Education Actuarial Technology Based of Learning Mathematics and Natural Sciences Study of Learning Mathematics and Natural ...