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<![CDATA[The Impacts of Fiscal Instruments and Socioeconomic Factors on Poverty in Aceh Province ]]>
<![CDATA[Annisa, Nur]]>;
<![CDATA[Susilo]]>
<![CDATA[ Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya ]]>
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<![CDATA[Despite receiving the largest Special Autonomy Fund (SAF), Aceh maintains the region’s highest poverty rate in Sumatra. Furthermore, the decline in Social Assistance Spending (SAS) is in line with the decline in poverty. On the other hand, high GRDP per capita, education, and health, coupled with low poverty, are not uniform across districts/cities. Therefore, this study analyses the impact of government interventions and socio-economic factors on poverty across 23 Aceh districts/cities from 2017 to 2024 using panel data multiple linear regression. Results indicate that the SAF and GRDP per capita have no significant effect due to infrastructure-heavy allocations and regionally concentrated growth. Meanwhile, SAS shows a positive effect, indicating recipient dependency and non-pro-poor allocations. Conversely, Education and Health have a negative effect, confirming the role of human capital. It is concluded that fiscal intervention does not guarantee poverty reduction if the allocation is inefficient. Furthermore, high GRDP per capita will not reduce poverty if it remains concentrated in only a few regions. Policymakers must restructure the use of SAF before 2027 while improving SAS targeting and agricultural downstreaming.]]>
<![CDATA[GRDP, Regional Spending, and Inflation as Drivers of People’s Purchasing Power ]]>
<![CDATA[Masulliya, Fadilla]]>;
<![CDATA[Syafitri, Wildan]]>
<![CDATA[ Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya ]]>
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<![CDATA[Purchasing power reflects economic welfare because it indicates households' ability to meet their needs. In East Java Province, GRDP, inflation, and regional spending fluctuated during the 2019–2024 period, creating disparities in purchasing power between districts/cities that need to be analyzed further. This study aims to analyze the effect of GRDP, regional spending, and inflation on purchasing power in East Java using district/city-level panel data through a quantitative approach, and includes a Covid-19 dummy control variable to capture the impact of the pandemic on regional economic conditions. The results show that GRDP has a positive and significant effect on people's purchasing power. Regional spending also has a positive and significant effect on people's purchasing power. Conversely, inflation does not have a significant effect on people's purchasing power, indicating that during the study period, the inflation rate was relatively stable and did not significantly affect household consumption. These findings confirm that people's purchasing power in East Java is more sensitive to changes in income and fiscal policy than to price pressures.]]>
<![CDATA[The Effect of TPB Factors and Religiosity on Generation Z’s Interest in the GIG Economy ]]>
<![CDATA[Rahmadani, Alvina]]>;
<![CDATA[Ika Khusnia Anggraini]]>
<![CDATA[ Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya ]]>
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<![CDATA[This study examines the factors influencing the intention of Muslim Generation Z in Banyuwangi Regency to participate in the gig economy, utilizing the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) framework integrated with the Maqashid Shariah perspective. The variables analyzed include attitude, subjective norms, perceived behavioral control, and religiosity. Data were collected through an online survey of 150 respondents who met the research criteria and were analyzed using Partial Least Squares–Structural Equation Modeling (PLS SEM). The results indicate that perceived behavioral control has a positive and significant effect, reinforcing the importance of individual capability and self-confidence in executing gig work. Attitude toward work flexibility also significantly influences participation interest. Conversely, subjective norms and religiosity show no significant effect, suggesting that participation decisions are driven more by personal factors rather than social pressure or religious values. From a Maqashid Shariah perspective, these findings reflect efforts toward the protection of intellect (hifz al-’aql), life (hifz an-nafs), and wealth (hifz al-mal) within the digital economy context.]]>
<![CDATA[The Effect of TPB Factors and Religiosity on Generation Z’s Interest in the Gig Economy ]]>
<![CDATA[Rahmadani, Alvina]]>;
<![CDATA[Ika Khusnia Anggraini]]>
<![CDATA[ Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya ]]>
