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Parameter: Journal of Statistics
Published by Universitas Tadulako
ISSN : -     EISSN : 27765660     DOI : https://doi.org/10.22487/27765660.2021.v1.i2
Core Subject : Science, Education,
Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Mathematics
Parameter: Journal of Statistics is a refereed journal committed to original research articles, reviews and short communications of Statistics and its applications.
Arjuna Subject : Matematika - Statistik dan Probabilitas
Articles 6 Documents
 1 
Search results for , issue "Vol. 2 No. 1 (2021)" : 6 Documents clear
Forecasting the Consumer Price Index in Yogyakarta by Using the Double Exponential Smoothing Method Febriyanti, Syintya; Pradana, Wahyu Aji; Muhammad, Juliana Saputra; Widodo, Edy
Parameter: Journal of Statistics Vol. 2 No. 1 (2021)
Publisher : Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Universitas Tadulako

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22487/27765660.2021.v2.i1.15641

Abstract

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is an indicator that is often used to measure the inflation rate in an area, or can be interpreted as a comparison between the prices of a commodity package from a group of goods or services consumed by households over a certain period time. The spread of COVID-19 throughout the world affects the economy in Indonesia, especially Yogyakarta. Forecasting CPI data during the COVID-19 pandemic has the benefit of being an illustration of data collection in the CPI of D.I Yogyakarta Province in the predicted period. This is useful as a comparison with the original data at the time of data collection and publication, as well as a consideration in making policies and improving the economy. Researchers use the Double Exponential Smoothing (DES) method to predict the CPI of Yogyakarta D.I Province, which aims to determine the best forecasting model and forecasting results. This method is rarely used in research on CPI data forecasting in Yogyakarta. The data in this study are monthly data from March 2020 to August 2021. The highest CPI in Yogyakarta occurred in August 2021 at 107.21 or 107.2, while the lowest CPI in Yogyakarta occurred in April 2020 at 105.15 or 105.2. The average CPI in Yogyakarta per month is 106.1. The Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value obtained from the DES method is 0.1308443%, so that the accuracy of the model is 99.869%. Forecasting with the DES method is quite well used in forecasting the CPI data of Yogyakarta in September 2020 - November 2021. The results of CPI forecasting in Yogyakarta using the DES method were 107.2602, 107.3104, and 107.3606 from September-November.
K-Means Clustering for Grouping Indonesia Underdeveloped Regions in 2020 Based on Poverty Indicators Resti Wahyuni
Parameter: Journal of Statistics Vol. 2 No. 1 (2021)
Publisher : Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Universitas Tadulako

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22487/27765660.2021.v2.i1.15675

Abstract

Poverty is still a problem in Indonesia, especially in underdeveloped areas. Underdeveloped areas are areas where the region and its people are less developed than other regions on a national scale. The classification of disadvantaged areas is determined by the president in the Presidential Regulation of the Republic of Indonesia Number 63 of 2020 concerning the Determination of Underdeveloped Regions of 2020-2024. Various policies need to be set by the government to overcome poverty in underdeveloped areas. Program planning strategies may be different for each region. Therefore, in order to achieve an optimal implementation of poverty alleviation programs, it is necessary to group the districts covered in underdeveloped areas in Indonesia based on poverty indicators. The data used is macro data from the characteristics of each region in disadvantaged areas obtained from regional publications in the figures for each district. From the results of the analysis of k means clustering formed three groups with different characteristics in each cluster. In cluster one, the focus of government policies is on employment and sanitation aspects, cluster two is on health, education, and employment aspects, cluster three is on all aspects because cluster three is the area with the highest percentage of poor people compared to the other two clusters. The high percentage of poor people is also followed by other poor aspects.
Individual and Contextual Factors Affecting DPT Immunization in Indonesia Resti Wahyuni; Titik Harsanti
Parameter: Journal of Statistics Vol. 2 No. 1 (2021)
Publisher : Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Universitas Tadulako

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22487/27765660.2021.v2.i1.15677

