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Indonesian Capital Market Review
Published by Universitas Indonesia
ISSN : 19798997     EISSN : 23563818     DOI : https://doi.org/10.21002/icmr.v14i1.1139
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
The intent of the Editors of The Indonesian Capital Market Review is to discuss, to explore, and to disseminate the latest issues and developments in Empirical Financial Economics particularly those related to financial frictions in the Emerging Markets. The topics cover capital markets, financial institutions and services, corporate finance, risk modeling and management, market microstructure in financial markets, Islamic finance, behavioral finance, and financial crisis. By submitting your work to the Indonesian Capital Market Review (ICMR), the author(s) automatically agree to transfer the copyright to ICMR, if the submitted paper is accepted for publication.
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (semua kategori) - Keuangan
Articles 146 Documents
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CEO Turnover and Firm Performance In Indonesia Setiawan, Doddy; Phua, Lian Kee; Chee, Hong Kok; Trinugroho, Irwan
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 9, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

We investigated the effect of changes in CEO position on subsequent firm performance by studying 91 CEO turnovers in Indonesia. Our results show that firm performance decreases during the turnover year. Moreover, the incoming CEO does not increase firm performance in subsequent years. Indeed, there is evidence that firm performance decreases after such turnovers. We ultimately conclude that CEO turnovers in Indonesia do not have a positive effect on firm performance. Going further, we divided CEO turnovers into routine and non-routine turnovers on the basis of the turnover process. Both routine and non-routine CEO turnovers show similar results with all samples, in which the incoming CEO in a routine or non-routine turnover does not have a positive effect upon firm performance. Further evidence suggests that the incoming CEO tends to upsize firm assets rather than downsize them.
The Objectives, Strategies and Characteristics of Individual Investors in the Tehran Stock Exchange Esfandyar, Shahmansuri; Roodposhti, Fereydon Rahnamay; Hashem, Nikoumaram; Reza, Vakilifard Hamid
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 9, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

The present study aims to investigate and classify individual investors' objectives and strategies in the Tehran Stock Exchange. This study used two sets of data, investors' questionnaire and real data in TSE to comparing individual investors' strategies versus market strategies and used T-test, ANOVA and (LSD) to test hypotheses. Investment objectives are classified into five groups: building a financial buffer, capital growth, saving for retirement, investing as a hobby, and speculation; and three most common investment strategies are fundamental, technical and intuitive. Ultimately,t he correlation between objectives and strategies is examined with the behavioral characteristics of investors, such as risk appetite, aspiration level and overconfidence. The results show that, investors with technical strategies have higher aspiration levels and appetite for risk than other investors. In addition, Investors with overconfidence have capital growth and building financial buffer objectives, and monthly average return of the fundamental strategy is higher than other strategies.
The relationship between Malaysia’s residential property price index and residential properties loan supply Law, Chee-Hong; Lim, Ghee-Thean
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 9, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This paper examines the linkages between residential property prices and residential property loans in Malaysia from 1999 to 2015. Even though residential properties are a basic necessity, there are few studies that estimate the long-run and short-run relationships between loans and price levels in residential properties in Malaysia. The estimations are divided into two parts: the detection of long-run relationships and the estimation the long-run and short-run elasticities from an ARDL model. The results support the hypothesis that the loan supply has a positive impact on residential price levels; the robustness test and Granger causality test also support this conclusion. This suggests the importance of closely monitoring the housing loan activities of banks via monetary or macroprudential policy to control residential property prices.
The Dual-Beta Model: Evidence from the Malaysian Stock Market Teh, Kim-Sin; Lau, Wee-Yeap
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 9, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

