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Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies (JDESS)
Published by Universitas Brawijaya
ISSN : -     EISSN : 29640083     DOI : 10.21776/ub.jdess
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
Publish all forms of quantitative and qualitative research articles and other scientific studies related to the field of Economic and Social Studies.
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (semua kategori) - Ilmu Ekomomi dan Ekonometrika
Articles 365 Documents
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The Influence of Global Risks on the Composite Index Andriyani, Rodhiya; Pimada, Laila
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 4 No. 4 (2025)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21776/jdess.2025.04.4.05

Abstract

This research investigates the influence of Geopolitical Risk (GPR), Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU), the Volatility Index (VIX), and Brent oil prices on the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) in Indonesia. By incorporating all major global uncertainty factors into a single model, this study bridges a gap in the existing literature, which often analyzes these variables separately. The research employs the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model using monthly data from 2018 to 2024 to capture both short-run and long-run dynamics between the variables. The empirical results reveal that Brent oil prices exhibit a significant positive relationship with the JCI, implying that higher oil prices may enhance market sentiment and investment value in resource-dependent economies. Conversely, the VIX demonstrates a strong and significant negative relationship with the JCI, suggesting that rising global market volatility suppresses investor confidence and capital inflows. However, neither geopolitical risk nor economic policy uncertainty shows a statistically significant impact on the JCI. These findings provide valuable insights for policymakers and investors, emphasizing the relative resilience of the Indonesian stock market amid global financial and political turbulence.
Turnover Intention Among Barisa in Coffee Shops Zidane Muhammad; Paksi, Girindra Mega
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 4 No. 4 (2025)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21776/jdess.2025.04.4.04

Abstract

This study investigates the phenomenon of turnover intention among baristas working in coffee shops in Malang City, Indonesia. Adopting a qualitative descriptive approach, data were collected through semi-structured interviews with eight baristas employed across seven different coffee shops. The findings highlight four dominant factors influencing turnover intention: work-life balance, compensation, job satisfaction, and employment status. Conflicts between academic and professional responsibilities, limited and inconsistent compensation, as well as the absence of clear career advancement opportunities, were found to heighten turnover intentions. Conversely, intrinsic job satisfaction derived from passion for coffee and customer interaction provided mitigating effects. The study contributes to the literature by offering qualitative insights into turnover intention in the Indonesian context, while also providing practical recommendations for coffee shop managers to reduce turnover.
The Effects of GRDP, Wages, Human Resource Quality and Population on Labor Absorption Elansa, Marlia Oktafia; Fitanto, Bahtiar
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 4 No. 4 (2025)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21776/jdess.2025.04.4.19

Abstract

An increase in unemployment characterizes a suboptimal level of labor absorption in an economy. This situation will bring serious problems to the economy and cause other problems. This study aims to determine the effect of GRDP, wages, human resource quality, and population on labor absorption in regencies/cities in East Java. This study uses descriptive quantitative analysis with panel data regression analysis tools. Data sourced from the BPS for the period 2017-2023 and consisting of 38 regencies/cities in East Java. The results of the study indicate that GRDP has a significant and positive effect on labor absorption, human resource quality has a significant and positive effect on labor absorption, and population has a significant and positive effect on labor absorption. Meanwhile, wages have a negative and insignificant effect on labor absorption, so wages will not influence labor absorption. Then, GRDP, wages, human resource quality, and population simultaneously have an impact on labor absorption in regencies/cities in East Java province.
The Influence of Investor Sentiments and Macroeconomic Factors on Bitcoin Price Putra, Daffa Tegar Maulana; Pimada, Laila
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 1 (2026)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

This study aims to analyse the influence of investor sentiment and macroeconomic factors on the price of Bitcoin in Indonesia. Investor sentiment is proxied by Google Trends and the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI), while macroeconomic factors include inflation and interest rates. The research utilizes monthly data from January 2021 to August 2024 and is analysed using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method, with exchange rate, Brent oil price, and the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) as control variables. The estimation results show that in the short term, Google Trends has a significant negative effect, while the CCI and interest rates have significant positive and negative effects, respectively. Conversely, in the long term, only the CCI has a significant negative effect on Bitcoin prices. These findings suggest that in the short term, Bitcoin price movements are more influenced by shifts in investor sentiment and monetary market conditions, whereas in the long term, rising consumer optimism may reduce interest in high-risk assets such as Bitcoin.
Analysis of the Influence of Economic Growth, HDI, Poverty, Income Inequality, and Covid-19 on Crime Rate in East Java Fachrezi Adriansyah Ramadhan; Nugroho Suryo Bintoro
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 1 (2026)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

