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Ekonomi-Qu (Jurnal Penelitian Ilmu Ekonomi)

Ekonomi-Qu
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Published by Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa

ISSN : 20894473 EISSN : 25411314 DOI : -

Core Subject : Economy,

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Journal of economic research "Ekonomi-Qu" is an economic's premier scholar journal providing peer-reviewed articles and review essays from subfields throughout the discipline, published by department of development economics, Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa. Journal of Ekonomi-Qu has been published continuously since 2016 in twice a year, on April and October, with registered number p-ISSN: 2089-4473 and e-ISSN: 2541-1314.

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Articles 146 Documents

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TINGKAT PENDIDIKAN, UPAH, INFLASI, DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI TERHADAP PENGANGGURAN DI INDONESIA Indra Suhendra; Bayu Hadi Wicaksono
Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu Vol 6, No 1 (2016)
Publisher : FEB Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa

The aim of this study is to determine the influence of education level, wages, inflation, andeconomic growth to unemployment rate in Indonesia during the Period of 2010 to 2012. Paneldata regression analysis model is conducted as the research model. The research results showsthat during 2010 to 2012, educations level in bachelor degree (TPS1), wages, inflation andeconomic growth have significant effect to unemployment rate, whereas education level insenior high school (TPSMA) has not significant influence to unemployment rate. Simultaneouslythe independent variables have significant influence to the dependent variable. The coefficientof determination (R2) shows 0.722353, meaning that the variasion of dependent variable canbe explained by the variasion of independent variables as many as 72.2353 percent .

PENGARUH INFLASI, HARGA MINYAK MENTAH DAN SUKU BUNGA THE FED TERHADAP SUKU BUNGA BANK INDONESIA Saru, Elisabeth Maria; Setyadi, Sugeng; Abilawa, M. Sabeth
Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu Vol 8, No 1 (2018)
Publisher : Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (25.986 KB)

ABSTRAK/ ABSTRACTPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh inflasi, harga minyak mentah dan suku bunga the Fed terhadap suku bunga Bank Indonesia. Penentuan sampel berdasarkan data time-seriesbulanan periode 2010:01-2016:06. Data dalam penelitian ini didapat dari Bank Indonesia, Kementerian Energi dan Sumber Daya Mineral Indonesia dan Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode analisis Error Correction Model (ECM). Berdasarkan hasil uji simultan (Uji-F) menunjukkan bahwa inflasi, harga minyak mentah dan suku bunga the Fedsecara simultan berpengaruh signifikan terhadap suku bunga Bank Indonesia. Sedangkan hasil uji parsial (Uji-t) menunjukkan bahwa variabel inflasi signifikan dan positif terhadap suku bunga Bank Indonesia, sedangkan harga minyak mentah dan suku bunga the Fed berpengaruh signifikandan negatif terhadap suku bunga Bank Indonesia dalam jangka panjang. Sedangkan dalam jangka pendek suku bunga the Fed berpengaruh signifikan dan negatif terhadap suku bunga Bank Indonesia, sedangkan variabel inflasi dan harga minyak mentah tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap suku bunga Bank Indonesia dalam jangka pendek.The aim of this research is to prove the influence of inflation, crude oil price and Fed Fund Rate to BI Rate. The data are monthly time series from 2010:01-2016:06. The data are collected from Bank Indonesia, Indonesia Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources and Federal Reserve Bankof St. Louis. Methodology of this research used Error Correction Model (ECM). The result show that simultaneous test (F-test) indicating that inflation, crude oil price and Fed Fund Rate have significant effect on BI Rate simultaneously. Partial test (t-test) indicating that inflation have significant and positive effect on BI Rate, while crude oil price and Fed Fund Rate have significantand negative effect on BI Rate in long term. While in the short term indicating that Fed Fund Rate have significant and negative effect on BI Rate. Inflation and crude oil price have insignificantÂ effect on BI Rate in the short term.Kata kunci: Inflasi, Harga Minyak Mentah, Suku Bunga the Fed, Suku Bunga Bank Indonesia, Error Correction ModelKeyword : Inflation, Crude Oil Price, Fed Fund Rate, BI Rate, Error Correction Model

PENGARUH PENDAPATAN, HARGA DAN NILAI TUKAR NEGARA MITRA DAGANG TERHADAP EKSPOR CRUDE PALM OIL (CPO) INDONESIA Siti Aisyah; Kuswantoro Kuswantoro
Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu Vol 7, No 1 (2017)
Publisher : FEB Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa

