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The Impact of Economic Growth on Income Disparity and Poverty Riyanto, Wahyu Hidayat
Proceeding ISETH (International Summit on Science, Technology, and Humanity) 2018: Proceeding ISETH (International Summit on Science, Technology, and Humanity)
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/iseth.2308

Abstract

Pada studi ini ada hal penting yang melatarbelakangi analisis dampak pertumbuhan ekonomi terhadap disparitas pendapatan serta kemiskinan, yaitu; tujuan pembangunan yang berorientasi mengejar tingkat pertumbuhan ekonomi yang tinggi dengan harapan akan mengurangi ketimpangan distribusi pendapatan dan mengurangi kemiskinan penduduk menjadi berbeda sebagaimana yang terjadi di Kabupaten/Kota provinsi Jawa Timur. Pengaruh pertumbuhan ekonomi terhadap disparitas pendapatan membuktikan bahwa hipotesis Kutnez berlaku di Kabupaten/Kota provinsi Jawa Timur dengan adanya korelasi positif kesenjangan pendapatan dan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Hasil studi ini menunjukkan pertumbuhan ekonomi mempunyai hubungan dengan kemiskinan mengikuti pola huruf U. Pertumbuhan ekonomi mempengaruhi tingkat kemiskinan dengan arah hubungan negatif. Mengacu pada hasil studi ini, kebijakan pro-poor growth yang mengasumsikan bahwa pertumbuhan ekonomi merupakan “necessary condition” sejalan dengan berlakunya hipotesis Kutnez dalam persoalan kemiskinan di Kabupaten/Kota Jawa Timur tidak terlalu tepat digunakan.
Determinants and Solutions for Youth Unemployment in East Java Province in 2023 Istiqomah, Ayu; Riyanto, Wahyu Hidayat; Putranto, FX Gugus Febri; Firmansyah, Muhammad
Jurnal Economia Vol. 22 No. 1 (2026): February 2026
Publisher : Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Negeri Yogyakarta in collaboration with the Institute for

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21831/economia.v22i1.78550

Abstract

Youth unemployment remains a problem in East Java Province. This study aims to analyse the determinants of youth unemployment in East Java Province in 2023. Secondary data from the 2023 National Labor Force Survey (Sakernas), with individual-level observations, were analysed using binary logistic regression. The results showed that gender, marital status, education level, age, work experience, the district/city minimum wage (UMK), and economic growth significantly affected youth unemployment. Synchronisation is needed between the education system and market needs so that graduates can enter the workforce immediately. In addition, quality and inclusive economic growth are essential in increasing youth labour absorption.
The Relationship between Macroeconomic Factors and ASEAN Foreign Exchange Reserves with the Unemployment Rate as a Moderating Variable Septya, Caroline Rose; Riyanto, Wahyu Hidayat; Sulistyono, Setyo Wahyu
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi JIE Vol. 10 No. 02 (2026): Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jie.v10i02.41754

Abstract

This study examines the impact of exports, imports, exchange rates, and FDI on foreign exchange reserves in ASEAN countries, with unemployment as a moderating variable. Using panel data from eight ASEAN nations (2014–2023), the analysis applies the Random Effect Model and the Moderated Regression Analysis. Results show that exports and exchange rates significantly boost reserves, while imports and FDI are not significant. However, unemployment weakens the effect of exports but strengthens the impact of imports, exchange rates, and FDI. These findings highlight the critical role of labor market conditions in shaping macroeconomic policy and maintaining foreign exchange reserve stability in the ASEAN region.
Youth NEET in Indonesia: Regional Disparities and Urban Planning Implications for Malang Priyambodo, Reza Nugraha Dinda; Riyanto, Wahyu Hidayat; Putranto, FX Gugus Febri; Firmansyah, Muhammad
PANGRIPTA Vol. 9 No. 1 (2026): Pangripta Jurnal Ilmiah Kajian Perencanaan Pembangunan
Publisher : Badan Perencanaan Pembangunan Kota Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58411/1bg8q467

Abstract

The phenomenon of youth Not in Employment, Education, or Training (NEET) poses a serious challenge to human resource development in Indonesia due to its long-term social and economic impacts. This study examines the NEET youth aged 16–30 by considering individual and environmental characteristics, including marital status, age, disability, education level, gender, region of residence, economic growth, and the interaction between marital status and age group. The study uses a quantitative approach, employing binary logistic regression, drawing on SAKERNAS 2023 data and economic growth data from 34 Indonesian provinces. The results show that all variables are significant at the 1 percent level (p < 0.01). Unmarried youth, younger individuals, people with disabilities, women, those with low education, and those residing in urban areas have a higher risk of being NEET. Education significantly reduces this risk. Economic growth has a limited, non-inclusive effect, and the interaction between marital status and age group reduces the probability of NEET status. This research contributes to the growing literature on regional development and planning through spatial disparities, particularly the urban-rural divide that contributes to the NEET phenomenon. The results demonstrate that place-based policies, such as strengthening the integration between education and the labor market, creating specific employment programs tailored to regional conditions, and implementing targeted interventions in rapidly growing urban areas like Malang City, are necessary to promote inclusive youth integration into the labor market.