This research discusses the influence of economic growth, HDI, and poverty on crime rates in East Java. The aim of this research is to find out whether economic growth, HDI, and poverty have an influence on crime rates in East Java. This research uses secondary data in the form of data Cross Section from 38 districts/cities and time series data from 2018-2022. The research is quantitative research with the method used, namely panel data regression analysis. This study shows that economic growth has a negative and significant effect on the crime rate. Meanwhile, the HDI and poverty variables have a positive and significant influence on crime rates. The result for the income inequality variable shows that income inequality has no influence on the crime rate. And in the Covid-19 variable, the results showed that Covid-19 had a significant negative effect on crime rates.
Analysis of the Effects of the Pre-Employment Card Program Trainings on Employment Statuses in Java Renata Intan Avicenna; Al Muizzuddin Fazaalloh
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 1 (2026)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

Java Island serves as Indonesia’s economic center and is home to the country’s largest population. At the same time, it records the highest unemployment rate at the national level. To address this issue, the government introduced the Pre-Employment Card Program, which aims to improve workforce skills through training and financial incentives. Although several previous studies have examined the effectiveness of the Pre-Employment Card Program, there remains limited information regarding the extent to which its training component improves employment opportunities in Java. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the impact of the Pre-Employment Card Program training on employment status in Java. This study employs a quantitative research method using data from SAKERNAS 2023. The total sample consists of 211,872 individuals. The data are analyzed using binary logistic regression to estimate the probability of individuals securing employment. The findings of this study reveal that the Pre-Employment Card Program training has a positive and statistically significant effect on employment status in Java Island.
The Impact of Tourism Development on the Income of the Pandesari Village Community, Pujon District, Malang Regency Prasetyo, Galang; Maryunani
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 1 (2026)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

Tourism is one of the main industrial sectors in Indonesia. Some of them are located in Malang Regency, East Java. The various tourism potentials provide benefits for both urban and rural areas. One such area is Pandesari Village, known for its family tourism due to its significant tourism potential. Tourism in the Pandesari Village area also plays a role in raising environmental awareness and nature conservation. The development of tourism in this village has a significant impact on the income of the local community. Therefore, this study aims to examine the impact of tourism development on the income of the residents of Pandesari Village, Pujon District, Malang Regency, and the factors influencing their income. This research employs a quantitative approach using primary data obtained directly from the research subjects. The results of this study are expected to provide valuable recommendations for sustainable tourism development in the village. This research can also be used as a reference for similar studies in other regions.
Determinants of Informal Worker Participation in BPJS Ketenagakerjaan Program in Indonesia Irsyadul Fikri; Nurman Setiawan Fadjar
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 1 (2026)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

The informal labor sector has unconsciously developed within the economy as a form of substitution for the unmet absorption of labor in the formal sector. As the informal sector continues to expand in Indonesia, informal workers frequently face issues such as exclusion from social protection schemes and uncertain wages. A considerable proportion of individuals employed in this sector remain without health insurance coverage, even though health is a fundamental asset in sustaining economic activities. The large number of informal workers necessitates the provision of adequate health and social security programs. This study aims to analyze the factors influencing the participation of informal workers in the BPJS Ketenagakerjaan program across 32 provinces in Indonesia using panel data regression analysis. The results indicate that wages have no significant effect on informal workers’ participation in BPJS Ketenagakerjaan. In contrast, internet usage and average years of schooling have a significant positive effect, while the number of people living in poverty has a significant negative effect on informal workers’ participation in the program.
The Effects of Macroeconomics Indicators and Institution Quality on the FDI of 5 Developing Countries in Asean Rahayu, Shauqy Dwi; Saputra, Putu Mahardika Adi
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 1 (2026)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is a key component in promoting a country’s economic development, influenced by several factors, including macroeconomic indicators and institutional quality. This study examines the effect of macroeconomic indicators (GDP and exchange rate) and institutional quality (government effectiveness and control of corruption) on FDI in five developing ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Vietnam, and the Philippines) over the past 22 years (2002–2023). A quantitative approach is employed using panel data regression with a Fixed Effect Model (FEM). The data used are obtained from official sources, specifically the World Bank. The results indicate that GDP, government effectiveness and Control of Corruption have a significant positive impact on FDI. In addition, the Exchange Rate also shows a significant impact, but in a negative direction.
The Influence of Investments, Education, Health, Labor Force Participation Rate, and Covid-19 Pandemic on Poverty In Java for the 2013-2023 Period Damayanti, Silmi Annisa; Ekawaty, Marlina
Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies Vol. 5 No. 1 (2026)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

Java Island continues to face high poverty levels, with 13.62 million people living in poverty in 2023. This study analyzes the effects of investment, education, health, the Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR), and the Covid-19 pandemic on poverty in six provinces of Java during 2013–2023 using panel data regression with the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) and robust standard errors. The results show that education and LFPR have a negative and significant effect on poverty, while health has a positive and significant effect. Investment has a negative but insignificant effect, indicating unequal distribution. The Covid-19 pandemic significantly increased poverty levels. These findings highlight that poverty alleviation policies should focus on improving education quality, expanding employment opportunities, ensuring more equitable investment distribution, and strengthening inclusive health services. In addition, adaptive social protection systems are required to anticipate external shocks such as pandemics.

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