ABSTRAKPerdagangan internasional merupakan perdagangan yang melibatkan negara-negara di dunia. Kelapa sawitmentah (CPO) merupakan salah satu komoditi unggulan ekspor Indonesia. Salah satu turunan dari CPO yaitu minyakgoreng merupakan salah satu kebutuhan yang setiap hari di konsumsi oleh warga negara di dunia, sehingga CPO Indonesiamempunyai pangsa pasar yang luas. Dengan adanya krisis yang terjadi mengakibatkan perekonomian mitra dagangIndonesia mengalami perlambatan, yang mengakibatkan penurunan permintaan akan CPO Indonesia. Faktor yangmempengaruhi ekspor yaitu GDP negara mitra dagang (GDP), harga CPO mitra dagang (Harga) dan nilai tukar negara mitradagang (Kurs).Penelitian ini bertujuan mengetahui pengaruh pendapatan dan nilai tukar mitra dagang terhadap ekspor CPOIndonesia. Dengan 5 negara mitra dagang Indonesia, yaitu India, Malaysia, Singapura, Belanda dan Italia pada tahun 2001-2011. Estimasi dilakukan dengan regresi data panel dengan menggunakan program eviews.Hasil dari penelitian ini, menunjukkan bahwa GDP mitra dagang berpengaruh signifikan dan mempunyai pengaruhyang positif terhadap ekspor CPO Indonesia, Harga CPO mitra dagang berpengaruh signfikan dan mempunyai pengaruhyang positif terhadap ekspor CPO Indonesia, dan nilai tukar mitra dagang berpengaruh signifikan dan mempunyai pengaruhyang negatif terhadap ekspor CPO Indonesia.Kata Kunci : GDP, Harga, Nilai Tukar, EksporABSKTRACTThe international trade is the trade involving countries in the world. CPO is one of the Indonesian exportcommodity. One instance of a CPO which cooking oil is a requirement that every day in the consumption by the citizens inthe world, so Indonesian CPO has large market share. Because of crisis that has resulted in a slowdown trading partnerseconomic, resulting in decreased demand for Indonesian CPO. The affecting factors of export is GDP trading partners, CPOPrice and exchange rate trading partners.This aim study is to know the influence of income and exchange rates trading partners to Indonesian CPO export.The five trading partners Indonesia such as India, Malaysia, Singapore, Netherland and Italy in 2001 to 2011. The estimationis done with panel data regression using Eviews program.The result of this study is to show that trading partners GDP significantly and has positively influence to IndonesianCPO export, trading partners CPO price significantly and have positively influence to Indonesia CPO export, and tradingpartners exchange rates significantly and have negatively influence to Indonesian CPO export.Keywords: GDP, Price, Exchange rate, Export

HUBUNGAN VARIABEL MAKROEKONOMI DENGAN PERMINTAAN UANG DI INDONESIA SEBELUM DAN SESUDAH KRISIS MONETER Cep Jandi Anwar; M. Pipin Andria
Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu Vol 6, No 1 (2016)
Publisher : FEB Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa

ABSTRACTIndonesian macroeconomic conditions is still seen fluctuate and unstable. According to this condition, the Indonesian government has been implementing some policies in order to create macroeconomic stability and achieve economic goals through fiscal and monetary policy. Fiscalpolicy will affect to the quantities of consumption, investment, government spending, and further it will affect to the market goods. Furthermore, monetary policy will affect to the Money Demand. This study examines the influence of gross domestic product, interest rates, and inflation to the demand for money (M2) during the period of 1985 to 2014. According to the research result, gross domestic product and interest rates have positive influence and significant to money demand, while inflation has negative influence and significant to moneydemand (M2).Keywords: Gross Domestic Product, Interest Rate, Inflation, Money DemandABSTRAKKondisi makroekonomi Indonesia masih terlihat berfluktuasi dan tidak stabil. Berdasarkan keadaan tersebut, pemerintah Indonesia telah sedang mengimplementasikan beberapa kebijakan dalam rangka menciptakan stabilitas makroekonomi dan mencapai tujuan-tujuan ekonomi melalui kebijakan fiskal dan moneter. Kebijakan fiskal akan berpengaruh pada kuantitas dari konsumsi, investasi, dan belanja pemerintah, dan kedepannya akan berpengaruhpada pasar barang. Selanjutnya, kebijakan moneter akan berdampak pada permintaan uang. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji pengaruh dari produk domestic bruto, tingkat suku bunga dan inflasi terhadap permintaan uang selama periode 1985 sampai 2014. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian variabel produk domestic bruto and tingkat suku bunga memiliki pengaruh positif dansignifikan terhadap permintaan uang, sedangkan variable inflasi memiliki pengaruh negative dan signifikan terhadap permintaan uang.Kata kunci: Produk Domestik Bruto, Tingkat suku bunga, inflasi, Permintaan uang.

