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Ahmad Mujaddid Ahwali
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Departemen Manajemen, FEB Universitas Indonesia, Jl. Prof. DR. Sumitro Djojohadikusumo, Kukusan, Kecamatan Beji, Kota Depok, Jawa Barat 16424
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INDONESIA
Indonesian Capital Market Review
Published by Universitas Indonesia
ISSN : 19798997     EISSN : 23563818     DOI : https://doi.org/10.21002/icmr.v14i1.1139
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
The intent of the Editors of The Indonesian Capital Market Review is to discuss, to explore, and to disseminate the latest issues and developments in Empirical Financial Economics particularly those related to financial frictions in the Emerging Markets. The topics cover capital markets, financial institutions and services, corporate finance, risk modeling and management, market microstructure in financial markets, Islamic finance, behavioral finance, and financial crisis. By submitting your work to the Indonesian Capital Market Review (ICMR), the author(s) automatically agree to transfer the copyright to ICMR, if the submitted paper is accepted for publication.
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (semua kategori) - Keuangan
Articles 146 Documents
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Value Effect in Indonesian Stock Returns: The Implications for the Equity Mutual Fund Industry Utomo, Samuel Kristanto; Tjandra, Kevin Antony
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 7, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

We extend the persistence and pervasiveness of the presence of value effect to Indonesian stock returns in the last two decades by utilizing data set that is relatively free of survivor bias and selection bias. Our finding shows that value portfolios have been able to outperform growth portfolios. Furthermore, the presence of the effect as an asset pricing factor, along with the size effect, can significantly explain the returns of the aggregate equity mutual funds in Indonesia and unveil that the equity mutual fund industry does not provide sufficient risk-adjusted return to cover trading costs and fund expenses. Our proposition is that the equity mutual fund valuation will be better off to apply simpler model shown in this paper to capture the value premium as opposed to the general application of traditional valuation method.
Examining the Islamic stock market efficiency: Evidence from nonlinear ESTAR unit root tests Setianto, Rahmat Heru; Manap, Turkhan Ali Abdul
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 7, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This paper empirically examines the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) in the Islamic stock market namely Jakarta Islamic Index by emphasizing on the random walk behavior and nonlinearity. In the first step, we employ Brock et al. (1996) test to examine the presence of nonlinear behavior in Jakarta Islamic Index. The evidence of nonlinear behavior in the indices, motivate us to use nonlinear ESTAR unit root test procedure recently developed by Kapetanios et al. (2003) and Kruse (2011). The nonlinear unit root test procedure fail to rejects the null hypothesis of unit root for the indices, suggesting that Jakarta Islamic Index characterized by random walk process supporting the theory of efficient market hypothesis. In addition, Lumsdaine and Papel (LP) test identified significant structural breaks in the index series.
Catching the Behavior of Stock Market: Numerical Approach to Estimate the Catalytic Chemical Model Parameters Husodo, Zäafri Ananto; Suardi, Lenny; Setiati, Ririen; Hudiyono, Risca Fleureta
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 7, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This research proposes a numerical approach in estimating the trend of behavior of this market. This approach is applied to a model that is inspired by catalytic chemical model, in terms of differential equations, on four composite indices, New York Stock Exchange, Hong Kong Hang Seng, Straits Times Index, and Jakarta Stock Exchange, as suggested by Caetano and Yoneyama (2011). The approach is used to minimize the difference of estimated indices based on the model with respect to the actual data set. The result shows that the estimation is able to capture the trend of behavior in stock market well.
Understanding Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Yield Spread: Role of Default and Non-Default Determinants Pratiwi, Adelia Surya
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 7, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This paper is motivated by the fact that emerging market assets size has been expanding and trying to use sovereign debt market as part of capital market as main research focus. It is highlighting the distinction between default and non-default determinants and examining their significance in explaining emerging market sovereign bond yield spread. Using Cross-Sectional Fixed-Effect Panel Estimator, we found that both default (as proxied by Credit Rating and Outlook Index) and non-default (as proxied by 3-month Fed Funds Futures) determinants has significant explanatory power to sovereign bond yield spread. Extensively, we also found the significance to add volatility of 3-month Fed Funds Futures and Fed Target Rate basis and volatility of advanced stock markets as variables to stand for non-default determinants in the model. The significance of the latter model is strengthened by higher forecasting as well as indicates the significant role of US market to emerging market sovereign bond market.
Comparison of Portfolio Selection and Performance: Shari’ah-Compliant and Socially Responsible Investment Portfolios Asutay, Mehmet; Hendranastiti, Nur Dhani
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 7, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This study examines the effect of Islamic screening criteria on Shari’ah-compliant portfolio selection and performance compared to Socially Responsible Investment (SRI) portfolio. Each portfolio constructed from 15 stocks based on FTSE 100 using data from year 1997. Mean-variance portfolio optimization is employed with some financial ratios added as constraints for the Shari’ah portfolio. Annual expected return of each portfolio from 2008 to 2013 is used to calculate Sharpe’s ratio, Treynor ratio and Jensen’s alpha as the performance measurement tools. Macroeconomic variables are assessed using ordinary least square to examine whether they influence the portfolios’ expected returns or not. The result finds that Shari’ah portfolio has a better performance than SRI from year 2008 to 2010 shown by higher value of the measurement tools. However, from 2011 to 2013, SRI portfolio has better performance than Shari’ah portfolio.
Outreach and Profitability Trade-off: Does Synergy between Islamic Banking and Islamic Microfinance Institutions Matter? Nasution, Ruri Eka Fauziah; Ahmed, Habib
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 7, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to examine the effectiveness of linkage program between Islamic Banking (IB) and Baitul Maal Wat Tamwil (BMT) on BMT financing growth and profitability. This study also aims to compare three linkage models and to explore the keys factors that affect the implementation of linkage program. To achieve these objectives, both quantitative and qualitative research methods are employed. The dataset consists of the financial statement of 26 BMT in Indonesia and interviews with 12 managers of BMT and IB in Jakarta. The findings suggest that a synergy between IB and BMT through linkage program has significant impact on BMT financing growth and BMT ROE. Among three linkage models, executing model appears to be the most preferable model, both by BMT and IB. The finding also suggests that internal and external factors at BMT level have impacts on the effectiveness of linkage program.
Expropriation Risk Through Real Earnings Management on Islamic Banking Surifah, Surifah
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 7, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This study develops a model of expropriation through real earnings management (REM) in the Indonesian Islamic banking industry. The purpose of this study is to test a new model by examining the relationship between REM, bank ownership types, and performance of Islamic banks in Indonesia in the period of 2006 - 2013. This study finds that there are significant differences in REM and performance scores in banks with different ownership types. The REM and performance scores for family-owned banks and private-owned banks are relatively similar. However, Islamic banks with government as the controlling shareholder have the highest REM scores and the lowest performance scores. In contrast, foreign-owned banks have the lowest REM scores and the highest performance scores. The indications of expropriation can be seen from the magnitude of REM. A high REM can lower profitability and efficiency while increasing the risks faced by Islamic banks in Indonesia.
Ambiguity towards Multiple Historical Performance Information Signals: Evidence from Indonesian Open-Ended Mutual Fund Investors Loeis, Haris Pratama; Prijadi, Ruslan
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 7, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This study focuses on the behavior of open-ended mutual fund investors when encountered with multiple information signals of mutual fund’s historical performance. The behavior of investors can be reflected on their decision to subscribe or redeem their funds from mutual funds. Moreover, we observe the presence of ambiguity within investors due to multiple information signals, and also their reaction towards it. Our finding shows that open-ended mutual fund investors do not only have sensitivity towards past performance information signals, but also have additional sensitivity towards the ambiguity of multiple information signals. Because of the presence of ambiguity, investors give more consideration to negative information signals and the worst information signal in their investment decisions.
Dynamic Correlation between Stock Market Returns and Crude Oil Prices: Evidence from a Developing Economy Kalu, Emenike O.
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 7, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