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<![CDATA[This study examines the factors influencing the intention of Muslim Generation Z in Banyuwangi Regency to participate in the gig economy, utilizing the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) framework integrated with the Maqashid Shariah perspective. The variables analyzed include attitude, subjective norms, perceived behavioral control, and religiosity. Data were collected through an online survey of 150 respondents who met the research criteria and were analyzed using Partial Least Squares–Structural Equation Modeling (PLS SEM). The results indicate that perceived behavioral control has a positive and significant effect, reinforcing the importance of individual capability and self-confidence in executing gig work. Attitude toward work flexibility also significantly influences participation interest. Conversely, subjective norms and religiosity show no significant effect, suggesting that participation decisions are driven more by personal factors rather than social pressure or religious values. From a Maqashid Shariah perspective, these findings reflect efforts toward the protection of intellect (hifz al-’aql), life (hifz an-nafs), and wealth (hifz al-mal) within the digital economy context.]]>
<![CDATA[The Impacts of Fiscal Instruments and Socioeconomic Factors on Poverty ]]>
<![CDATA[Annisa, Nur]]>;
<![CDATA[Susilo]]>
<![CDATA[ Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya ]]>
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<![CDATA[Despite receiving the largest Special Autonomy Fund (SAF), Aceh maintains the region’s highest poverty rate in Sumatra. Furthermore, the decline in Social Assistance Spending (SAS) is in line with the decline in poverty. On the other hand, high GRDP per capita, education, and health, coupled with low poverty, are not uniform across districts/cities. Therefore, this study analyses the impact of government interventions and socio-economic factors on poverty across 23 Aceh districts/cities from 2017 to 2024 using panel data multiple linear regression. Results indicate that the SAF and GRDP per capita have no significant effect due to infrastructure-heavy allocations and regionally concentrated growth. Meanwhile, SAS shows a positive effect, indicating recipient dependency and non-pro-poor allocations. Conversely, Education and Health have a negative effect, confirming the role of human capital. It is concluded that fiscal intervention does not guarantee poverty reduction if the allocation is inefficient. Furthermore, high GRDP per capita will not reduce poverty if it remains concentrated in only a few regions. Policymakers must restructure the use of SAF before 2027 while improving SAS targeting and agricultural downstreaming.]]>
<![CDATA[Analysis of the Determining Factors for Educated Unemployment in Banten: A 2024 Sakernas Data Analysis ]]>
<![CDATA[Mulya, Ziddan Baasith]]>;
<![CDATA[Susilo]]>
<![CDATA[ Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya ]]>
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<![CDATA[Educated unemployment remains a critical issue in Indonesia’s labor market, particularly in Banten, which consistently records high unemployment rates. This study aims to analyze individual-level factors influencing the probability of becoming an educated unemployed worker using data from the August 2024 Sakernas. A binary logistic regression was applied to 6,951 respondents with at least a senior high school education. The results indicate that age significantly increases the likelihood of unemployment, while work experience strongly reduces it. Women are nearly four times more likely to be educated unemployed. Educational attainment at the SMA, SMK, and Diploma levels also increases unemployment risk compared to postgraduate graduates, whereas the bachelor’s degree category is not statistically significant. Training participation, ICT literacy, and living in urban significantly reduce unemployment probability. Additionally, using Prakerja subsidies for business capital substantially decreases unemployment risk. These findings highlight that educated unemployment in Banten is shaped by demographic factors, human capital characteristics, and the effectiveness of training programs, underscoring the need for policies that enhance skills quality and align competencies with industry demands.]]>
<![CDATA[Analysis of the Effect of Budget Efficiency on Fiscal Resilience ]]>
<![CDATA[Kusuma, Wennie Candra]]>;
<![CDATA[Bintoro, Nugroho Suryo]]>
<![CDATA[ Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya ]]>
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<![CDATA[The central government's budget efficiency policy, which cuts transfers to regions by Rp50.59 trillion in 2025, poses serious challenges to regional fiscal resilience, especially in East Java. This study analyzes the impact of Local Own Revenue, economic growth, Transfers to Regions, and regional characteristics on fiscal independence in 38 districts/cities in East Java using data from BPS and DJPK for Quarter I/2024 to Quarter II/2025 with Two-Step System GMM approach. Results show that Local Own Revenue has a significant positive effect with elasticity of 0.185, economic growth has positive but statistically insignificant effect, budget efficiency through reduction of Transfers to Regions increases short-term fiscal independence with negative coefficient of 0.197, and districts have 1.9 percent higher fiscal resilience than cities due to transmigration effect. High fiscal persistence with lag coefficient of 0.451 indicates that improving fiscal resilience requires consistent long-term strategy. Simulations show that continuous efficiency of 5 percent per quarter can reduce fiscal resilience below crisis threshold within three quarters, while minimum economic growth threshold of 4.31 percent per year is needed to maintain fiscal independence amid budget efficiency policies.]]>
