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Nusrang, Muhammad

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Author-ID : 1425918

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemistry Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Engineering Environmental Science Health Professions Library & Information Science Mathematics Physics Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Analysis of Rice Production Forecast in Maros District Using the Box-Jenkins Method with the ARIMA Model Nurman, Sulaeman; Nusrang, Muhammad; Sudarmin
ARRUS Journal of Mathematics and Applied Science Vol. 2 No. 1 (2022)
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengembangan Teknologi dan Rekayasa, Yayasan Ahmar Cendekia Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35877/mathscience731

The Box-Jenkins method is a statistical method used for forecasting time series data. This method uses data in the past as the dependent variable. The data used in this study is data on the amount of rice production in Maros Regency which was taken from 2001 to 2018 which was taken from the Central Statistics Agency of Maros Regency and the Department of Food Security, Food Crops, and Horticulture of South Sulawesi Province. The results obtained show that the ARIMA(0,2,1) model is a suitable model to predict the amount of rice production in Maros Regency. Forecasting results show that the amount of rice production in Maros Regency has increased every year with an average increase of 3807.1 tons.

K-Means Cluster Analysis for Grouping Districts in South Sulawesi Province Based on Village Potential Azrahwati; Nusrang, Muhammad; Aidid, Muhammad Kasim; Rais, Zulkifli
ARRUS Journal of Mathematics and Applied Science Vol. 2 No. 2 (2022)
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengembangan Teknologi dan Rekayasa, Yayasan Ahmar Cendekia Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35877/mathscience739

Cluster analysis is an analysis in multivariable statistics that is used to group objects that have the same characteristics. One of the methods in cluster analysis used to group relatively large amounts of data is the K-Means method. In this study, the K-Means method was applied to classify sub-districts in South Sulawesi Province based on village potential. The variables used are the number of: Elementary School/Equivalent degree, Junior High School/Equivalent degree, Senior High School/Vocational School/Equivalent degree, Community Health Center/Pustu, Families without electricity, Villages/Urbans according to market presence, Villages/Towns that are passed by public transportation and Villages/Kelurahan that have lighting main road. The results of this study are that 3 groups are formed where the first cluster consists of 107 sub-districts that have high village potential, the second cluster consists of 16 sub-districts that have medium village potential and the third cluster consists of 184 sub-districts that have low village potential.

K-Means Cluster Analysis for Grouping Districts in South Sulawesi Province Based on Village Potential Azrahwati; Nusrang, Muhammad; Aidid, Muhammad Kasim; Rais, Zulkifli
ARRUS Journal of Mathematics and Applied Science Vol. 2 No. 2 (2022)
Publisher : PT ARRUS Intelektual Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35877/mathscience739

Cluster analysis is an analysis in multivariable statistics that is used to group objects that have the same characteristics. One of the methods in cluster analysis used to group relatively large amounts of data is the K-Means method. In this study, the K-Means method was applied to classify sub-districts in South Sulawesi Province based on village potential. The variables used are the number of: Elementary School/Equivalent degree, Junior High School/Equivalent degree, Senior High School/Vocational School/Equivalent degree, Community Health Center/Pustu, Families without electricity, Villages/Urbans according to market presence, Villages/Towns that are passed by public transportation and Villages/Kelurahan that have lighting main road. The results of this study are that 3 groups are formed where the first cluster consists of 107 sub-districts that have high village potential, the second cluster consists of 16 sub-districts that have medium village potential and the third cluster consists of 184 sub-districts that have low village potential.

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