Modeling the correlation of assets returns volatilities across different markets or segments of a market has practical value for portfolio selection and diversification, market regulation, and risk management. This paper therefore evaluates the nature of time-varying correlation between volatilities of stock market and crude oil returns in Nigeria using Dynamic Conditional Correlation-Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (DCC-GARCH) model. Results from DCC-GARCH (1,1) model show evidence of volatility clustering and persistence in Nigeria stock market and crude oil returns. The results also show that there is no dynamic conditional correlation in ARCH effects between stock market returns and crude oil prices in Nigeria. The results further show that there is strong evidence of time-varying volatility correlation between stock market and crude oil returns volatility. The findings will help shape policy-making in risk management and market regulation in Nigeria.
Conventional and Islamic indices in Indonesia: A Comparison on Performance, Volatility, and the Determinants Pranata, Nika; Nurzanah, Nurzanah
The Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 7, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to evaluate performance and volatility of Islamic andconventional stock indices along with their determinant factor variables in Indonesia. The study adopts: (1) Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) to compare the performance of the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) to represent Islamic indexandLQ45 to represent the conventional, (2) beta calculation to measure volatility, and (3) Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) to capture the determinants and the reason behind the outperformance. The data coverage is from January 2006 to November 2015. The study finds that: (1) There is no significant differenceon performance between JII and LQ45, (2) JII is less volatile than LQ45, except in 2010, and (3)JII performance is less affected by external factorsexcept for crude oil price. Moreover, the result implies challenge for the authorities to educate society, particularly whom concern to shari’ah principles, with information that Islamic index performance is not much difference from conventional index and less volatile.

Page 7 of 15 | Total Record : 146

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