ILKOM Jurnal Ilmiah
Vol 17, No 3 (2025)

Urban Traffic Volume Prediction using LSTM and Bi-LSTM: Performance Evaluation on the Metro Interstate Dataset

Pranolo, Andri (Unknown)
Saifullah, Shoffan (Unknown)
Putra, Agung Bella Utama (Unknown)
Dreżewski, Rafał (Unknown)
Wibawa, Aji Prasetya (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
29 Oct 2025

Abstract

Urban traffic forecasting underpins the mitigation of congestion, enhancement of road safety, and reduction of emissions in intelligent transportation systems. We benchmark Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Bidirectional LSTM (Bi-LSTM) models on the Metro Interstate Traffic Volume dataset under an identical preprocessing and training pipeline for a fair comparison. Using a 24-hour multivariate input window (temperature, rainfall, snowfall, cloud cover), LSTM delivers the best overall balance of accuracy and efficiency on the full test sequence (RMSE = 0.196, MAPE = 2.36%, R² = 0.480; 7,344 s training). Bi-LSTM achieves competitive short-window accuracy but underperforms on the full sequence (RMSE = 0.231, MAPE = 2.92%, R² = 0.280; 12,672 s training). We attribute the Bi-LSTM gap to prediction "flattening" over long horizons, i.e., over-smoothed peaks from bidirectional averaging, despite its slightly stronger short-segment fit. Compared with prior RNN/GRU/CNN baselines on the same data, LSTM improves variance explanation while remaining deployable for near-real-time use. We also examine seasonality (daily/weekly cycles), weather effects, and data imbalance (peak versus off-peak) as factors that shape model error. These results support LSTM as a practical default for city-scale forecasting and motivate future work with attention/Transformer encoders and richer exogenous signals (incidents, events). The findings inform policy by enabling proactive traffic management that can reduce delays, emissions, and crash risk through earlier, data-driven interventions.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ILKOM

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

ILKOM Jurnal Ilmiah is an Indonesian scientific journal published by the Department of Information Technology, Faculty of Computer Science, Universitas Muslim Indonesia. ILKOM Jurnal Ilmiah covers all aspects of the latest outstanding research and developments in the field of Computer science, ...