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Forecast Analysis of Single-Phase Prepaid KWh Meter Demand at PT PLN (Persero) UP3 Surakarta Using the ARIMA Method Rizky, Choirul; Mulyaningtyas, Dian
Journal of Collaborative Industrial Management (JCIM) Vol. 1 No. 3 (2025): Journal of Collaborative Industrial Management
Publisher : Publika Bersama Nusantara

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Abstract

This study analyzes the causes of overstocking and implements a more accurate forecasting method for planning the inventory of single-phase prepaid kWh meters at PT PLN (Persero) UP3 Surakarta. The primary issue is the discrepancy between demand forecasting and actual purchases, which is attributed to ineffective forecasting methods and a lack of adaptation to dynamic economic conditions. To overcome this problem, this study uses two methods, namely interviews and ARIMA forecasting. The interview results, which are summarized and visualized in a fishbone diagram, identify the main root causes of the problem as two factors: human and method. From the human side, the lack of communication and coordination between staff and departments is a crucial factor. Meanwhile, from the method side, the use of ineffective forecasting methods and the lack of optimal utilization of historical data resulted in inaccuracies in demand planning. To overcome the method problem, this study applied the ARIMA method to historical data. The analysis results show that the ARIMA (1,0,0) model is the most accurate forecasting model, proven to be significant because it produces a p-value of 0.001 with an error rate below 10% and produces the lowest AIC value. This high accuracy indicates that the model can predict future demand very well. This recommendation provides a significant contribution to PT PLN (Persero) UP3 Surakarta in making more accurate procurement decisions, optimizing inventory management, and minimizing ongoing financial losses.
Peningkatan Kinerja UMKM Bidang Manufaktur Melalui Pendampingan dan Edukasi Pengelolaan Persediaan Bahan Baku Mulyana, Andi Erna; Wahyu Hati, Shinta; Mulyaningtyas, Dian; Bestario Harlan, Fandy; Olifia, Jessica; Wirawan, Adhitomo; Syafrina, Mia; Hendrawan, Bambang; Kartikasari, Dwi; Puspitasari, Ayu; Yulinda; Hidayat, Rahmat; Nisa, Atiqotun; Zainuddin, Muhammad; Intan, Sutra; Agussa Putra, Pandu; Fikri, Alif; Fillandini, Raja; Aurora, Angel; Othanindyah, Larasati; Fikri, Nuzuly
JDISTIRA - Jurnal Pengabdian Inovasi dan Teknologi Kepada Masyarakat Vol. 3 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Yayasan Rahmatan Fidunya Wal Akhirah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58794/jdt.v3i1.442

Abstract

Pemerintah Indonesia memandang penting keberadaan para pelaku UMKM dengan melakukan berbagai upaya-upaya dalam meningkatkan daya saing UMKM. Sebagai kota industri, jumlah UMKM di Kota Batam berkembang cukup pesat akan tetapi banyak usaha yang terdampak akibat pandemi selama dua tahun belakangan ini. Sebagai salah satu usaha dalam mengurangi dampak tersebut dari sisi akademisi yaitu dengan kegiatan pengabdian kepada masyarakat serta penelitian. Salah satu hasil penelitian terkait yaitu penelitian yang dilakukan oleh Hati dan Anishafitri tahun 2021 tentang analisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi pendapatan UMKM selama pandemi. Hasil dari penelitian tersebut dilanjutkan dengan mengadakan kegiatan pengabdian kepada masyarakat ini mengenai Peningkatan Kinerja UMKM Bidang Manufaktur Melalui Pendampingan dan Edukasi Pengelolaan Persediaan Bahan Baku. Topik pengabdian yang diajukan disesuaikan dengan roadmap pusat kajian UMKM, gender dan disabilitas. Pelaksanaan pengabdian ini juga akan dikolaborasikan dengan PBL mata kuliah Logistik & Rantai Pasok, Pergudangan & Persediaan, K3 & Lingkungan. Kegiatan pengabdian ini dilaksanakan dalam beberapa tahap yang dimulai dari diskusi dengan pelaku UMKM terkait dengan kebutuhan mereka mengenai sistem pengelolaan persediaan bahan baku serta akan dilaksanakan pula pemberian edukasi dan pendampingan dengan menggunakan video-video edukasi yang dikembangkan dan pelaksanaan webinar bersama para pelaku UMKM di Kota Batam.
Socialization and Education of Regulations Regarding Customs for Small Entrepreneurs During the Covid-19 Pandemic in Batam City Puspitasari, Ayu; Hati, Shinta Wahyu; Mulyaningtyas, Dian; Harlan, Fandy Bestario; Kartikasari, Dwi; Ersya, Ozy Diva; Zuliarni, Sri; Septiana, Maryani; Wibowo, Seto Sulaksono Adi; Zelmiyanti, Riri; Sahendra, Rezihardi; Hasanah, Raja Fillandini Nurul; Annisa, Nur; Kastella, Cantika Yosdianti; S.M., Ilham
Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Politeknik Negeri Batam Vol. 5 No. 2 (2023): Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Politeknik Negeri Batam
Publisher : Politeknik Negeri Batam

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30871/abdimaspolibatam.v5i2.5920

Abstract

Socialization and education regarding customs regulations for small entrepreneurs will be very useful for the development of Small Businesses, which is very important in the current conditions, where the Covid-19 pandemic has an impact on the national economy, especially for Batam. This service leads to socialization and education of regulations related to customs for small entrepreneurs. This community service activity aims to provide socialization and education related to customs regulations for micro, small and medium enterprises in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic. The target of this service is SMEs in Batam. The purpose of this service is to: 1. Provide socialization of customs regulations for small entrepreneurs in Batam. 2. Provide education on customs regulations for small entrepreneurs in Batam. 3. Know the understanding of small entrepreneurs about customs regulations that encourage exports for small entrepreneurs and understand the understanding of shipping regulations. The method that will be implemented is by conducting online training, providing pocket books and motion graphics videos. The expected result is the existence of pocket books and motion graphics videos that can be accessed by small business actors, MSMEs, companies and the community. This service is one of the implementations of Project-Based Learning for courses in international trade law and taxation as well as international trade.