<![CDATA[Spatial Patterns and Determinants of the Human Development Index: An Esda Approach ]]>
<![CDATA[Aprelia, Nata Widya]]>;
<![CDATA[Nurman Setiawan Fadjar]]>
<![CDATA[ Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya ]]>
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<![CDATA[Inequalities in human development in East Java are reflected in a 22.75 point range in the Human Development Index (HDI) across districts and cities, forming a cluster pattern. This study aims to identify the spatial patterns of the HDI and its determining factors using a quantitative panel data approach covering 38 districts and cities for the period 2019–2024. The analysis was conducted using ESDA and panel data regression. ESDA results indicate significant spatial clusters with a hotspot in Gresik and coldspots in Pamekasan and Sampang. However, the panel Lagrange Multiplier test demonstrated no spatial dependence after controlling for independent variables, leading to the selection of CEM as the best model. The primary determinants of the HDI are Average Years of Schooling, Expected Years of Schooling, Life Expectancy, and Real Per Capita Expenditure, all of which have a significant positive influence. These findings confirm Human Capital Theory while rejecting the hypothesis of structural spatial dependence. The implication is that human development policies need to prioritize improving the internal quality of regions, particularly in education and health, rather than relying on spatial spillover effects.]]>
<![CDATA[Premature Deindustrialization in Indonesia: An Analysis of Spatial Spillover and its Impact on the Regional Economic Convergence ]]>
<![CDATA[Wandira, Dina]]>;
<![CDATA[Fadjar, Nurman Setiawan]]>
<![CDATA[ Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya ]]>
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<![CDATA[This study analyzes the relationship between premature deindustrialization and economic convergence among Indonesian provinces using a spatial approach. It addresses a gap in the literature regarding the neglect of spatial dimensions in the linkage between manufacturing decline and regional inequality. The objectives are to identify the characteristics of deindustrialization, measure spatial spillover patterns, and assess its impact on economic convergence. Employing a Spatial Durbin Model on cross-sectional data from 38 provinces covering the period 2002 and 2024, the findings indicate that deindustrialization is heterogeneous and localized, exhibiting limited spatial clustering patterns. Estimation results reveal that deindustrialization exerts a significant negative direct effect on economic growth, while spatial spillover effects are not consistently identified. Economic convergence persists, as evidenced by a significant negative coefficient on initial income, yet neither deindustrialization nor its spatial spillovers are empirically proven to impede this convergence. In conclusion, deindustrialization in Indonesia represents a fragmented regional structural phenomenon with weak spatial connectivity, while convergence is predominantly determined by region-specific internal factors. Policy implications emphasize the need for industrial corridor development and strengthening interprovincial production linkages to spatially transmit industrialization.]]>
<![CDATA[The Relationship Between Government Finances and Fiscal Decentralization in Mojokerto Regency ]]>
<![CDATA[Andhika Pradana, Dicky]]>;
<![CDATA[Hany Fanida, Eva]]>;
<![CDATA[Anita Fitrie, Revienda]]>
<![CDATA[ Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya ]]>
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<![CDATA[This study aims to explore the financial relationships between the central and regional governments and their impact on the implementation of fiscal decentralization in Mojokerto Regency. The focus of this study covers Regional Original Revenue (PAD), transfer funds, including the General Allocation Fund (DAU), Special Allocation Fund (DAK), and Revenue Sharing Fund (DBH), as well as other legitimate regional revenue sources. The methodology employed is qualitative with a descriptive approach, utilizing secondary data analysis derived from regional budget (APBD) documents, regional financial reports, and relevant regulations. The study's findings indicate that transfer funds remain a major component of regional revenue, contributing approximately 64.8%, while PAD contributes 31.4%. This reflects the importance of financial relations between the central and regional governments in supporting fiscal capacity and regional development, despite relatively low fiscal independence. Furthermore, the potential decline in transfer funds poses a challenge to regional financial stability. Therefore, optimizing PAD, increasing efficiency in financial management, and strengthening transparent and accountable governance are crucial to support sustainable fiscal decentralization.]]>
