Salam (Islamic Economics Journal)
Vol. 8 No. 2 (2026): June 2026

ANALISIS PENGARUH VARIABEL MAKROEKONOMI DAN RISIKO GEOPOLITIK TERHADAP PERGERAKAN JAKARTA ISLAMIC INDEX 2014-2024

Cupian, Cupian (Unknown)
Noven, Sarah Annisa (Unknown)
Rohma, Naili (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
25 Jun 2026

Abstract

Utilizing secondary data gathered on a monthly basis spanning 2014–2024 sourced from the Indonesia Stock Exchange, Bank Indonesia, the World Gold Council, and the Geopolitical Risk Index, this investigation employs a quantitative framework. The analytical procedure involved multiple linear regression estimated via Ordinary Least Squares, preceded by stationarity assessments, classical assumption checks, and heteroskedasticity correction through robust standard errors. The objective was to scrutinize the influences of inflation, exchange rates, global gold prices, and geopolitical risk on the Jakarta Islamic Index. Findings reveal that inflation and geopolitical risk exert no statistically significant impact on the index. In contrast, the exchange rate demonstrates a negative and significant effect at the 5% level, whereas global gold prices exhibit a positive and significant effect at the 10% level. Collectively, these four determinants significantly influence the Jakarta Islamic Index. The model's coefficient of determination shows that 10.97% of the index's variability is accounted for, with the remainder attributable to factors beyond the model. These outcomes offer valuable insights for investors making decisions in the Islamic capital market by considering macroeconomic conditions and global risk.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

salam

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

SALAM is a Journal of Islamic Economics and Business and a biannual journal published by Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business at UIN Raden Intan Lampung - Indonesia. SALAM focused on economic development research. Scope of SALAM are Economic Development, Economic Growth, Islamic Economics, ...