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Quantitative Economics Journal
Published by Universitas Negeri Medan
ISSN : 20897847     EISSN : 20897995     DOI : 10.24114
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
This journal is contained with the articles that cover the economics area that derived from the research and engineering ideas that are quantitative. The viewers, authors and future authors that expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the Department of Economics, Post Graduate Program, State University of Medan
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (semua kategori) - Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (Lain-Lain)
Articles 205 Documents
 8   9   10   11   12 
An Analysis on Investment, Government Expenditures, and Gross Domestic Revenue on Employment in North Sumatera Syafaruddin Munthe
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 7, No 1 (2018)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v7i1.17550

Abstract

Employment is basically a problem which is faced by all regions, but its intensity may vary, based the factors which influence it. Employment exists because of investment and attempts to extend employment because of other factors such as inflation, interest rate, exchange rate, government expenditures, and PDRB (Gross Domestic Revenue). The objective of the research was to analyze the influence of exogenous variables on endogenous variables such as employment, inflation, interest rate, exchange rate, investment, government expenditures, and PDRB. The research used quantitative analysis by using coherent secondary data from 1985 until 2015 obtained from BPS (Central Bureau of Statistics) ofNorth Sumatera and Bank Indonesia. The data were analyzed by using path analysis model. The result of the research showed that exogenous variables simultaneously had significant influence on endogenous variables in each equation model. The variables of investment, government expenditures, gross domestic revenue, inflation, and interest rate did not have any significant influence on the variable of employment. Meanwhile, the variable of exchange rate had positive and significant influence on the variable of employment. Therefore, it is recommended that the variable of exchange rate became theattention of the North Sumatera Provincial Administration.
KERAGAAN MODEL KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN EKONOMI SEKTORAL DI SUMATERA UTARA Eko Wahyu Nugrahadi
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 2, No 1 (2013)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v2i1.17423

Abstract

In macro North Sumatra province after the economic crisis shows encouraging, but it is not without problems, First, the level of income per worker are low, along with labor and a relatively large increase but its relative share of GDP declined, and the second inequality distribution of labor because they serious amount of excess agricultural labor while other sectors can not absorb it. Specifically this study aimed to analyze the variability model of sectoral economic development policy in the province of North Sumatra.The analysis in this study is based on SAM model approach. Based on the results of the analysis has identified six sectors as the leading sector in North Sumatra. Industrial eat, shop, Beverages and Tobacco is a sector that has the possibility to be developed as the most optimal model of the development of sectoral economic development policy. Food, Beverages and Tobacco is categorized as agro-industry sector. Therefore agroindustrialisasi strategy (agroindustrialization strategy) is a strategy options industrialization policies are applied in order to create a strong economy of North Sumatra in the future.
KETERKAITAN INSTRUMEN KEBIJAKAN MONETER DENGAN NERACA PEMBAYARAN DI INDONESIA Indra Maipita
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 3, No 1 (2014)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v3i1.17441

Abstract

This study aims to determine the monetary policy variable linkages with Indonesia's balance of payments. Using svar and IRF analysis found that the level of α = 0.05, variable monetary policy instruments such as open market operation (OPT), the minimum reserve requirement (GWM), and the discount rate (rDisk) has a significant relationship with the variable balance of payments (BOP) . In fact, all the macroeconomic variables also significantly affect the balance of payments variables, except the variable domestic interest rates. This means that there is a close link between monetary policy instruments with the balance of payments in Indonesia in the period of the study.
ANALISIS FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI KUNJUNGAN WISATAWAN MANCA NEGARA KE INDONESIA Wawan Hermawan
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 5, No 1 (2016)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v5i1.17479

