Sosiohumaniora
Vol 28, No 1 (2026): Sosiohumaniora: Jurnal Ilmu-Ilmu Sosial dan Humaniora, MARCH 2026

Poverty and Social Welfare: An Autoregressive Vector Panel Analysis of Social Work Interventions in Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines (1996-2022)

Achmad, Willya (Unknown)
Prawira, Yogie (Unknown)
Maulida, Hindina (Unknown)
Munggaran, Fadriyansyah (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
07 Sep 2026

Abstract

This study investigates the implementation and efficacy of macro-level social work interventions in Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines. Using World Bank secondary data (1996–2022), the research evaluates poverty alongside variables representing macro interventions: investment levels, labor force participation, and school enrollment. Panel Vector Autoregression (PVAR) analysis reveals that historical investment strongly drives current investment, creating a continuous growth cycle. Paradoxically, increased investment negatively impacts labor force participation, poverty levels, and school enrollment, indicating that economic growth can trigger adverse social consequences. Furthermore, the Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Trace) demonstrates no long-term relationship between the variables, suggesting the model's limitations for long-term forecasting. Impulse Response Function (IRF) results confirm that while variables influence each other in subsequent periods, these impacts diminish over time.The findings highlight that while investments drive economic growth in these nations, they do not automatically alleviate poverty. Unfairly allocated investments may even prove counterproductive to educational and welfare goals. Given the inherently unstable relationship between economics and society, poverty remains a multifaceted challenge. Ultimately, policymakers must balance economic progress with social welfare, ensuring that economic policies actively complement social policies.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

sosiohumaniora

Publisher

Subject

Arts Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences

Description

Jurnal Sosiohumaniora adalah jurnal berskala nasional yang mencakup kajian ilmu sosial dan humaniora. Jurnal ini menaruh perhatian pada persoalan gender, pemberdayaan masyarakat, lembaga dan administrasi publik, sistem pemerintahan lokal dan kesehatan masyarakat. Jurnal Sosiohumaniora akan ...