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All Journal Agromet Jurnal Pijar MIPA
Fajariana, Yuaning
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Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemistry Mathematics Physics

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Modeling of Heavy Rainfall Triggering Landslide Using WRF Model Nuryanto, Danang Eko; Fajariana, Yuaning; Pradana, Radyan Putra; Anggraeni, Rian; Badri, Imelda Ummiyatul; Sopaheluwakan, Ardhasena
Agromet Vol. 34 No. 1 (2020): JUNE 2020
Publisher : PERHIMPI (Indonesian Association of Agricultural Meteorology)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1951.216 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/j.agromet.34.1.55-65

Abstract

This study revealed the behavior of heavy rainfall before landslide event based on the Weather Research Forecasting (WRF) model. Simulations were carried out to capture the heavy rainfall patterns on 27 November 2018 in Kulonprogo, Yogyakarta. The modeling was performed with three different planetary boundary layer schemes, namely: Yonsei University (YSU), Sin-Hong (SH) and Bougeault and Lacarrere (BL). Our results indicated that the variation of rainfall distribution were small among schemes. The finding revealed that the model was able to capture the radar’s rainfall pattern. Based on statistical metric, WRF-YSU scheme was the best outperforming to predict a temporal pattern. Further, the study showed a pattern of rainfall development coming from the southern coastal of Java before 13:00 LT (Local Time=WIB=UTC+7) and continued to inland after 13:00 LT. During these periods, the new clouds were developed. Based on our analysis, the cloud formation that generated rainfall started at 10:00 LT, and hit a peak at 13:00 LT. A starting time of cloud generating rainfall may be an early indicator of landslide.
Study of Developing Models of Crop Failure Risk Information Agustiarini, Suci; Sampelan, David; Maurits, Yuhanna; Baihaqi, Anas; Patria Megantara, Restu; Ulfah, Afriyas; Permana, Angga; Kirana, Nindya; Sulistio Adi Wibowo, Dewo; Purwaningsih, Ni Made Adi; Pamungkas, Cakra Mahasurya Atmojo; Putrantijo, Nuga; Fajariana, Yuaning
Jurnal Pijar Mipa Vol. 19 No. 1 (2024): January 2024
Publisher : Department of Mathematics and Science Education, Faculty of Teacher Training and Education, University of Mataram. Jurnal Pijar MIPA colaborates with Perkumpulan Pendidik IPA Indonesia Wilayah Nusa Tenggara Barat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/jpm.v19i1.5981

Abstract

Climate is one factor that can influence plant growth. The risk of crop failure due to climate variability can be in the form of reduced water sources, which impact water needs in the land and the emergence of pests and diseases in plants. The risk of planting failure can impact product quality, which has the potential to decrease, higher plant handling costs, and various things that cause losses to farming businesses. The availability of climate forecast information, such as rainfall and other parameters, encourages writers to apply it to information that is easier for users to understand. One of the machine learning algorithms, Decision Tree, is used as a model in determining the risk of planting failure based on each attribute/parameter, including monthly rain, ENSO and IOD phenomena, drought, groundwater availability, and Oldeman climate type. This study aims to make a model prediction of crop failure risk potential, and the calculation is based on climate prediction data. The results of this study show differences in climatic conditions for each commodity when there is an increased potential risk of planting failure. Monthly rainfall is the most dominant factor influencing rice, maize, and soybean planting failure. Validation of the decision tree model shows that this model is quite good in determining the potential risk of crop failure in all commodities studied, with the proportion of correct proportion of more than 65%. However, the Heidke Skill Score (HSS) shows that this model is good for Paddy and Soybean; Maize shows an HSS of less than zero.
Co-Authors Agustiarini, Suci Angga Permana Anggraeni, Rian Badri, Imelda Ummiyatul Baihaqi, Anas Kirana, Nindya Maurits, Yuhanna Nuryanto, Danang Eko Pamungkas, Cakra Mahasurya Atmojo Patria Megantara, Restu Purwaningsih, Ni Made Adi Putrantijo, Nuga Radyan Putra Pradana, Radyan Putra Sampelan, David Sopaheluwakan, Ardhasena Sulistio Adi Wibowo, Dewo Ulfah, Afriyas