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All Journal JIK Jurnal Ilmu Komputer Scientific Journal of Informatics Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik Economics and Finance in Indonesia UNES Journal of Swara Justisia Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Economic and Finance in Indonesia
Ikhsan, Mohamad
Unknown Affiliation
Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences

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The Productivity and Future Growth Potential of Indonesia Ikhsan, Mohamad; Indrawati, Sri Mulyani; Virananda, I Gede Sthitaprajna; Abdi, Zihaul
Economics and Finance in Indonesia Vol. 67, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

The output per worker of Indonesia has been on a downtrend since 2010, with total factor productivity (TFP) and capital stock largely stagnant if not declining. This paper discusses stylized facts that may explain recent trends in the productivity and growth potential of Indonesia. The decomposition of output per worker reveals the declining contribution of human capital, which is also most negative among peer countries. The growth in labor productivity has been concentrated within sectors, implying room for gains from labor reallocations. A substantial share of employment and credit in Indonesia has shifted to the relatively unproductive service sectors, particularly wholesale and retail trade. In terms of firm dynamics, the contribution of large firms in Indonesia has been lackluster compared to regional peers while the productivity of micro, small and medium enterprises remains stagnant. Considering that human capital and TFP measures of Indonesia are lagging behind middle-income peers, there is wide scope for Indonesia to catch up. However, the potential output of Indonesia also faces new risks from the COVID-19 pandemic. We expect that the short-term effect of the pandemic on capital accumulation and the long-term effect on human capital pose the highest risk while labor inputs appear to be more resilient. Meanwhile, the potential productivity gains from accelerated digital adoption and sectoral reallocations are more uncertain.
Unequal Impact of Price Changes in Indonesia Pratikno, Ruly; Ikhsan, Mohamad
Economics and Finance in Indonesia Vol. 61, No. 3
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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The main idea of this study is to determine the impact of relative inflation on poverty incidents and to investigate whether inflation inequality has occurred in Indonesia. Interesting results were found at regional level. Firstly, Jakarta had different poverty response with respect to price increases. Processed food and transportation inflation were more imperative for the poor in Jakarta. Secondly, the poor in province with low poverty figures were more prone to inflation. In general, the results show that food inflation has the major adverse impact on the poor. Moreover, we found that inflation in Indonesia has not been pro-poor.
Political Behaviour of the Indonesian Middle Class: Lower Turnouts in More Modernised Areas Margani Utami, Dyah; Ikhsan, Mohamad; Dartanto, Teguh; Mallarangeng, Rizal
JSP (Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan ilmu Poltik) Vol 27, No 3 (2024): March
Publisher : Faculty of Social and Political Sciences, Universitas Gadjah Mada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22146/jsp.89360

Abstract

The modernisation theory assumes that the larger the middle class, the more likely democracy is supported; for example, there will be more participation in elections, as shown in Western countries. However, there is no clear evidence on whether this trend also appears in developing countries. This study emphasises the association between the proportion of the middle class and the support for democracy in terms of voter turnout. Irrespective of the nature of the elections, we suppose that the modernisation level, proxied by the middle-class share, determines voter turnouts. Using data from Statistics Indonesia (BPS) and the General Election Commission (KPU), we differentiate the voter turnouts in Indonesia's general election in 2019 at the district or city levels by grouping them into modernised and less-modernized regions, i.e., urban versus rural, Java versus outside Java, and western versus eastern regions. This study documented a deviation from the modernisation theory, evidenced by an unclear association between the proportion of the middle class and the voter turnout in the modernised areas. Counterintuitively, there are positive associations in the less modernised areas. The findings also reveal the selective participation among voters, as they showed different participation levels in the types of elections conducted in one day. They were more active in presidential elections than in parliamentary elections. In developing countries like Indonesia, the expansion of the middle class, followed by the declining number of rural regions, may lead to a decline in voter turnouts, thus raising demand for good governance and better performance of parties and candidates.
PEMBINAAN NARAPIDANA ANAK SEBAGAI UPAYA MENCEGAH TERJADINYA PENGULANGAN TINDAK PIDANA (Studi Pada LembagaPemasyarakatan Klas IIA Padang) Ikhsan, Mohamad
UNES Journal of Swara Justisia Vol 2 No 2 (2018): Unes Journal of Swara Justisia (Juli 2018)
Publisher : Program Magister Ilmu Hukum Universitas Ekasakti

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Abstract

Act No. 12/1995 on Corrections mandates that prisons are not only places to serve punishment for criminals, but also places for coaching while also educating prisoners. Child prisoners also need to be given special attention so that they have the ability to adapt and obey the rule of law applicable after serving time in the penitentiary. However, in practice because the pattern of guidance for child prisoners is similar to the pattern of guidance applied by adult inmates and overcapacity, so that the guidance given does not match what is expected, consequently the child returns to the penitentiary for the second time.
Co-Authors Abdi, Zihaul Ari Kuncoro Basri, Faisal H. Basri, Muhammad Chatib Daniswara, Adrian Pandhito Darmin Nasution Mallarangeng, Rizal Margani Utami, Dyah Panggabean, Adrian Prabowo, Rakhmat Pratikno, Ruly Rulyusa Pratikto Sri Mulyani Indrawati Suranti, Dewi Teguh Dartanto Virananda, I Gede Sthitaprajna