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A Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) Approach to Examine The Impact of Gold Futures Price Spillovers, Dividend Announcements, and Investor Attention on Abnormal Returns among 32 Indonesian Listed Companies Distributing Dividends in 2024 Surahman, Arif; Rusnaeni, Nani
International Journal of Science, Technology & Management Vol. 7 No. 1 (2026): January 2026
Publisher : Publisher Cv. Inara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46729/ijstm.v7i1.1390

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to examine the effects of investor interest, dividend announcements, and spillovers in the price of gold futures on abnormal returns among 32 Indonesian listed businesses that paid dividends in 2024. The study examines the direct and indirect correlations between the variables using a quantitative approach and the Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) technique with Partial Least Squares (PLS) estimate in SmartPLS 3.0. The Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX), corporate financial reports, and worldwide gold market statistics were the sources of secondary data. Trading volume was used as a stand-in for investor attention, and abnormal returns were measured using an event-study framework with a two-day window surrounding the cum-dividend date. The findings indicate that neither dividend announcements nor spillovers in the price of gold have a statistically significant impact on abnormal returns. While there is a weak positive correlation between dividend announcements and gold prices, there is a negative correlation, indicating a safe-haven substitution effect where investors move away from stocks as gold prices rise. Furthermore, investor attention does not mediate the relationship between the independent variables and the dependent variable, nor does it significantly affect abnormal returns. While investor attention shows very low predictability (R² = 0.002), the model shows a moderate explanatory power for abnormal returns (R² = 0.434) and a high predictive relevance (Q² = 0.435). Overall, the results show that the Indonesian capital market reacts to corporate and macroeconomic information primarily through direct effects rather than behavioral mediation. By emphasizing the restricted function of investor attention as an information-transmission channel, this study adds to the body of knowledge on behavioral finance and spillover dynamics in emerging countries. To improve the explanatory power of abnormal return models, it is advised that future research incorporate more comprehensive behavioral or sentiment factors.
Pengaruh Perputaran Modal Kerja dan Struktur Modal terhadap Profitabilitas pada PT Indofod CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk Periode 2014-2023 Suhartono, Agus; Dewi, Iriana Kusuma; Rusnaeni, Nani
SCIENTIFIC JOURNAL OF REFLECTION : Economic, Accounting, Management and Business Vol. 9 No. 1 (2026): SCIENTIFIC JOURNAL OF REFLECTION: Economic, Accounting, Management, & Business
Publisher : Sekolah Menengah Kejuruan (SMK) Pustek

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37481/sjr.v9i1.1314

Abstract

The financial performance of a company is largely determined by its ability to manage working capital efficiently and maintain an optimal capital structure. In the case of manufacturing and consumer goods companies such as PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk, the balance between liquidity and financing decisions plays a crucial role in sustaining profitability and long-term growth. This study aims to determine the effect of working capital turnover and capital structure on profitability, both partially and simultaneously. The research employs a quantitative approach using secondary data obtained from the company’s annual financial statements over a ten-year period. Data analysis techniques include classical assumption testing, multiple regression analysis, autocorrelation testing, coefficient of determination analysis, and hypothesis testing. The results reveal that both working capital turnover and capital structure have a significant positive effect on profitability. This indicates that the more efficiently the company manages its working capital and the more effectively it maintains its capital structure, the higher its profitability will be. The findings highlight the importance of strategic financial management in optimizing operational efficiency and ensuring financial stability. Overall, this study contributes to understanding how internal financial decisions influence company performance and provides practical implications for improving profitability within the manufacturing sector.