ANALISIS PENGARUH PDB RIIL, CADANGAN DEVISA DAN NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP IMPOR NONMIGAS DI INDONESIA Kuswantoro Kuswantoro; Gita Rosianawati
Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu Vol 6, No 2 (2016)
Publisher : FEB Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa

ABSTRACTThe aim of this research is to study the influence of Gross Domestic Product, foreign exchange reserve and Rupiah Exchange Rate to Indonesian import of non-oil and gas during the period of first quarter of 2003 to the fourth quarter of 2013. This research uses quarterly data according to Indonesian financial statistics data, publiesed by Bank of Indonesia. This research uses Error Correction Model (ECM) method, developed by Engle and Granger. Theresearch result indicates that in the short run, Gross Domestic Product and Rupiah exchange rate have positive influence and significant to the import of Indosensian non-oil and gas, where as in the long run those three independent variable show have positive influence and significant to the import of Indosensian non-oil and gas.Key Word: Import of Non-oil and gas, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Foreign Exchange Reserve and Rupiah Exchange ValueABSTRAKTujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui pengaruh dari Produk Domestik Bruto, cadangan devisa, dan nilai tukar rupiah terhadap impor non migas Indonesia dalam periode kuartal 1 tahun 2003 sampai dengan kuartal 4 tahun 2013. Penelitian ini menggunakan data kuartal berdasarkan data sataistika keuangan Indonesia yang di terbitkan oleh Bank Indonesia.Penelitian ini menggunakan metode Error Correction Model (ECM) yang dikembangkan oleh Engle dan Granger. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka pendek, Produk Domestic Bruto dan nilai tukar Rupiah memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap impor non migas Indonesia, sedangkan dalam jangka panjang ketiga variabel independen tersebut menunjukkan pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap impor non migas Indonesia.Kata Kunci : Import non migas, Produk Domestik Bruto, CadanganDevisa, Nilai tukar rupiah

PENGARUH PENANAMAN MODAL ASING, UTANG LUAR NEGERI PEMERINTAH, DAN KETERBUKAAN PERDAGANGAN TERHADAP PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO Hady Sucipto; Mega Puspitasari
Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu Vol 6, No 1 (2016)
Publisher : FEB Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa

ABSTRACTThe purpose of this research is to determine the influence of external factors of Indonesian economy such as; foreign investment, foreign debt, and trade openness to Gross Domestic Product. The multiple OLS (Ordinary Least Square) regression analysis is used as the research method. The estimation results show that the R Square number as many as 0.948837, meaning that the dependent variable can be explained by independent variables as many as 94.88 percent. In addition, the research result conclude that foreign investment, foreign debt, and trade openness have positive and significant influence to gross domestic product in Indonesia.Keywords ; Foreign Invesment, Foreign Debt, Trade Openness, Gross Domestic ProductABSTRAKPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk menentukan pengaruh factor-faktor eksternal perekonomian Indonesia seperti; investasi luar negeri, hutang luar negeri, dan keterbukaan perdagangan terhadap Produk Regional Bruto. Analisa regresi berganda OLS diguanakan dalam metodologi penelitian. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan nila R kuadrat sebesar 0.948837 yang berarti bahwa variable dependent dapat dijelaskan oleh variabel-variabel independent sebesar 94.88 persen. Selanjutnya, hasil penelitian menyimpulkan bahwa investasi luar negeri, hutang luar negeri, dan keterbukaan perdagangan mempunyai pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap Produk Domestik Bruto di Indonesia.Kata kunci; Investasi luar negeri, Hutang luar negeri, Keterbukaan perdagangan, Produk Domestik Bruto

PENGARUH TENAGA KERJA SEKTOR PERTANIAN DAN PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH SEKTOR PERTANIAN TERHADAP PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO Sayifullah, Sayifullah; Emmalian, Emmalian
Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu Vol 8, No 1 (2018)
Publisher : Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (25.986 KB)

ABSTRACTThe purpose of this research was to determine the influence and significant of labor agriculture sector and government expenditure agriculture sector either individually or together to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) agriculture sector in Indonesia. The method used in this research is Ordinary Least Square (OLS) for the period 1980-2013. The analysis technique used in this research is multiple linear regression testing normality test, the classical assumption (Multicollinearity, heterocedastity, autocorrelation and proceed with the analysis of OLS (Ordinary Least Square). Its become independent variables in this study were labor of agriculture sector and government expenditure of agriculture sector, while the dependent variable is the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of agriculture sector. From the analysis conducted showed that thevariables of labor in agriculture sector and government expenditure of agriculture sector has a significant influence on the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of agriculture sector. Labor of agriculture sector influence (+) positive to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of agriculture sector and government expenditure of agriculture sector influence (+) positive to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of agriculture sector.Keywords: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of Agriculture Sector, Labor of Agriculture Sector, Government Expenditure of Agriculture Sector.

