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All Journal Jurnal Ilmiah Sinus Jurnal Informa: Jurnal Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat Jurnal TIKOMSIN (Teknologi Informasi dan Komunikasi Sinar Nusantara) Journal of Technology, Mathematics and Social Science (J'THOMS) Journal of Information Technology, Computer Engineering and Artificial Intelligence (ITCEA)
Widada, Bebas
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Aerospace Engineering Computer Science & IT Education Engineering Other

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IMPLEMENTASI METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING PADA PREDIKSI JUMLAH PRODUK UMKM Dorestin, Nacita Agnes; Vulandari, Retno Tri; Saptomo, Wawan Laksito Yuly; Widada, Bebas; Wijayanto, Hendro
Journal of Technology, Mathematics and Social Science Vol. 3 No. 2 (2023): Desember 2023
Publisher : IKIP PGRI Bojonegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30734/j'thoms.v3i2.3711

Abstract

Y2K Batik is an SME (Small and Medium Enterprise) engaged in batik. Y2K Batik produces and sells beach wear with various motifs. One of the important things in business is inventory of merchandise, inventory of merchandise is a factor in determining the success of a trading company to achieve its goals, because the goods sold affect the level of income to increase company profits. With these considerations, it is necessary to analyze the production of beach wear for the availability of merchandise in fulfilling customer orders. Based on the above background, the scope of the problem in this study is master data collection obtained from records of selling beach batik cloth periodically from time to time. By utilizing the existing data and applying certain methods, a sales forecasting prediction can be made using the Double exponential Smoothing method. From the results of calculations and testing of forecasting data on the Mandala Motif Beach Fabric variable with the most optimal value using = 0.9 of 2127 with an error value of 19.46% and an accuracy rate of 80.54% (Good). The Canting Motif Beach Wear variable with the most optimal value using = 0.9 of 3174 with an error value of 3.61% and an accuracy rate of 96.39% (Very Good). Double Exponential Smoothing is the most widely used method to determine the trend equation of the second smoothing data through a smoothing process. The programming language uses Microsoft Visual Studio 2013 and the DBMS uses Microsoft SQL Server 2012. The purpose of this research is to create a system that can simplify the process of analyzing the production of beach wear in order to meet the availability of goods ordered by customers
Co-Authors Adjie, Galah Seno Akhyar, Khoirul Amin, Munawar Bramasto Wiryawan Yudanto Dorestin, Nacita Agnes Dwi Remawati Hermawan, Dhian Dwi Khoirudin, Muh. Rosyid Kumaratih Sandradewi Kustanto, Kustanto Kusumaningrum, Andriani Kusumastuti, Ratna Tria Muhammad Fadli, Yanuar MUHAMMAD HASBI Permadi, Asep Retno Tri Vulandari Sakti, Dicky Cahyono Saptomo, Wawan Laksito Yuly Teguh Susyanto Tri Irawati, Tri Tristanto, Bayu Widianto, Septian Cahyo Wijayanto, Hendro