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INDONESIA
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi
Published by Universitas Negeri Padang
ISSN : -     EISSN : -     DOI : -
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
Arjuna Subject : -
Articles 9 Documents
 1 
Search results for , issue "Vol 1, No 2 (2013)" : 9 Documents clear
PROSPEK PERDAGANGAN LUAR NEGERI INDONESIA – AMERIKA SERIKAT DAN KURS Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT This study aims to identify and analyze: (a) the effect of the ratio of the money supply, real output ratio, the difference in inflation, interest rate differentials and foreign trade Indonesia-USA on the exchange rate IDR/US $, (b) the influence of the ratio of real output Indonesi -the United States, the ratio of real output and the Indonesia-Japan exchange rate IDR/U.S. $ against Indonesia's foreign trade-the United States, and (c) foreign trade prospects for Indonesia and the United States. The data used in the study is the time series of the year 1997:3 until 2009:4. The data are stationary at different degrees, but both models cointegration analysis. Furthermore, both models are tested in the identification, reduced form and causality endogenous variables, the two models are estimated using the method of simultaneous equations with 2SLS (Two Stage Least Squares. The results of this study show that: (a) the ratio of the money supply, real output ratio, the difference in inflation, interest rate differentials and foreign trade of the United States Indonesia-significant effect on the exchange  rate of IDR/U.S. $, (b) the real output ratio of Indonesia-USA, the ratio of real output the Indonesia-Japan and exchange rate IDR/U.S. $ significant effect on Indonesia's foreign trade-the United States, and (c) foreign trade Indonesia and the United States have a positive outlook until 2017. From this research, the study recommends to the government of Indonesia through the Ministry of Industry and Trade to continue to give encouragement to the foreign trade sector to increase the quantity and the quality  and diversification of exported commodities that Indonesia's foreign trade prospects-the United States can be realized. Keyword: foreign trade, exchange rates, real output and money supply.
ANALISIS INVESTASI SUMATERA BARAT (PENDEKATAN ERROR CORRECTION MODELS) Adry, Melty Roza
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT The purpose of this research are to analysis effect economic growth and interest rate to investment in West Sumatera in the long and short term. The data used time series data quarterly of the year 2000:1 until 2010:4. The variable used in this research are investment, economic growth, and interest rate. This research use Error Correction Model (ECM). The result of this research in long term and short term economic growth have positive influence and significant effect to investment in West Sumatera. But interest rate have negative influence and not significant effect to investment in West Sumatera Keyword: Investment, Economic Growth, Interest Rate, Error Corection Model
ANALISIS KURS DAN MONEY SUPPLY DI INDONESIA Oktavia, Adek Laksmi; Sentosa, Sri Ulfa; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT This  article focused on  analyze (1) Effect of the money supply, income, domestic interest rates, inflation and the trade balance to the exchange rate in Indonesia. (2) The influence of domestic interest rates, output and  the exchange rate on the money supply in Indonesia. Data used time series of (I year kuartal 2000 – IV year kuartal 2010). This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of Two Stage Least Squared (TSLS). The result of research concludes that (1) the money supply have a significant and positive impact on the exchange rate, incomes have significant and positive impact on the exchange rate, domestic interest rates significantly and negatively on the exchange rate and inflation have a significant and positive impact on the exchange rate. While the trade balance is not significant and negative effect on the exchange rate in Indonesia. If the money supply increases, the exchange rate will also increase or depreciate. If income increases, the exchange rate will depreciate. If the domestic  interest rate increases, the exchange rate will appreciate. If inflation increases, the exchange rate will also depreciate. (2) domestic interest rates, output,  and the exchange rate significantly influence the money supply in Indonesia. Keywords : Income, Domestic Interest Rates, Inflation, Trade Balance, Output, Exchange Rate and Money Supply