Abstract

The tourism sector is a sector that can be relied on to earn foreign exchange.Revenue from tourism showed significant progress and continues to grow, so bringa high impact on the Indonesian economy. Number of tourists visiting foreigncountries is an important indicator for the growth of tourism sector in Indonesia isrelated to the increase in foreign exchange. Increase or decrease of tourist arrivals isinfluenced both by internal factors such as the condition of tourist destinations inIndonesia, politics and security in Indonesia or external factors such as the economic conditions of the various countries of origin of foreign tourists. This study uses panel data with the annual number of tourist arrivals from a number of countries to Indonesia for 19 years as the dependent variable. The independent variable of this research is RGDPP (Real GDP Per Capita), RREER (Relative Real Effective Exchange Rate), TCPI (Indicative Ratio of Consumer Price Index), Population, CPITUNIS (Consumer Price Index Tunisia), TO (Trade Openness). The results of this study indicate that tourist arrivals to Indonesia is heavily influenced by the distance from their home country to destinations in Indonesia. This variable is the biggest variable affecting the arrival of foreign tourists to Indonesia. Income per capita is the second largest variable and has a coefficient  close to unity, so that the income elasticity of country of origin is an important variable to be considered.
THE ANALYSIS OF PROGRAM IMPLEMENTATION INSTITUTIONAL ENTREPRENEUR COMMUNITY TANGAN DI ATAS (TDA) AGAINST INCREASED REVENUE LOCAL ECONOMY IN MEDAN Putra, Umar Maya
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 8, No 2 (2019)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v8i2.19934

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the Program of Institutional Entrepreneur Community Tangan Di Atas (TDA) Against Increased Revenue Local Economy in Medan. The problem in this research is to see the extent to which the opportunities of independent variables such as entrepreneurship education, capital, selling price, the amount of labor, marketing through the exhibition of entrepreneurship of the dependent variable is the income of Small Enterprises assisted Institutional Tangan Di Atas (TDA) of Medan. The data used is primary data with the primary form of questionnaires to the small enterprises patronage of TDA Medan with observation period in 2013 s.d. 2015. While the methods of analysis used for primary data is Probit with analysis software program E Views 6 and secondary data obtained on a general overview of the small enterprises patronage of TDA Medan and the results of the study of literature (Library Research) to support his theories relevant to the research. From the results of this study indicate that there is a positive correlation and significant between entrepreneurship education, capital, selling price, the amount of labor and marketing aspects through the exhibition of entrepreneurship opportunity of increased revenue Small Enterprises Patronage TDA Medan otherwise there is a positive relationship and not significant among the workforce to an increased chance the small enterprises patronage of  TDA revenue Medan. TDA Medan can be able to focus in increasing entrepreneurship education, marketing aspects through the exhibition of entrepreneurship, product selling prices, capital and to concentrate in the amount of labor professionally to get the result maximally  to an increased chance the small enterprises patronage of  TDA revenue Medan.
ANALISIS HUBUNGAN KAUSALITAS SEKTOR KEUANGAN DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA Hendra Kesuma
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 2, No 3 (2013)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v2i3.17432

Abstract

The financial sector plays a very significant role in triggering the economic growth of a country and also became the locomotive of growth in the real sector through capital accumulation and technological innovation. High performance financial sector will result in increased economic growth instead of economic growth is not the main cause of the improvement in the performance of the financial sector. This study aims to examine the relationship of causality between financial sector and economic growth in Indonesia, where the financial sector in the show by the monetization ratio, the ratio of loans, demand deposits and savings. By using secondary data for the period 2000-2010, This research uses the analytical framework cointegration and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) between financial sector development and economic growth. The results showed that the financial sector indicated by the ratio of monetization, credit ratios, demand deposits and savings have no causal relationship with economic growth in Indonesia. Significant influence given variable demand deposits to economic growth. Instead of economic growth significantly affect the monetization and savings.
DAMPAK NILAI TUKAR DAN RISK-BASED BANK RATING TERHADAP PREDIKSI KONDISI PERBANKAN INDONESIA Diana Kanya Prasidha
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 4, No 3 (2015)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v4i3.17467

