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EPIDEMIOLOGY FORECASTING ANALYSIS OF DENGUE HAEMORRAGHIC FEVER WITH SEASONAL AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE IN TROPICAL AREA Siswanto, Siswanto; Risva, Risva; Marliana, Nana
Public Health of Indonesia Vol. 5 No. 2 (2019): April - June
Publisher : YCAB Publisher & IAKMI SULTRA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (342.471 KB) | DOI: 10.36685/phi.v5i2.261

Abstract

Background: Health problems that often occur in tropical countries are infectious diseases, one of which often causes outbreaks was Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF). This disease often causes problems especially in endemic areas and even outbreaks that occur with death from sufferers.Objectives: To forecasting of the Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever in the working area of the Puskesmas Temindung. Methods: This was analytical descriptive research with forecasting design using secondary data and primary from informant who understand the problem. Forecasting using SARIMA method (Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average).Results: The results showed that the total of DHF cases in Temindung Health Center could be predicted by the SARIMA (1,1,1) (1,0,0) model with means square error (MSE) of 0.001394688 forecasting results obtained from October 2018 to September 2019 cases, which tend to fluctuate but illustrates an increase in cases of DHF compared to the previous year's data. Conclusion: Forecast of the DHF is for the next 12 months starting from October 2018 as many as 7 cases, in November 4 cases, in December 4 cases; then starting in January 2019 as many as 3 cases, February 2 cases, March 3 cases, April 3 cases, May 3 cases, June 4 cases, July 3 cases, August 3 cases and September 3 cases with a total number of 42. Forecasting results show dengue cases tend to fluctuate every month but have increased cases from the previous year. 
Pemanfaatan Limbah Plastik menjadi Paving Block di Kelurahan Industri Tenayan, Kota Pekanbaru Nazhifah, Nazhifah; Dari, Wulan; Marliana, Nana; Putra M, Rachel Pramana; Ilham, Robby Aprilo; Salsabilla, Putri Annisa; Madina, Virginaya Flara; Sari, Imelia; Harefa, Cahayu Prildana; Farhan, M Alif; Ramadani, Cici; Hutabarat, Veronica Wijaya; Yohanes, Yohanes; Rafil, Rafil; Salsabila, Sofia Putri; Munandar, Putra Aris; Wahyuni, Sri; Lukman, Luvenia Andrius; Pratama, Zikra Mulya; Habeahan, Hosea; Abdillah, Marco; Ependi, Rinto; Wijaya, Sidiq Nugraha; Wanda, Wanda
Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat (ABDIRA) Vol 5, No 4 (2025): Abdira
Publisher : Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/abdira.v5i4.1029

Abstract

Community Service Program (KKN) is a form of student service to the community with the aim of providing solutions to the increasing problem of plastic waste management in Industri Tenayan Village. Improperly managed plastic waste has the potential to pollute the environment and reduce the quality of life of the community. This KKN program aimed to raise public awareness of plastic waste management and provide practical skills through training in the production of environmentally friendly paving blocks. The methods used included counseling on the impact of plastic waste, socialization of waste utilization concepts, workshops on paving block production, and practical training involving 30 local participants. Evaluation was carried out using pre-test and post-test to measure knowledge improvement and through observation of paving block production results. The results showed an increase in participants’ knowledge by 85%, technical skills by 78%, and the production of 50 paving blocks that are ready for use and have potential market value. This program contributed to reducing plastic waste volume while creating new business opportunities for the community.