PENGARUH INFLASI, UPAH MNIMUM REGIONAL DAN KESEMPATAN KERJA PADA SEKTOR INDUSTRI MANUFAKTUR TERHADAP PENGANGGURAN TERDIDIK DI PROVINSI BANTEN sugeng setyadi; Rindang Tri putri
Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu Vol 7, No 1 (2017)
Publisher : FEB Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa

One of the macro-economic problem that often occurs is the problem of umemployment. In Banten Province where unemployment rates are educated each year to experience fluctuating conditions. This is caused by several factors including inflation, minimum wage and employment, where employment opportunities are more dominant in the manufacturing sector.This study was conductedtoexamine the effect ofinflation, Minimum Wage(UMR), Employment Opportunitieson the Number ofUnemployedEducated(Y) in the province ofBanten. The data usedaresecondary datain the form ofpanel datacombinedwithperiodic data(time series) andtenyears ofrandom data(cross section) threecountiesandcities. Testanalysis ismultiple regression analysisusingpanel datawithpartialstatistical test(t test) with a95percentconfidencelevel(α =0,05). F testperformedandmeasured byR2test(test determinants).The conclusion thatcan bedrawnin this paper isthatinflationwillnot affect thedecrease in the numberof educatedunemployed, the rate of change inthe minimum wageaffectthe changeof educatedunemploymentand decreaseaffecting theemploymentopportunitiesof educatedunemployment.

IDENTIFIKASI MEKANISME TRANSMISI KEBIJAKAN MONETER SALURAN UANG DAN SALURAN SUKU BUNGA DI INDONESIA Deswita Herlina
Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu Vol 8, No 2 (2018)
Publisher : FEB Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa

ABSTRACTThe purpose of this research is to identify the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission mechanism throught both quantity channel (Monetarist Approach) and interest rate channel (Keynesian Approach) in Indonesia during the period of the first quartelly of 2000 to the third quartelly of 2014. The effectiveness of the monetary policy transmission is measured by the time lag and the strength of the variables in order to respond monetary policy shocks. The datais collected from Economic and Financial Statistics in Indonesia (SEKI). This research uses vector error correction model (VECM) to analysis the research model, and set the transmission of monetary policy conducted by Bank Indonesia as the research object. Stationerity test, unit of root test, optimum lag, Johansen cointegration test, impulse response function and varian ofdecomposition are conducted before analysze the VECM model. In addtition, the research result shows that the transmission of monetary policy through interst rate channel with capital cost effect is more effective than through interest rate consumption channel and money channel.

FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI JUMLAH CADANGAN EURO DI INDONESIA Istikomah, Navik
Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu Vol 8, No 2 (2018)
Publisher : Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (25.986 KB)

AbstrakPenelitian ini mengungkapkan tentang âFaktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Jumlah Cadangan Euro di Indonesiaâ dengan variabel-variabel yang akan berkenaan dengan tingkat suku bunga, tingkat inflasi, dan ekspor. Secara teoritis, hasil penelitian ini diharapkan dapat memberikan sumbangan pemikiran terhadap perkembangan ilmu ekonomi, khususnya mengenai faktor-faktoryang mempengaruhi jumlah cadangan Euro di Indonesia. Secara praktis, hasil penelitian ini diharapkan dapat dijadikan rekomendasi bagi pihak-pihak yang berkepentingan dalam mengenai masalah faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi jumlah cadangan Euro di Indonesia.Sesuai dengan tujuan yang ingin dicapai, maka metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah Explanatory Survey yaitu metode yang menjelaskan hubungan kausal antara variabelvariabel yang diteliti melalui pengujian hipotesis. Teknik analisis data yang digunakan adalah regresi berganda untuk memprediksikan nilai variabel terikat atas perubahan nilai tertentu daritiga variabel bebas.Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa baik secara parsial maupun simultan, tingkat suku bunga, tingkat inflasi, dan ekspor berpengaruh terhadap jumlah cadangan Euro di Indonesia. Melalui nilai koefisien determinan diketahui bahwa ketiga variabel bebas dapat menjelaskan variasi perubahan variabel terikat sebesar 78,8%, sedangkan sisanya di jelaskan variabel lain. Fenomena di atas, senada dengan apa yang disampaikan oleh Levi (1997: 121) yang menyatakan bahwa âTinggi rendahnya cadangan devisa dapat diprediksikan oleh tingkat inflasi, tingkat suku bunga domestik, dan nilai eksporâ.Keywords: cadangan Euro, tingkat suku bunga, tingkat inflasi, ekspor

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Gerry Ganika

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