Abstract

Nowadays, diphtheria cases always increase from year to year. Until now, no drug has been found to cure diphtheria, but there is the most effective way of prevention through immunization. It is known that diphtheria sufferers who don’t get immunizations increase every year. The purpose of this study is to determine the individual and contextual factors that influence the status of DPT immunization in Indonesia and its trends and to know the diversity between cities. The data used in this study are Susenas KOR and consumption and expenditure (KP) modules. The results of multilevel binary logistic regression analysis indicate that individual factors that influence the status of DPT immunization are residence classification, highest maternal education, ownership of immunization cards, birth order, and household poverty status. While the contextual are the ratio of posyandu to 100,000 population and PDRB. Characteristics of children aged 12-59 who do not get immunizations tend to live in rural areas, have mothers with the highest education in junior high school, don’t have immunization cards, who born late in households with many children, and come from poor households. Besides that, there is a diversity of characteristics between cities, which amounted to 22,19%.
Forecasting of the Amount of Rupiah Banknotes Flows in the East Region of Indonesia Using Circular Regression Jassinca Chrissma Audina; Rais; Handayani, Lilies
Parameter: Journal of Statistics Vol. 2 No. 1 (2021)
Publisher : Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Universitas Tadulako

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22487/27765660.2021.v2.i1.15681

Abstract

Money is a tool that can be used in exchanging goods and services in a certain area. Increasing and decreasing in the money supply excessively can have a negative impact on the economy. For this reason, in order to maintain financial system stability in Indonesia, it is necessary to conduct an analysis of the data on the amount of outflows of rupiah currency at each Bank Indonesia office. In this study, a relationship analysis will be carried out between the eastern region of Indonesia and the amount of outflows of Bank Indonesia banknotes during the 2016-2018 period using circular regression analysis. The results showed that 83.03% of the variation in the amount of outflows of BI banknotes could be explained by the circular regression model that was formed. In addition, in the process of forecasting data on the amount of outflows of BI banknotes in the eastern region of Indonesia for the 2019-2020 period, the time series forecasting method is used which is based on the use of analysis of the relationship pattern between the estimated variables and the time variable.
Analysis of Skin Disease Infection After the Palu Earthquake Using Binary Logistic Regression Wahyuni, Selvia Anggun; Lilies Handayani; Muhammad Akriyaldi Masdin; Salmia
Parameter: Journal of Statistics Vol. 2 No. 1 (2021)
Publisher : Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Universitas Tadulako

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22487/27765660.2021.v2.i1.15682

Abstract

The incidence of skin disease in Indonesia is still relatively high and is a significant problem. This is evidenced by the 2010 Indonesian Health Profile data which shows that skin and subcutaneous tissue diseases are the third rank of the 10 most common diseases among outpatients in hospitals throughout Indonesia. Skin disease is growing, as evidenced by data from the Indonesian Ministry of Health, the prevalence of skin disease throughout Indonesia in 2012 was 8.46%, then increased in 2013 by 9 %. Palu City is an area that has a high skin disease problem. According to the 2016 BPS of Palu City, skin diseases are among the top 10 diseases in Palu City with a total of 11,363 sufferers. The method used in this research is binary logistic regression. Based on the analysis that has been done, it can be concluded that the best model is formed as follows:. Based on the best model, it is found that the factors that influence the transmission of skin diseases after the Palu earthquake are genetic factors.
Clustering of Province in Indonesia Based on Aquaculture Productivity Using Average Linkage Method Putera, Fachruddin Hari Anggara; Mangitung, Septina F.; Madinawati; Handayani, Lilies
Parameter: Journal of Statistics Vol. 2 No. 1 (2021)
Publisher : Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Universitas Tadulako

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22487/27765660.2021.v2.i1.15683

Abstract

Fisheries are one of the agricultural sub-sectors that play an important role in contributing to income figures for the state and the region because most of Indonesia's territory is water so that the fisheries sector is a sub-sector that is feasible to be developed in this country, one of which is through aquaculture. One of the efforts that can increase and maintain productivity in the aquaculture sector is to classify provinces that produce aquaculture production into groups based on the similarity of characteristics possessed by each province in Indonesia. In this study, clustering was carried out using cluster analysis using the average linkage method and based on the analysis results obtained showed that cluster 1 consists of 25 provinces, cluster 2 consists of 5 provinces, cluster 3 consists of 2 provinces, cluster 4 consists of 1 province, and cluster 5 consists of 1 province with a standard deviation value within a cluster of 11,729 and a standard deviation between clusters of 118,745.

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