Iqtisad : Journal of Islamic Economic and Civilization
Vol. 2 No. 1 (2026): Iqtisad : Journal of Islamic Economic and Civilization (In Progress)

AI-Based Break-Even Optimisation within an Ethical Reflective Framework

Bambang Judi Bagiono (Universitas Saintek Muhammadiyah, Jakarta, Indonesia)
Joko Sarono (Universitas Saintek Muhammadiyah, Jakarta, Indonesia)
Nasirudin Nasirudin (Universitas Saintek Muhammadiyah, Jakarta, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
08 Mar 2026

Abstract

Break-even management is essential for ensuring business sustainability, pricing fairness, and financial accountability, particularly in environments that demand ethical governance. However, conventional break-even analysis is typically static and lacks adaptive optimisation and structured feedback mechanisms. This study aims to develop an AI-based prototype system for optimising break-even variables within an ethical reflective framework that integrates predictive modelling, constrained optimisation, and governance-based feedback. The methodology combines multiple linear regression and exponential smoothing for revenue forecasting, followed by nonlinear optimisation (SLSQP) to minimise time-to-break-even subject to ethical guardrails, including margin floor and price-smoothing constraints. Simulation results show that the prototype improves forecast accuracy (MAPE reduced from 9.45% to 4.87%) and decreases time-to-break-even from 12.4 to 9.8 months (−21%), while reducing deviation variance from 11% to 5.2% through iterative feedback. The novelty lies in embedding ethical accountability constraints into AI-driven optimisation, offering policy implications for transparent pricing, accountable financial planning, and governance-aligned business decision-making.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

irjiec

Publisher

Subject

Religion Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Iqtisad: Journal of Islamic Economic and Civilization (E-ISSN 3090-7896) is a blind peer-reviewed journal studying Islamic Economics and Civilization published by Student Rihlah Indonesia. IJIEC is motivated by a lack of Muslim-spiritual values to understand the contribution of Islam to the ...