Abstract

Model predictions to asses the problematic conditions in banking sectors need to be developed. It because by knowing early of systemic risks condition, policymakers can take anticipation actions. In this study, the financial ratios used are RiskProfile, Good Corporate Governance, Earning, and Capital (RGEC) rating based approach. The risk profile is proxied by the Non Performing Loan (NPL) which represented by the Net Open Position (PDN) for market risk, and Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) for liquidity risk. Meanwhile, good corporate governance aspect is not investigated since the aspect is more qualitative. Then, the profitability aspect proxied by the Return on Asset (ROA) and Net Interest Margin (NIM), while the capital aspect proxied by the Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR). In this study added one macroeconomic variables, namely the Exchange Rates. The study was conducted in 2009-2013 to predict and analyze the performance of the Indonesian banking sector, particularly for Private National Banks which are the most susceptible to problematic conditions. Using the logistic regression model, the results showed that the variables of NPL, PDN, ROA, and Exchange Rates are significantly effect on the probability of occurrence of the condition of troubled banks.
ANALISIS PENAWARAN BERAS PROVINSI SUMATERA UTARA Joko Suharianto
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 6, No 2 (2017)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v6i2.17541

Abstract

Financial inclusion programs in Asia began to intensify with focus on improving public access, especially those who have not yet enjoyed banking services. This makes financial inclusion one of the focuses of development in the financial sector in various countries, especially ASEAN, as a sound financial system can promote economic growth. This study aims to see the comparison of financial inclusion rates and see the effect of socio-economic variables on  financial inclusion in  ASEAN  countries 2010-2015. In  order  to  see  the comparison of inclusion level of finance in each ASEAN country, the Index of Financial Inclusion (IFI) method was developed by Sarma (2008), while to examine the relationship between socio-economic variables to financial inclusion, the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method was used estimation techniques in the Random Effects Model approach. The results show that in general, financial inclusion in ASEAN countries is mainly influenced by the dimension of a disorder. In addition, only per-capita GDP variables are not significant partially. While other variables, namely population over 15 years, unemployment rate, and the number of people in rural areas have a significant influence on index of financial inclusion
TRADE-OFF ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND AIR POLLUTION EFFECTING DECREASE OF POOR ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY IN SUMATERA UTARA PROVINCE Sinaga, Benni
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 8, No 1 (2019)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v8i1.19924

Abstract

The development of economic activities will certainly have a positive impact on increasing economic growth and also have a negative impact on pollution each year, will certainly affect the quality of the environment in the province of North Sumatera . This study aims to analyze the relationship and influence of the GDP, water pollution, air pollution and soil contamination on environmental quality in North Sumatera  province both simultaneously and partially. The data used are secondary data from BPS Sumatera  and North Sumatera  Environmental Agency in the form of time series data from 2004 to 2014. Correlation analysis using correlation with SPSS version 20. Results of correlation coefficient analysis in this study explains that economic growth (0.945), water pollution (0.969), air pollution (0.903) have the relationship is very strong, while soil contamination ( 0.803) have a strong closeness with the quality of the environment in the province of North Sumatera . The results also showed that the variables of economic growth, pollution of water, air and soil are able to explain a model of environmental quality in North Sumatera  province at 96.8 percent.
ANALISIS PERMINTAAN KREDIT MODAL USAHA PADA BANK PEMERINTAH DI SUMATERA UTARA Putri Sari Silaban
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 1, No 3 (2012)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v1i3.17410

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the influence of GDP, interest rate, CPI and the amount of deposits to the credit demand of venture capital to the state bank in North Sumatra simultaneously and partially. The data used are secondary data sourced from North Sumatra Bank of Indonesia variables namely GDP, interest rate, CPI and the number of deposit and loan capital of North Sumatra Province, on a quarterly basis from 2003 till , 2011. Data analysis was performed using OLS (Ordinary Least Square) with multiple linear regression models estimated with the help of the program Eviews 5.1. The results of this research can be concluded that simultaneous co-GDP variables constant change, the consumer price index, interest rate, and the amount of deposits significantly affect credit demand in the capital of North Sumatra Province. Furthermore, partially concluded that variables GDP, and the amount of deposits a positive effect on demand for capital loans, while the CPI and the variable mortgage interest rates negatively affect credit demand in the capital of North Sumatra Province. The results also showed that the most dominant variable effect on credit demand in the province of North Sumatra capital is the amount of deposits.

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