The study analyzes the beta-return characteristic, considering the asymmetric beta behavior in the up market versus the down market for the Bursa Malaysia (BM). This study uses a sample period from 2001-2015 with two dual-beta models, the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), and the Fama-French, three-factor (FF3F) model, to examine 60 stocks listed on the bourse. The estimated return and beta indicate that most stocks have experienced an increasing (decreasing) beta in the downtrend (uptrend) period. It is inferred that investors are rewarded with a positive risk premium for holding an asset in the down market, while the upside beta carries a negative premium. If news asymmetry captures a significant part of investors' risk perception in the market, there is evidence that a conditional FF3F model is more useful than a conditional CAPM, which is likened to both the dual-beta FF3F and the CAPM in an unconditional context. The purpose of this study is to analyze the beta-return characteristic, taking into account the asymmetric beta behavior in the upmarket versus the down market in the Bursa Malaysia (BM). This study takes place over a period of 15 years from 2001 to 2015 and utilizes dual beta models of CAPM and Fama-French model to examine 60 BM-listed stocks. The estimation of return and beta indicates that majority of stocks have experienced an increasing (decreasing) beta in the downtrend (uptrend) period. It is also inferred that investors are rewarded with positive risk premium for holding the asset in down market, while upside beta carries the negative premium. If news asymmetry is considered to capture a significant part of investors' risk perception in the Malaysian market, the findings constitute evidence that conditional Fama-French model is more useful than the conditional CAPM likened with both dual beta Fama-French 3-factor model and CAPM in unconditional context.
Stock Returns and Inflation: Evidence from Emerging Markets in Asia Isnandari, Melati Laksmindra; Chalid, Dony Abdul
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 9, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This study examines the capability of stock from various industries to act as an inflation-hedge instrument, specifically in eight emerging-market Asian countries. By using monthly data for the period from 2001 to 2014, this study focuses on the relation between stock returns and inflation. The results of this study indicate that stocks from some non-cyclical industries have the capability to act as inflation-hedge instruments. Stocks that have the capability to inflation-hedge are come from industries with the natural characteristic of being a defensive industry.
Concurrent Momentum and Contrarian Strategies: Evidence from Indonesia Rafik, Abdur; Marizka, Syifa Primaratri
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 9, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This study aims to test the relative performance of contrarian and momentum strategies for the middle-term and long-term horizons in the Indonesian capital market. The test is performed to constituents of Kompas100 Index during 2009-2014. The results reveal that the superior performance of the momentum in the intermediate term is sensitive to the formation horizons. In the long term (after 24 months), however, the contrarian is more profitable than momentum. It is also found that there is no relationship between the generated returns and the value and the size premiums like the findings of many studies regarding the long-run return anomalies in developed countries.
Corporate Financial Flexibility, Investment Activities, And Cash Holding: Evidence From Indonesia Setianto, Rahmat Heru; Kusumaputra, Addenver
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 9, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This paper examines empirically the impact of financial flexibility on investment activities. Furthermore, we also investigate how financial flexibility determines the sensitivity of investment activities to cash flow. Using annual data of Indonesian manufacturing firms spanning five years, our analyses reveal that financial flexibility enhances investment ability and decreases sensitivity of investment activities to cash flow. Further analysis indicates that financially flexible firms in Indonesia tend to hold higher cash as a buffer to achieve financial flexibility. These findings yield important implications to managers and investors as Indonesia’s domestic market is expanding rapidly and large business opportunities are created. This condition provides firms with incentive to grow faster, hence increasing financing needs to finance firms’ expansion.
The Effect of Competition Levels and Banking Concentration on Systemic Risks: Indonesia’s Case Wibowo, I. G. B. Erri; Wibowo, Buddi
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 9, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This article analyzes the relationship between Indonesian banking competition, concentration, and systemic risk, using the characteristics of individual banks and state variables as control variables. This article uses the Panzar–Rosse Model and Concentration Ratio to measure banking competition and concentration, while measuring systemic risk by applying CoVaR. The empirical result shows that concentration and competition increase systemic risk. This means increasing competition leads banks to take higher risks, and also shows that banks with high market power tend to charge higher interest rates, thus increasing systemic risk. The Net Interest Margin as a control variable is statistically significant in competition-systemic risk models as well as in concentration-systemic risks. These findings support the competition-fragility view that banking system stability is seriously affected by banking competition level, especially in decreasing net interest margin periods. On an individual bank level, the competition-systemic risk relationship depends on the bank size and the interbank deposit ratio, but the capital structure and demand-deposit to total funding ratio are not significant.
Towards A Sustainable Islamic Banking System: Re-embedding Murabaha Mode of Financing Jatmiko, Wahyu
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 9, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This study is an attempt at solving the chronic problems of banking murabaha, notably the ribawi benchmark rate problem. To this end, the first stage of this study examines whether the recent solution for banking murabaha, namely Islamic Interbank Benchmark Rate (IIBR), is a sustainable solution to solve the problem. The Johansen cointegration test between IIBR and LIBOR, as an international benchmark rate, as well as IIBR and JIBOR, as an Indonesian one, is performed to prove that notion. The results suggest that IIBR has long-run equilibrium relationship with the two ribawi benchmark rates. IIBR hence does not fulfil the sustainability feature as a long-run solution for Islamic finance. The second stage of this study proposes the so-called universal Islamic banking system as a solution to remedy the problem. The proposed model is not only theoretically appealing but also practically possible to be implemented.
On the Robustness of The Extended Fama-French Three Factor Model Awwaliyah, Intan Nur; Husodo, Zäafri Ananto
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 9, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

The aim of this paper is to examine the validity of the four-factor asset pricing as a comparison the standard Fama-French three factor model using U.S. monthly stock return data from period January 1963 to December 2010. Monthly stock return are constructed into 25 portfolio while the four-factor model includes the market factor (beta), the size factor (SMB), the book-to-market factor (HML), and the ‘momentum’ factor (MOM) which represents winners minus losers in terms of returns. Time series regressions following Fama and French (1993) are employed which includes the three-factor model as well as the four-factor model. Results indicated that the four-factor model to some extent have significant capability in explaining the variations in average excess stock return which consistent with Carhart (1997). R2 from the four-factor model is just slightly higher than the three factor model yet it provides indicative for the robustness of the model. Meanwhile, the January seasonals are also able to be absorbed by the risk factors including the market, SMB, HML, and MOM. Since the four-factor model seems capable in explaining the variation of the stock returns then application of this model in emerging markets may provide guidance for investor in understanding the market condition.

Page 9 of 15 | Total Record : 146

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