ANALISIS PASAR OBLIGASI PEMERINTAH DI INDONESIA Hastin, Mira; Idris, Idris; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT This article focused on analyze (1) Effect of the budget deficit, official foreign borrowing, certificate of Bank Indonesia (SBI), and demand of the government bonds to the issuances of the government bonds in Indonesia. (2) The influence certificate of Bank Indonesia (SBI), bond price, (Composite Stock Price Index) IHSG, and supply of the government bonds to demand of the government bonds in Indonesia. Data used time series of (I year kuartal 2004 – IV year kuartal 2011). This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of Two Stage Least Squared (TSLS). The result of research concludes that (1) the budget deficit have a significant and positive impact on supply of the government bonds, official foreign borrowing, certificate of Bank Indonesia (SBI) and demand of the government bonds significantly and negatively influence on issuances of government bonds. (2) The influence certificate of Bank Indonesia (SBI) have a significant and positive impact on demand of government bonds, IHSG  and supply of the government bonds significantly and negatively on demand of  government bonds in Indonesia. While the bond price is not significant and negative effect  on demand of the government bonds in Indonesia. Keywords : budget deficit, official foreign borrowing, certificate of Bank Indonesia (SBI), bond price, (Composite Stock Price Index) IHSG, demand of the government bonds, and spply of the government bonds
ANALISIS EKONOMI SEKTOR RIIL DAN SEKTOR MONETER DI INDONESIA Dona, Elva; Aimon, Hasdi; Azhar, Zul
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT The purpose of this research to analyze (1) Influence of economic and lagged household consumption to consumption in Indonesia. (2) Influence of economic, interest rate and lagged investment to investment in Indonesia. (3) Influence of economic and exchange rate to export netto in Indonesia. (4) Influence of household consumption, government consumption, investment and export netto to economics in Indonesia. (5) Influence of reserve requirement, money supply and interest rate to money multiplier in Indonesia. (6) Influence of economic and interest rate to money demand in Indonesia. (7) Influence of economics, money supply, lagged inflation to inflation in Indonesia.  The Result of this research are (1) As partial economic and lagged household consumption have significant effect to consumption in Indonesia (2) As partial economic and lagged investment has significant effect to investment in Indonesia, but interest rate has not significant effect. But as simultaneous all variable has significant effect. (3) As partial economic has significant effect to export netto in Indonesia. But exchange rate has not significant influence to export netto in Indonesia (4) As partial household consumption, government consumption and investment has significant effect to Economic in Indonesia but export netto has not significant influence to economic in Indonesia But as simultaneous all variable has significant effect. (5) As partial reserve requirement, money supply and interest rate has significant effect to  money multiplier in Indonesia. (6) As partial economic has significant effect to money demand in Indonesia but interest rate has not significant influence to money demand in Indonesia. But as simultaneous all variable has significant effect. (7) As partial economics and money supply has significant effect to inflation in Indonesian but lagged inflation has not significant influence to inflation in Indonesia. But as simultaneous all variable has significant effect. Keywords: Economics, House hold Consumsptions, Government consumtion, Investment, Export netto, money supply, money multiplier, Inflation.
ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI, INVESTASI, DAN KONSUMSI DI INDONESIA Ernita, Dewi; Amar, Syamsul; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT This study aims to analyze (1) Effect of consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports to economic growth in Indonesia, (2) Effect of interest rates, inflation, and economic growth to investment in Indonesia, (3) Effect of disposable income, consumption previously, and the interest  rate on consumption in Indonesia. Data in the form of time series of the first quarter of 2001 to the fourth quarter of 2010. This study using a simultaneous equations model analysis in the form of Two Stage Least Square (2 SLS). The research concludes that (1) consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports have a significant and positive impact on economic growth in Indonesia. If the consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports increased, economic growth will also increase. (2) Interest rates have a significant and negative effect on investment in Indonesia, while inflation is significant and negative effect on investment in Indonesia. If interest  rates and inflation down the investment will rise, while economic growth in significant and positive impact on investment in Indonesia. (3) Disposable income and consumption before significant positive impact on consumption in Indonesia. If disposable income and consumption increases, consumer spending earlier will also increase. And interest rates have a significant negative effect on consumption in Indonesia. Keywords : Government Spending, Net Exports, Interest Rates, inflation,   Disposable Income, Consumption Previously,  Economic Growth,  Investment, and Consumption
ANALISIS KONSUMSI MASYARAKAT DI INDONESIA Parsaulian, Baginda; Aimon, Hasdi; Anis, Ali
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT The purpose of this study to identify and analyze: (1) consumption of the previous period, the current period disposable income and disposable income previous period on the level of consumption in Indonesia (2) the current period disposable income, disposable income of the previous period, the consumption of the current period, consumption and interest rates on saving the current period in Indonesia (3) inflation and money supply current period the interest rate in Indonesia (4) income taxes in the current period against Indonesia. The results showed (1) there is a significant effect between the consumption of the previous period, disposable income of the current period and disposable income together the level of consumption in Indonesia. (2) There is a significant effect between the current period disposable income, disposable income of the previous period, the current period consumption, the consumption of the previous period and current period interest together towards savings in Indonesia. (3) There is significant inflation period between now and the money supply current period jointly against interest rate in Indonesia. (4) There is a significant effect between the current period income tax in Indonesia. Keywords Consumption, Disposable Income, Interest Rates, Saving, Money Supply, Income Taxes and Inflation
ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI, INVESTASI, DAN INFLASI DI INDONESIA Silvia, Engla Desnim; Wardi, Yunia; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT This article focused on analyze and determine the effect of (1) consumption, investment, government spending, net exports, and inflation to the economic growth in Indonesia. (2) government spending, money supply, interest rates, inflation and economic growth to investment in Indonesia. (3) government spending, money supply, and interest rates on inflation in Indonesia. The form of time series data from the first quarter of years 2000-the fourth quarter of years 2011. This study uses simultaneous equation model analysis tools with Two Stages Least Squared method (TSLS). The result of research concludes that (1) consumption, investment and net exports significantly affect economic growth in Indonesia. With the meaning of the word, when consumption, investment, and net exports increased then it will have an impact on economic growth in Indonesia. However, government spending and inflation does not significantly influence economic growth in Indonesia. (2) Government spending, interest rates, inflation and economic growth a significant effect on investment in Indonesia. This means that the increase in government spending, economic growth, lower  interest rates and inflation will cause an increase to investment in Indonesia. However, the money supply has no significant effect on investment. (3) government spending, money supply, and interest rates significantly effect inflation in Indonesia.   Keywords : Consumption, Government Spending, Net Exports, Money Supply, Interest Rates, Economic Growth, Investment, and Inflation
ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI, KONSUMSI DAN TABUNGAN DI SUMATERA BARAT Ningsih, Efrida; Amar, Syamsul; Idris, Idris
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT This  article focused on  analyze (1) Effect of consumption, investmen, government expenditure and the nett export to the economic growth in West Sumatera. (2) The influence of disposible income, consumption of previous period and the saving on the consumption in West Sumatera (3) Effect  of disposible income, interest rate and consumption  to the saving in West Sumatera. Data used time series of (I year kuartal 2001 – IV year kuartal 2010). This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of Two Stage Least Squared (TSLS). Th  result of research concludes that (1) the consumption have a significant and positive impact on the economic growth, investment have significant  and positive impact on the economic growth, government expenditure have significantly and positive on the economic growth and nett export have a significant and positive impact on the economic growth in West Sumatera. If  the economic growth increases, the consumption will also increase. (2)  disposible income, economic growth and consumption of previous period significantly influence the consumption in West Sumatera. While the saving is significant and negative effect on consumption in West Sumatera. (3) disposible income and  consumption significantly influence the saving in West Sumatera. While the interest rate is not significant effect on saving  in West Sumatera.   Keywords : Consumtption of Previous Period and Diposible Income

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